"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (10 Viewers)

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Yuan, rupees, rials, piastres, colored stones, glass beads, shells... anything, even money to play Monopoly, now Putin will receive everything except real money. And all this, of course, strictly according to plan.
It will be interesting if Hungary goes rogue and buys Russian natural gas this winter. The rest of the EU won't be buying any oil or gas from Russia. I'd keep an eye on Turkey too.
 
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It will be interesting if Hungary goes rogue and buys Russian natural gas this winter. The rest of the EU won't be buying any oil or gas from Russia.
This winter has been so mild that right now gas reserves in Europe are record high for this time of the year. This is the time to start refilling for next winter, but EU remaining capacity is very limited. Last year gas prices started to spike in early June. This year on the other hand ....



That means that gas is readily available worldwide, and the logistics for tanking to EU are already set-up, no hiccups are expected this year.

Unfortunately Hungary has several issues:
1) Viktor Orban
2) Is one of the few Landlocked countries in Europe, so tanking gas and oil is simply not possible and the logistics are not there.

It has already been confirmed that Hungary will get most (about 80%) of it's gas and oil from Russia. Gas transits mainly through the Turkstream pipeline, oil however will, ironically, pay transit fees directly to the Ukrainian pipeline operator Ukrtransnafta. Ukrtransnafta notified Russia's pipeline operator Transneft of its plans to raise the fee it charges for the transit of oil
 

If military economist Marcus Keupp is right, by July 2024 Ukranians may very well be taking Berlin Sevastopol.

According to him Russia will lose the war in October this year, however the war may still drag on for a while, like Germany had already lost the war by 1944.
The Article doesn't mention it, but Marcus Keupp bases his prediction on the Russian equipment loss rate and the capacity of its industry to replace loses.

(crossing fingers for him to be right)

Regarding gas and Europe, it's not anymore a question of survival unless we get the coldest winter of 21 century, gas won't be an issue at all. (see my post above )
 
Major gas storages should be well filled across Europe, especially after the biggest one in Germany was taken out of russian control (who had it deliberately running dry in 2021 to mid 22), causing price spikes when they had to fill it during late summer and autumn 22.
 
If military economist Marcus Keupp is right, by July 2024 Ukranians may very well be taking Berlin Sevastopol. According to him Russia will lose the war in October this year...
Interesting article, but Keupp predicted the Ukrainian counteroffensive to begin in April, whereas except for a some testing of the front we haven't seen the big move yet.

"Ukraine is now completing the training of Ukrainian tank teams in Germany and Poland. This means we can expect a Ukrainian counter-offensive with Western tanks from mid-April."
 

Here explain a bit more on the calculations, but very superficially.

 
Russia needs to take out the GPS satellites over Russia. Though I assume NATO and the US have told Russia that's a red line not to cross?

Depends what you mean by "take out." Destroying the GPS satellites would be an absolute red line. However, jamming receipt of their signals clearly is not because Russia is doing that today.

The R-330Zh Zhitel jammer (shown below) has counter-GPS capabilities and is in use by Russian forces in Ukraine



Per this article, the R-330Zh is being used in Ukraine to jam JDAM:

 
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