Parsifal, most assuredly sir, as I highly respect you and your opinions though they be different than mine. We can and have reached agreement on somethings and will most likely have to agree to disagree on others. But is that not the essence of a Forum? What a wonderful world this is when two products of the British Penal system (slap the criminals on a boat with 3rd rate tools and no farming experience and ship them half way around the world to a hostile and inhospitable land, and of course, wish them godspeed
) can look at the same data and come up with two totally different explanations. I do apologize for the off topic detours but I was asked and so responded in kind. OK, back on topic. I believe that for the roots of WWI we need to look at the events of 1815 and come forward:
The Congress of Vienna was a conference of ambassadors of European states chaired by Klemens Wenzel von Metternich, and held in Vienna from September, 1814 to June, 1815. The objective of the Congress was to settle the many issues arising from the French Revolutionary Wars, the Napoleonic Wars, and the dissolution of the Holy Roman Empire. This objective resulted in the redrawing of the continent's political map, establishing the boundaries of France, Napoleon's Duchy of Warsaw, the Netherlands, the states of the Rhine, the German province of Saxony, and various Italian territories, and the creation of spheres of influence through which Austria, Britain, France and Russia brokered local and regional problems.
The possibility of German unification (and indeed Italian unification) challenged the fundamental precepts of balance laid out in 1815; unification of these groups of states would overturn the principles of overlapping spheres of influence. Prince Klemens von Metternich (German-Austrian), Robert Stewart Viscount Castlereagh (British Foreign Secretary) and Tsar Alexander (and his foreign secretary Count Karl Nesselrode), who were the principal architects of this convention, had conceived of and organized a Europe (and indeed a world) balanced by and guaranteed by four powers: Great Britain, France, Russia, and Austria. Each power had its geographic sphere of influence; for France, this sphere included the Iberian peninsula and shared influence in the Italian states; for the Russians, the eastern regions of Central Europe, and balancing influence in the Balkans; for the Austrians, this sphere included much of the Central European territories of the old Reich (Holy Roman Empire); and for the British, the rest of the world, especially the seas.
The system of spheres of influence in Europe depended upon the fragmentation of the German and Italian states, not their consolidation. Consequently, a German nation united under one banner presented significant problems for the four major powers. Castlereagh's Congress system of solving Continental problems initially worked very well but by 1822 it had broken down due to irreconcilable differences between the major powers.
The Crimean War of 1854–55 and the Italian War of 1859 disrupted relations among Great Britain, France, Austria and Russia. In the aftermath of this disarray, the convergence of von Moltke's operational redesign, von Roon and Wilhelm's restructuring of the army, and Bismarck's diplomacy influenced the restructuring of the European balance of power. Their combined agendas established Prussia as the leading German power through a combination of foreign diplomatic triumphs, backed up by the possible use of Prussian military might, and internal conservatism tempered with pragmatism: Realpolitik.
Bismarck expressed the essence of Realpolitik in his subsequently famous "Blood and Iron" speech to the Budget Committee of the Prussian Chamber of Deputies on 30 September 1862, shortly after he became Minister President: "The great questions of the time will not be resolved by speeches and majority decisions—that was the great mistake of 1848 and 1849—but by iron and blood." Bismarck's words, "iron and blood" (or "blood and iron", as often attributed), have been variously misquoted or misappropriated as evidence of German lust for blood and power. First, his speech, and the phrase, "the great questions of time will not be resolved by speeches and majority decisions", is often interpreted as a repudiation of the political process, a repudiation that Bismarck did not himself advocate. Second, his emphasis on blood and iron did not imply simply the unrivaled military might of the Prussian army, but rather two important aspects: first, the ability of the assorted German states to produce the iron (and the related war materials) and second, the willingness to use them if, and when, necessary.
Bismarck faced two major problems (1) Austrian control of the German Confederation (the King of Britain was a member until 1837) as established in Vienna in 1815 by Metternich to serve as a buffer between Austria and Prussia and (2) unite all the disparate German states into a unified whole.
(1) The Austro-Prussian War of 1866. The pretext for precipitating the conflict was found in the dispute between Prussia and Austria over the administration of Schleswig-Holstein. When Austria brought the dispute before the German diet and also decided to convene the Holstein diet, Prussia, declaring that the Gastein Convention had thereby been nullified, invaded Holstein. When the German diet responded by voting for a partial mobilization against Prussia, Bismarck declared that the German Confederation was ended. After the Battle of Koniggratz where the Austrian death toll was 7 times that of the Prussians, the Austrians rapidly sued for peace. In order to forestall intervention by France or Russia, Bismarck pushed King William I to make peace with the Austrians rapidly, rather than continue the war in hopes of further gains. The Austrians accepted mediation from France's Napoleon III. The Peace of Prague on August 23, 1866 resulted in the dissolution of the German Confederation, Prussian annexation of many of Austria's former allies, and the permanent exclusion of Austria from German affairs. This left Prussia free to form the North German Confederation the next year, incorporating all the German states north of the Main River.
(2) Bismarck next needed a Casus Belli to unite all the German states remaining against a common foe. The conflict that presented itself was the culmination of years of tension between the two nations, which finally came to a head over the issue of a Hohenzollern candidate for the vacant Spanish throne, following the deposition of Isabella II in 1868. The public release of the Ems Dispatch, which played up alleged insults between the Prussian king and the French ambassador, inflamed public opinion on both sides. France mobilized, and on 19 July declared war on Prussia only, but the other German states quickly joined on Prussia's side. It soon became evident that the Prussian and German forces were superior, due in part to their efficient use of railways and the better Krupp steel artillery. Prussia had the fourth densest rail network in the world. A series of swift Prussian and German victories in eastern France culminated in the Battle of Sedan, at which Napoleon III was captured with his whole army on 2 September. Yet this did not end the war, as the Third Republic was declared in Paris on 4 September 1870, and French resistance continued under the Government of National Defense and later Adolphe Thiers.
Over a five-month campaign, the German armies defeated the newly recruited French armies in a series of battles fought across northern France. Following a prolonged siege, Paris fell on 28 January 1871. The siege is also notable for the first use of anti-aircraft artillery, a Krupp piece built specifically to shoot down the hot air balloons being used by the French as couriers. Ten days earlier, the German states had proclaimed their union under the Prussian king, uniting Germany as a nation-state, the German Empire. The final Treaty of Frankfurt was signed 10 May 1871.
My point in all this is that the newly unified German nation had been for almost 100 years, deliberately kept weak and fragmented by the actions and policies of Britain, France and Russia. After finally emerging as a unified nation they found themselves hemmed in by interlocking treaties designed to keep them a second class nation and maintain Britain as the worlds #1 power. A brighter, more diplomatically astute leader could had gradually overcome these limitation but alas Wilhelm II was none of these and he took the bait and initiated WWI. Of this simple fact there can be no debate but the British-French-Russian hands are hardly clean and clearly wanted this war to occur. To all parties credit, none had envisioned the TYPE of war that would result and the horrible loss of life that would occur. Most had thought the war would be settled by Christmas.