I don't doubt that Type XXIs observed the British formations but how to verify how close they got?
Without GPS tracks nobody could doubtless verify how close the subs came (even torpoedoes, had they been launched could have originated from another sub). But this technology doesn´t exist in ww2. You would need to question the submarine CO and officers credibility as eyewitnesses in order to question the events, per se. Which I -in turn- regard as a very questionable approach to the matter.
The 9 disguised aux. cruisers which got to open seas sank altogether 890'000BRT of merchant ships and one light cruiser and one British aux. cruiser. Smallest of these 9 was Komet, 3'287 tonnes and largest Kormoran, 8'736 tonnes. So their average was better than that of best of PBBs in tonnage sunk vs own tonnage.
I stand corrected with this. And now show me an allied aux. cruiser, cruiser or any gunfire capital ship-class which sunk that many tonnage as a PBB or an KM aux. cruiser as a class...
IIRC Graf Spee wasn't low on ammo at the beginning of the battle, after all it shot away 414 11" shots/shells during the battle but at the end of battle it had run rather low in its ammo and that had an effect on it's CO's later decisions.
This is only superficially true, my friend. Graf Spee, following a lengthy south Atlantic cruise was indeed low on the kind of ammo, which was best suited for this engagement: HE rounds. The 11.1" APC went right through the ship as neither of the RN cruisers had armour to stop them (as a matter of fact, even lateral fragmentation of the 11.1" HE round could pierce the turrets from near hits)
Exeter and Ajax and Achilles were "small" CA and CLs, British County class CAs had 33% more 8" guns than Exeter and the new Town class CLs had 50% more 6" guns than Ajax-class CLs. So IMHO Graf Spee would have had harder time against those bigger CAs and CLs.
I do not doubt that it would have been harder with other CA´s. But the fact still remains: three individual ships against a single, two turretted vessel leaves one ship (at least) unengaged, which is a tactical advantage, worthy beeing mentioned as such. HMS Exeter, effectively driven out of the engagement due to damage received by Graf Spee had a max. displacement of 10.688t.; Ajax and Achilles each a displacement of 9.740t. max while Graf Spee had a max. displacement of 16.020 t., around half as much as the RN ships combined. Not only had the RN ships strategic (Graf Spee has no hope of any assist and the allied presence was growing with Dunkerque and Strassbourg detached), tactical (visibility), numerical, conditional (torpedoes, nearby allies) and force advantage (30.168t. vs. 16.020 t.) but they were also faster than their german counterpart. The RN force thus should have been more than able to sink Graf Spee in this engagement, if Graf Spee is nearly as bad as Your statements imply.
But this didn´t happened. Countrary to this assumption, the 6" common and 8" SAP ammo had not the ability to penetrate into Graf Spee´s vitals and thus only superficial damage was inflicted to the ship (an exception is a single 8" training round penetrating the main belt. But this round was a solid APC-shot, with inherent advantages as to AP-capabilities and without filler. No damage occurred) This is a point of interest as it shows that other RN cruisers likely wouldn´t have differed in this regard if they had six, eight or twelve guns as long as the rounds do not penetrate. USN 8" CA´s do have generally much better APC rounds issued, but not by 1939.
On Hipper, IMHO it would be difficult to ram well shooting CA. On Hipper's case maybe part of the blame is on overconfident CO and maybe underestimating the fighting spirit of RN. So let's say that Hipper's shooting was not adequate for the CO's needs.
Barents Sea, I think that HMS Jamaica and HMS Sheffield shot better, after all they hit thrice Hipper in 5 minutes and sunk DD Eckholdt in minutes
Compare the number of ammo expanded on Sheffield Jamaica with the number of hits claimed and do the same for Hipper. Quite enlighting as to who had the better hit rate...
Hipper never showed "poor" gunnery or- assumning she did- than her contemporary allied cruisers had even poorer gunnery, respectively -which isn´t true. Therefore Hipper had very good gunnery for a cruiser as had Prinz Eugen. I think we both agree on the CO underestimating Glowworm´s fighting spirit and overestimating Hippers tactical position, hardly something one could blame the ship for.
On torpedoes, air-launched torpedoes were rather short-ranged, British Mk XII 1,500 yards (1,370 m) / 40 knots 3,500 yards (3,200 m) / 37 knots, Mk XV 2,500 yards (2,290 m) / 40 knots 3,500 yards (3,200 m) / 33 knots, USN Mk 13 6,300 yards (5,760 m) / 33.5 knots. So Mk 24 was slow but longer ranged than air-dropped torpedoes used by RN but had only 2/3 range of USN air-dropped torpedo.
Fido: 4000 yards
@ 12 Kts
US MK 13 air dropped torpedo: 6.300 yards @ 33.5 Kts
Soviet TAV-15 air dropped torpedo: 6.500-9.800 yards @ 30 Kts
Soviet 45-36AV-A air dropped torpedo: 4.370 yards @ 39 Kts
British 18" MK XV air dropped stand. torpedo: 3.500 yards @ 33 Kts
German F5B air dropped torpedo: 6.560 yards @ 24 Kts
japanese type 91 air dropped torpedo: 2.200 yards @ 41-43 Kts
To put this into prospect: adding 4 Kts to the speed of a uniform waterplane area submarine requires a rough approximate doubling of the energy. If we use the lowest performing air dropped torpedo (the german F5b at low speed configuration) and let the Fido run 24 Kts, it will have a range no more than 500 yards compared to the 6.560 of the F5b. Doing the opposite, letting the F5b run at Fido´s 12 Kts equals to a capacity range of theoretical 52.480 yards compared to Fido´s 4.000.
And according to Milford only 204 of the 264 attacks were against submarines, so success rate was almost 20%. I don't have success rate of T5, but I doubt it was much better, probably worse.
That is true but I added the non US successes of the Fido and hence You should add the 62 non US attacks on submarines with the Fido. That totals to a hit rate of slightly under 15%.