What does Japan do if War against USA/UK/DEI postponed to Spring 1942?

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Common sense was a fatal disease; Yamamoto was sent to sea because he wasn't enthusiastic enough for war, so there was a significant faction of people, mostly in the army and navy, who wanted to kill him. More that one officer was killed because they weren't militant enough.
 
What about the diplomats who died, or escaped death through luck? To the trigger-happy set, diplomacy was just another word for capitulation.
 
Hey XB02Drvr,

With the understanding that the following in no way condones the behavior of the Japanese toward the people of Korea, Manchuria, China, . . .:

re:"Their value system had no provision for "liberated" peoples, only "conquered", hence contemptible, peoples."

The above statement is excessively incorrect, at least insofar as it implies that the Japanese were somehow different in attitude toward the conquered than other imperialist nations (ie US, UK, France, Germany, Spain, Netherlands, Russia, . . . ) during their expansionist/colonial periods.
 
Sorry but I no understand.

If Japan avoids war with major powers, you saying America should go to war with Japan regardless?

The West was allies with Stalin so been pals with the Devil ain't new news. Yes the Japanese were brutal but it was a brutal age.

If USA is at war with Germany and Italy then it would make sense to make with the nice to Japan to keep them sweet.

If the stars align then the USA still will get the atomic bomb and come out of it a military monster. Then it will have to decide what it does with the USSR and Japan could be a natural anti commie ally that controls it's sphere of influence.

A major butterfly flapping its wings that if the Japanese avoid war at all cost with the west then they go war with USSR instead
 
The western colonial powers, in earlier times, mostly didn't do their empire building under the guise of "liberating victims of tyranny", with the notable exception of the US in the Philippines. They acted openly in out-and-out exploitation, but by the middle stretch of the 20th century attitudes were starting to change about the propriety of that approach, and Japan was late to the table in the "Great Empire Race". The low hanging fruit had already been claimed, and any gains for them would be at the expense of other powers. Enter the Japanese warrior culture, as perpetrated by the IJA with its bastardized version of Bushido ethics, its doctrine of racial superiority, and its brutality-conditioned internal structure condoning and even requiring brutal treatment of "inferior", "dishonored", and "craven" conquered peoples. No wonder said peoples weren't very enthusiastic allies. The behavior of the troops on the ground shot the Co-Prosperity Sphere in the foot. And officers who tried to treat their occupied people like future allies got reprimanded by GHQ Tokyo.
If Japan had somehow avoided going to war, and there hadn't been any regime change, we could be looking at Japan today as a present day North Korea on steroids.
 
A major butterfly flapping its wings that if the Japanese avoid war at all cost with the west then they go war with USSR instead
Japan got its ass kicked by the USSR in the 1930s. Now, in Spring 1942 Japan's embassy in Moscow will be reporting that a seemingly endless supply of combat troops, fearsome artillery and Katyusha rocket launchers, high performance aircraft and superlative tanks have demonstrably stopped the Germans....arguably the best army in the world. No way Japan is going to voluntarily kick that bees nest, especially as there are no resources to be hand in that direction.

But unless Japan can resolve the oil issue, no matter the global situation in April 1942 Japan must act or capitulate to USA's demands. On this matter, one of the triggers to the final US embargoes wasn't China, but was Japan's Sept 1940 invasion of FIC after the fall of France. Maybe Japan strikes the DEI from FIC without attacking the US, or withdraws from FIC to appease the US whilst keeping China.
 
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When you surround the enemy
Always allow them an escape route.
They must see that there is
An alternative to death.
—Sun Tzu, The Art of War

Always leave a line of retreat open

Not just for yourself.
For your enemy too.
A trapped enemy will lash out. has nothing to lose.
Rather leave a way to get out of position without losing face.
That means not questioning the oppositions motives.
Don't get personal.
Give your opponent a ladder to climb down

What happens when an action goes horribly wrong? If Japan was given an out then they may have taken it.

Now attacking Pearl Harbour didn't give the Japanese a line of retreat. When you do a military action, part of the thinking must be what happens when it goes wrong and how do I get out of it. Fighting an opponent which you know is superior is clearly folly.

Oddly the mobilization of America had very clearly been seen in ww1 so it's hardly going to be a shock of the sheer scale of American military industrial might. But bomb they do if Japan is going to be that stupid then it's a learning experience.
 
This made me think of Britain's surrender at Singapore. The Japanese didn't leave an escape (anyone who surrenders will be murdered, or enslaved and worked to death), but the British thought there was one, surrender. Had the British known there was no escape they might have fought on.
 
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Islanders have no choice but fight to the end. This is a matter of dead of alive as an island country. Hirohito was afraid of losing his imperial system on August 9, 1941 when the Soviet Union which he thought could be a mediator had declared war against Japan. He clearly told his men "My role is to hand this system to the future generation" at the Imperial Council held on the day.
 
The question is the oil embargo started August 1941 and scrap metal embargo June 1940. The Nanjing massacre happened 1937.

The stable door needed to be bolted much much earlier.

The Hull Note which was seen as an ultimatum clearly stated removal of all Japanese troops from Indo China and China. Note sure if Korea is included here.
 

Probably not, as the US had a deep history in China and Western Europe in Indochina. The neither the US nor Western Europe had significant interests in Korea.
 
The question is the oil embargo started August 1941 and scrap metal embargo June 1940. The Nanjing massacre happened 1937.

The stable door needed to be bolted much much earlier.
US public opinion was still too depression shaped and "America first" driven to be bolting stable doors on the far side of the world in 1937. "Let the yellow hordes fight it out themselves."
 
Looks good discussion if this was not a what-if thread.
The embargo by the US gave little influence on IJA in China as it depended on self-procurement.
Also, there was not such a historical term as the Nanjing massacre until 1946 when the allies needed it to execute Japanese war leaders.
 
Also, there was not such a historical term as the Nanjing massacre until 1946 when the allies needed it to execute Japanese war leaders.
Historical term or not, Shinpachi San, what happened in Nanjing was no secret at the time. It got plenty of play in the media of the day. My family was in touch with many friends they had left behind in Japan, as well as Nisei and Isei here in the states, and all were appalled and disappointed. I personally feel that many of the executions after the war were misguided and misinformed and based on western misunderstanding of what actually occurred on the ground. Case in point: General Yamashita was executed for atrocities in the Philippines committed by subordinates who violated his specific orders, then framed him and escaped postwar punishment. He was victim of a personal vendetta by Douglas MacArthur because he was in charge of the Philippines which was MacArthur's private fiefdom, and MacArthur feared his influence on the Japanese people in occupied Japan. He suppressed exonerating evidence, conducted a "special trial" and expedited Yamashita's execution.
 
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