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It will be interesting if Hungary goes rogue and buys Russian natural gas this winter. The rest of the EU won't be buying any oil or gas from Russia. I'd keep an eye on Turkey too.Yuan, rupees, rials, piastres, colored stones, glass beads, shells... anything, even money to play Monopoly, now Putin will receive everything except real money. And all this, of course, strictly according to plan.
This winter has been so mild that right now gas reserves in Europe are record high for this time of the year. This is the time to start refilling for next winter, but EU remaining capacity is very limited. Last year gas prices started to spike in early June. This year on the other hand ....It will be interesting if Hungary goes rogue and buys Russian natural gas this winter. The rest of the EU won't be buying any oil or gas from Russia.
It will be interesting to see where the war is in July 2024.
Regarding the Ukrainian air force, by July 2024 the AFU should have several dozen F-16s while most of their surviving Soviet-era MiGs and Sukhois will be close to worn out. Beyond F-16s what other NATO aircraft types do we expect Ukraine to be operating by July 2024? Perhaps Apaches? Gripens or Eurofighters? By July 2024, the Ukrainian army should have some Abrams MBTs alongside a growing fleet of Leopard 2s and Leopard 1s. I expect by July 2024 Ukrainian has developed and produced their own ATACAMs or long range precision rocket artillery. Vehicles and equipment for breaching minefields and crossing rivers and defences will be well sorted. Other tech in widespread use will be further advances in night fighting and drones. The Ukrainian navy will have a growing force of fast attack craft as well as (though this may be wishful thinking) the beginnings of an amphibious capability to land in Crimea.
Meanwhile, by July 2024, the Russians have to be on the ropes in materials, tanks, manpower, money and public support. Presumably Europe will survive another winter without Russian natural gas, and public support for Ukraine across the West will remain strong. Where do we think the front lines will be in a year's time?
Interesting article, but Keupp predicted the Ukrainian counteroffensive to begin in April, whereas except for a some testing of the front we haven't seen the big move yet.If military economist Marcus Keupp is right, by July 2024 Ukranians may very well be takingBerlinSevastopol. According to him Russia will lose the war in October this year...
Interesting article, but Keupp predicted the Ukrainian counteroffensive to begin in April, whereas except for a some testing of the front we haven't seen the big move yet.
"Ukraine is now completing the training of Ukrainian tank teams in Germany and Poland. This means we can expect a Ukrainian counter-offensive with Western tanks from mid-April."
Russia needs to take out the GPS satellites over Russia. Though I assume NATO and the US have told Russia that's a red line not to cross?Ukraine gains unmatched battlefield precision with M982 Excalibur GPS guided munition | Defense News July 2023 Global Security army industry | Defense Security global news industry army year 2023 | Archive News year
Ukraine Gains Unmatched Battlefield Precision with Raytheon's Excalibur GPS guided shellwww.armyrecognition.com
Not easy to do and arguably an act of war against the USA given the GPS satellites are a US Military assetRussia needs to take out the GPS satellites over Russia. Though I assume NATO and the US have told Russia that's a red line not to cross?
Russia needs to take out the GPS satellites over Russia. Though I assume NATO and the US have told Russia that's a red line not to cross?