"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (10 Viewers)

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The An-26 has long nacelles extending well past the trailing edge that do not show on that screenshot. From Thumpa's Aviation-safety-net: page the rego is on the linked telegram page photo and the linked Ukrainian site has a photo of the aircraft pre-mod so it definitely was an Il-22M.

I wonder how soon those engines fell off.
 
MiTasol said:
The Il-22M has four engines and that one only appears to have two. Did it shed the outboards early in the spin or is it misidentified?
Click to expand...

I'm gonna guess it shed the outer engines. One wings is broken off about where the engine would be while the other side has the gas/hydraulic fluid mist where an engine would be. That happens when you drop an engine and fracture lines. Just my two cents.
 
SaparotRob said:
I saw on a YT channel that Shoigu is under house arrest.
Click to expand...

This suggests otherwise but the source being RIA is sus

Russian defence minister visits troops after Wagner mutiny

Russian defence minister Sergei Shoigu visited Russian troops involved in the military operation in Ukraine, the RIA news agency reported on Monday, his first public appearance since the weekend mutiny by the Wagner paramilitary group.
www.reuters.com

June 26 (Reuters) - Russian defence minister Sergei Shoigu visited Russian troops involved in the military operation in Ukraine, the RIA news agency reported on Monday, his first public appearance since the weekend mutiny by the Wagner paramilitary group.

RIA's report, which cited Russia's defence ministry, made it clear Shoigu remained in charge, but provided no details on when and where he met the troops and commanders of the Western military district.
 
It looks like right now the question in Russia is ... Where is Putin? Putin hasn't been seen in public since denouncing the mutiny and threatening punishment. The only appearance was an interview recorded before the mutiny. Moreover, Monday will remain a non-working day in the capital.

Where Is Putin? Why Russia Is Quiet After Wagner Mutiny

In a bewildering 24 hours,the troops loyal to Russian mercenary Yevgeny Prigozhin advanced hundreds of miles toward Moscow only for him to suddenly call off the assault and agree to go into exile with all charges dropped in a late-night deal.
www.ndtv.com
 
Last edited:
It's the Daily Beast, so take with caution:


On Saturday night, with his heavily armed mercenaries closing in on Moscow, Yevgeny Prigozhin abruptly announced that he was shutting down his insurrection after a negotiated settlement that would allow him to walk away peacefully.

Just two days later, the Russian authorities leaked word that the agreement was already toast.

[...]

The Russian state news agency RIA Novosti reported that the criminal case against Prigozhin had not—in fact—been dropped. The official state news agency, TASS, soon confirmed that the investigation into the mutiny that humiliated President Vladimir Putin was ongoing.

A Prosecutor General's Office source was quoted as saying: "The criminal case against Prigozhin did not stop. The investigation continues."

[...]

Prigozhin could face 20 years behind bars.

Even loyal Kremlin propagandists had been furious that Putin was apparently going to let Prigozhin get away with turning on his own military and exposing the weakness of the Kremlin. The Daily Beast reported that the flagship propaganda show Sunday Evening With Vladimir Solovyov was brimming with disgust for such an act of presidential leniency.

"I am firmly convinced that during wartime, traitors have to be destroyed! Today, no matter who says what, whatever fairy tales they are telling, a bullet to the forehead is the sole salvation for Prigozhin," said State Duma deputy Andrey Gurulyov, a retired army officer. "Treason cannot be forgiven under any circumstances!"

Prigozhin Just Got Double-Crossed by Duplicitous Putin

The Kremlin was lying. The Russian authorities say they’ve backtracked on the amnesty deal offered to Prigozhin, who now faces a terrifying wait to hear his fate.
www.thedailybeast.com
 
Prigozhin has made his first statement since the end of his abortive coup. The following from the BBC:

Characteristically, Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin is highly critical of Russia's security forces in his latest audio message.
He said his march on Moscow on Saturday revealed "most serious security problems across the entire country," claiming that his units had managed to block "all" Russian military units and airfields in their path.
Prigozhin claims the Wagner mercenary group had support in the towns it went through during its short-lived rebellion.
He also claims his forces covered 780km (484 miles) in their march towards Moscow from the south - equivalent to the distance Russian forces took on 24 February last year (when they started their invasion in Ukraine) from the Ukrainian border to Kyiv, and onto Uzhgorod, a city in the far west of Ukraine on the border with Hungary and Slovakia.
He says if forces like Wagner's troops had carried out that first attack, "the special military operation in Ukraine" would have been over much sooner.
More from Yevgeny Prigozhin's 11-minute audio message now.
Speaking about the conditions of the deal that was reportedly done in order to bring the Wagner rebellion to a halt over the weekend, Prigozhin claims the group was "categorically against the decision to close Wagner on 1 July 2023 and to incorporate it into the defence ministry".
Commanders refused to accept the request to sign contracts with the Russian ministry of defence, he adds. In exchange, he claims around 30 of his men "were killed by Russian attacks" - the BBC hasn't verified this claim.
Prigozhin also says that Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko played a part in the deal, stating that Lukashenko "extended his hand and offered to find ways for Wagner to continue its work legally" - without giving further details.
Notably, Prigozhin didn't reveal where he was in the video message he shared on Telegram. It has been reported that as part of the deal, Prigozhin had agreed to go to Belarus.


It seems pretty clear that the Wagner thugs are loyal to their thuggish leader. It's unclear what will happen when the Russian MOD tries to take over the mercenary organization. I suspect we're not hearing the end of this, and that there will be further outbreaks of hostilities between Wagner thugs and the Russian military (different type of thugs). It wouldn't surprise me if we started to see desertions from Wagner in Ukraine. I don't see them blithely following orders from the Russian military.

The key question is what will Lukashenko do with Prigozhin? I don't see the latter disappearing quietly and, as others have pointed out, there is risk that Prigozhin creates a Wagner 2.0 in Belarus which would represent a direct threat to Ukraine.
 
Any information on what will happen with Wagner operations in various African nations and Syria?
 
buffnut453 said:
The key question is what will Lukashenko do with Prigozhin? I don't see the latter disappearing quietly and, as others have pointed out, there is risk that Prigozhin creates a Wagner 2.0 in Belarus which would represent a direct threat to Ukraine.
Click to expand...

I bet Lukashenko will do Putin's bidding and have Prig killed. He won't want to risk Wagner 2.0 turning on him, and he will want to retain Putin's support for his own regime.
 
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