"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (2 Viewers)

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BRUSSELS (AP) — The European Union must back Ukraine against Russia for as a long as it takes and persuade the United States that its strategic interests in China are tied up in the outcome of the war, the woman nominated as the bloc's top diplomat for the next five years said Tuesday.

Questions have been raised about whether the 27-nation EU's commitment to Ukraine would remain firm with Russia appearing to have an edge in the war, which began on Feb. 24, 2022, and following the reelection of Donald Trump, who has vowed to end the conflict as U.S. president.

"Ukraine's victory is a priority for us all. The situation on the battlefield is very difficult," Estonia ex-Prime Minister Kaja Kallas told EU lawmakers during a hearing she must pass to be appointed as foreign policy chief.

"That is why we must keep on working every day. Today, tomorrow and for as long as it takes and with as much military, financial and humanitarian aid as needed," she said, and added that "this must be underpinned by a clear path for Ukraine to join the European Union."

Kallas underlined China's more covert role in the conflict.

"Without China's support to Russia, Russia would not be able to continue its war with the same force. China needs to also feel the higher cost," she said, suggesting that sanctions should be considered.


 

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"Ukraine's victory is a priority for us all. The situation on the battlefield is very difficult,"
But what does "Ukraine's victory" look like to the EU? If it's a return to the pre-2014 or even pre-2022 borders with Russia I think that is highly unlikely for 2025. My prediction is that Russia will agree to leave the Kherson oblast minus the land corridor between Crimea and Zaporizhia, and will keep all of Luhansk, Donetsk (including Mariupol), Crimea and most of Zaporizhia. In return Ukraine will be fast tracked to join the EU, but forget about NATO expansion until after 2029 when US leadership changes again. Before this, Zelenskyy will be tossed by a humiliated Ukrainian people.

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With the end of US military and financial aid in 2025, Ukraine just doesn't have the ability to retake any territory. That's why the US was pushing Ukraine in 2023 to use all its new kit in a major thrust rather than spread out in penny packets to hold the entire line. Maybe that was never going to work, but that was the last chance to retake land.

 
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