lesofprimus said:
Ur not taking into account the accuracy of the certain pilot.. U know as well as I do that some pilots had a much higher accuracy rating than some others....
I have seen, as Im sure u have seen, movie clips of guys placing a 30mm shell right into the sweet spot at 300 meters.....
Those stats u put up are nice for a generic look, but to get into a detailed conversation, those #'s dont help much.... We all know that a .50 cal fired faster and had a higher probability of hitting..... Anything else is pumping sunshine up our asses, cause individual accuracy and combat experience change those #'s dramatically in certain circumstances....
BUT....... Ur point is well-recieved... Ud be better off by far with the .50's over the cannons, in a dogfight...
Actually, I am taking into consideration pilot skill. To be specific, US fighter gunnery school instructors asserted that increasing the velocity (through its entire path of flight) of a weapon by 25% would increase the number of hits scored by 50%. This was in fact verfied by using different ammo propellant loadings in tests using both instructors and gunnery school graduates (i.e. rookies) making attack passes at towed banner targets (which dodge some by virtue of pull cables from the towing plane). The German's and the British both conducted similar tests and came up with the figure of a 1/3rd increase doubling the number of expected hits. Use either figure you like, the differential is huge when we are talking about one gun firing with more than double the velocity (through the flight of the round) than the other. The whole "skill" of the pilot issue is mute, the analysis says that any given pilot will score thus many more hits given greater weapon velocity. If he's a bad shot, he will do a little better but still be bad relative to other pilots. If he's a good shot, he will score even better.
As far as individual pilots landing a 30mm in the sweet spot from 300 meters... first off can you reference this? A single shot, not after a lot of misses please. Secondly, guncam film of this nature is not really meaningful even if it does exist, as you don't see anything but guncam footage showing successes.
I'll also point out that this all considers the unusual case of "mutually aware" combat. It must be remembered that something around 90% of fighter pilots who survived being shot down reported they never saw the plane that shot them down or never saw it until they'd already taken hits. On the otherhand, by 1945 US fighters had warning radars, and I would assume German planes would have had these too. So the sneak attack so favored by Galland and most other top aces of the earlier years of the war were not so easily accomplished in 1945.
Another factor I left out was the difference in gunsights. The US (and British) fighters had the lead computing gunsights, the German's were working on one but had not accomplished a successful design by the end of the war. Assuming they had not, you can double the difference again, in which case the P-80 would enjoy at least another 2:1 better chance of scoring hits.
After thinking about it I need to revise my statement. The difference in volume of fire accounts for about a doubling of the number of expected hits when the pilot's aim is on target. The rest of the factors tend more to influence weather hits will be scored at all. So revising my analysis, all other things being equal (which they're not because the P-80 is more manuverable and a more stable gun platform) you'd expect the P-80 pilots to score at least twice as many hits when they do score (probably more because of the "fly between the shots" factor), and to score hits between 7-10 times more often than the 262 pilot assuming the 262 has a lead computing sight. If the 262 only has a reflector sight then the P-80 is again around 14-20 times more likely to score hits.
Finally, none of this applies for a point-blank shot. If you can get a shot within 100 feet or so of the target, you are extremely likely to hit it regaurdless of gun type. But, in high speed mutually aware combat, espeically at jet speeds, such shots are extremely rare.
=S=
Lunatic