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The US might have been able to smash the Luftwaffe using P-47Ds and P-38J/Ls but it would have taken longer and cost more US lives.
The P51 was a pure enigma, no one can take away from its performance as Shortround has pointed out. However I would point out the following.
If the British didnt need fighters in 1940 it would not exist
If the British didnt take a chance on a new design it would probablynot exist.
If NA didnt produce it in the agreed time frame it would probably not exist
If the Merlin didnt fit in it it would have been a very sound but unremarkable tactical recon fighter
If German industry was as far away as Moscow it would be of n use and if it was as close as Belgium it wouldnt be needed.
If it didnt have a US champion to keep it in production as a dive bomber it probably would have been a "what if"
The role of escort fighter was first considered unnecessary and then considered impossible, when the role was proved to be needed and the P51 could do it it suddenly became obvious how great it was. Whether it was under rated or over rated it was surely the luckiest piece of machinery to exist. It combines the product of two industrial competitors doing a job that didnt exist before it took flight.
'Big Week'/Operation Argument in February 1944 was really the beginning of an effort to fulfill the requirements of the Pointblank Directive promulgated nine months earlier.
A slightly different POV. Operation Argument was stimulated/prioritized as a subset of POINT BLANK when it became clear that the Combined Bomber Offensive failed to eliminate the threat that the LW posed to the Invasion. This was the true source of Doolittle's pronouncement (and incentive plan to rank a ground score the same as air to air toward "Ace") to "Destroy the LW in the air and on the Ground".
It also announced a change in USAAF tactics. It is no coincidence that the date of 'Big Week' coincides with the culmination of the initial build up of US fighter forces in NW Europe AND the arrival of the P-51. From around this time the 8th AF fighter force essentially started to convert to the P-51, retaining almost none of the other types except in specialist roles (like P-38 reconnaissance types) and at 'stick in the mud' Groups like the 56th. The P-38 otherwise almost disappeared from this theatre, and the P-47 took on other important and complimentary roles with tactical forces.
The P-38 survived as important LR escort within 8th AF operations until the late July timeframe then dribbled down to 474th in September, but the 9th AF added 367th and 370th in May, All of the 8th and 9th AF FG's flew escort missions under operational control of 8th AF as well as 354th and 363rd FG (P-51s) until late May 1944. The chart not only fails to include the Very Important operational contributions of 354th FG (Dec 1, 1943 through May 29, 1944) but also 363rd FG (Feb 22, 1944 through May 29, 1944) dedicated to 8th AF escort role. The initial ramp up began in February and March when the Mustang force structure for Argument was 4 in Feb, 5 in March and, 6 in April, 1944
It was clear to the 8th Air Force Command that the P-51 was the tool for the job, and with hindsight it is clear to us that it was correct.
At the time of 'Big Week' only a small proportion of 8th AF fighters were P-51s, but by the time the Luftwaffe was defeated towards the end of the year there was hardly anything else.
As noted above, the 4th, 357th, 354th and 363rd were dedicated from Big Week forward but the P-51 contribution to the destruction of the LW was disproportionate to the combine P-38?P-47 FG's.
It's difficult to see how the P-51 can be overrated for it's effect on the campaign. It did a lot of things well and a few very well. You can say the same about any good aircraft.
Cheers
Steve
Great post, I was quoting from memory, the story is convoluted and much of it written in hindsight.All pretty good 'what if's' except that the 'US Champion' that found a way to bridge the end of the Mustang I and IA contract for NAA was Hap Arnold. He had made up his mind to a.) proceed forward with an AAF contract based on the merits demonstrated at Wright Pat and NACA Langley as well as the concept of armed recon, but had no clue regarding Merlin mod and b) pick the unused funding for additional Dive Bombers. That said, it is almost certain that he would have pushed for funding from another source absent the Dive Bomber slot. In rapid fire, the Brits completed their initial testing of the Mustang I and published the results on 1 May, 1941. In that report was the first push to try installing a Merlin 61. Then:
All before the first flight of the Mustang X.
- The A-36 contract was let April 16, 1942 - two weeks before the legendary "go Merlin decision had been made by RR/RAF' decision
- NAA was drawn into the plan in late May.
- The P-51A contract was let in June with a proviso that AAF could convert the balance of the orders with a P-51B should they so choose. The XP-51B contract was let in July,1942.
- The P-51B contact in August, 1942
It wouldn't have speeded things up by much, even assuming you could find a few spare Merlins in the fall of 1940. The single stage Merlins were roughly 250-300lbs lighter than the 2 stage engines, the P-51B used a prop that weighed roughly 100lbs more than the prop on the Allison models. SIngle stage Merlins and Allisons need different radiators and oil coolers from each other. The two stage engine is going to need bigger radiators and oil coolers let alone adding the inter-cooler so the whole radiator/oil cooler duct would have to be redone in any case.Great post, I was quoting from memory, the story is convoluted and much of it written in hindsight.
Just one question, would it have been commercially possible for the British to specify a plane designed around the Merlin in 1939/40. I know merlins were wanted by all branches of the british military but if the first flight of the Mustang was with a Merlin it may have speeded things up.
The US approved British order for Model 322 Lightnings in June 1940.Great info guys. One part of my question was about the legality, would the USA sanction airframes being shipped abroad given a hypothetical abundance of merlins from the merlin tree?
A correction from "AHT" The British ordered 143 model 322s in March of 1940.The US approved British order for Model 322 Lightnings in June 1940.
Here's a question from left field. Could the the two stage supercharger for the Merlin been adapted to Allison engine, and, if so could it have been produce quicker and in sufficient quantities to upgrade the Allison P-51s and provide a very capable high altitude fighter maybe a year earlier? Does the the development of the two stage supercharger support this scenario?
Great post, I was quoting from memory, the story is convoluted and much of it written in hindsight.
Just one question, would it have been commercially possible for the British to specify a plane designed around the Merlin in 1939/40. I know merlins were wanted by all branches of the british military but if the first flight of the Mustang was with a Merlin it may have speeded things up.
It wouldn't have speeded things up by much, even assuming you could find a few spare Merlins in the fall of 1940. The single stage Merlins were roughly 250-300lbs lighter than the 2 stage engines, the P-51B used a prop that weighed roughly 100lbs more than the prop on the Allison models. SIngle stage Merlins and Allisons need different radiators and oil coolers from each other. The two stage engine is going to need bigger radiators and oil coolers let alone adding the inter-cooler so the whole radiator/oil cooler duct would have to be redone in any case.
There were roughly 1580 Allison powered Mustangs (counting A-36s) and they were used in Europe, the Med and the Far East. Coming up with 2100-2400 extra Merlins (including spares) during late 1941-42 and early 43 might be a bit of a problem without shorting several other programs. MAYBE you could swipe all the Merlins used to power the P-40Fs and Ls, Not sure how that would play out with more Es, Ks and Ms in use and needing more Spitfires and single stage Merlin Mustangs to fly top cover for them?