"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (2 Viewers)

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From ISW:

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian air defense system near occupied Yevpatoria, Crimea, on September 14, suggesting that there may be systemic tactical failures with Russian air defense systems in occupied Crimea. The Department of Strategic Communications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated that Ukrainian forces struck the location of a Russian surface-to-air missile system near Yevpatoria (68km northwest of Sevastopol).[5] Ukrainian news outlet Ukrainska Pravda reported that a source affiliated with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) stated that the SBU and the Ukrainian Navy conducted a "unique special operation" that destroyed a Russian S-400 "Triumf" system near Yevpatoria.[6] Ukrainian forces reportedly struck the S-400 system's radar and antennas with drones and struck the launch complexes with two Neptune cruise missiles.[7] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) reported that Russian air defenses intercepted 11 Ukrainian drones over Crimea but did not mention any Ukrainian missile strikes.[8] Geolocated footage published on September 14 shows an explosion near Yevpatoria and subsequent smoke plumes in the area.[9] Additional geolocated footage shows that Russian forces had recently deployed an S-400 battery outside of Yevpatoria and that the explosion occurred in the same location where a Russian S-400 system had been deployed in August 2022.[10] The strike suggests that Russian forces were unprepared to intercept missiles with the system or were unable to do so. Ukrainian forces struck a Russian S-400 air defense system near Olenivka, Crimea (117km northwest of Sevastopol) on August 23, and the second Ukrainian strike on a significant Russian air defense system in recent weeks indicates that such tactical failures may reflect a wider systemic issue with Russian air defenses in occupied Crimea.[11]

[...]

The commander of the Russian 247th Guards Air Assault (VDV) Regiment (7th VDV Division) Vasily Popov was reportedly killed in combat in Ukraine.[18] Vasily Popov likely recently replaced Pyotr Popov as commander of the 247th VDV Regiment in August or September 2023, and Vasily Popov is the second commander of the 247th Regiment to be killed in action in Ukraine after Colonel Konstantin Zizevsky died in February 2022.[19] Elements of the 247th Regiment are reportedly operating in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area.[20] ISW has previously assessed that relatively elite VDV forces are conducting limited counterattacks in critical sectors of the front, and Vasily Popov's death supports ISW's assessment that these counterattacks will likely attrit these units further.[21]

Institute for the Study of War

This page collects ISW and CTP's updates on the conflict in Ukraine. In late February 2022, ISW began publishing daily synthetic products covering key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine.
www.understandingwar.org
 
Turkey, Bulgaria and Romania have been actively hunting mines - but if a larger contingent of Navies enter the Black Sea on a demining mission, this might also force Russia to "behave", as they would then run the risk of escalation if they attacked any of the minesweepers.

And "what if" minesweepers were assigned to protect grain ships from mines?

Hmmm...
 
Last edited:
Admiral Beez said:
How does Turkey prevent Russia from sending new warships into the Black Sea? Does the Montrose Convention have any teeth? Can Turkey physically chain off or block the entrance?
Click to expand...

Montreux Convention. By the way, France is still depository of the treaty.

With hindsight, the irony is that one of the purposes of UK and France was to limit the incursion of the Soviet fleet in the Mediterranean Sea.

Presently now it prevents Russia from reinforcing or exiting the Black Sea.
 
Even though it's a month and a half old, this is a good article about Russia's Black Sea and Baltic situation.

NATO's latest moves could bottle up much of Russia's naval power | CBC News

The NATO summit in Vilnius saw the alliance make some moves that have put Russia's Baltic and Black Sea fleets at risk of being confined to port — or even of being forced to abandon their home port.
www.cbc.ca
 
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