"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again."

[DerAdlerIstGelandet]

Putler is redeploying his traveling circus from Northern Ukraine to the Donbas region. Are they bringing their radioactive tanks with them?

Mobile dirty bombs?

 

[SaparotRob]

I'm just thinking that, ya' know, he's been kinda cavalier about losses so far. I just see him inadvertently setting up a radioactive border with Ukraine while cleverly maneuvering behind his own lines.

 

[SaparotRob]

He will also be reducing the Russian Army's payroll in response to the West's Special Economic Re-Bureautization that accidentally included Russia's loot.

 

[wlewisiii]

A threadreader series of tweets. It's an interesting analysis.

Thread by @kamilkazani on Thread Reader App

@kamilkazani: Why Russia is losing this war? First I'll discuss why Russia *is* losing. Then I'll give my version of how it could happen. The key to understanding lies in the Soviet/Russian military doctrine. It giv...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[Admiral Beez]

Any chance Ukraine can retake Crimea? A third Siege of Sevastopol?

 

[GrauGeist]

Just the geological situation would make the Crimea difdicult to retake, in light of the Ukraine military's numerical disadvantage.

They would need to somehow bolster their naval assets to counter Russia's Black Sea fleet.

 

[wlewisiii]

Completely retaking the Donbas from the separatists is probably a more realistic goal than Crimea. As GG notes, the physical geography and the lack of a significant naval presence keeps the Crimea secure in Comrade Putin's hands.

 

[Admiral Beez]

They would need to somehow bolster their naval assets to counter Russia's Black Sea fleet.

If only the Ukrainians had a trio of Kilos.

 

[wlewisiii]

If only the Ukrainians had a trio of Kilos.

A couple/three Type 214 submarines would be even better.

 

[Admiral Beez]

A couple/three Type 214 submarines would be even better.

True, but If the Russian ASW is anything like their tactics on land any relatively modern SSKs will do the job.

 

[Admiral Beez]

Completely retaking the Donbas from the separatists is probably a more realistic goal than Crimea.

In a way Russia has done Ukraine a favour, since there's no way Ukraine could have attempted to take the Donbas region militarily before without Russia attacking and likely the West muttering about Kiyv destabilizing the region. Now, Russia's already in the fight, the world recognizes the Donbas as Ukrainian territory, and Ukranin may have the ability to once and for all retake the region.

 

[GrauGeist]

The Crimea is still internationally recognized as Ukraine's territory, so *if* Ukrainian forces were to somehow liberate it, it would be accepted as a legitimate action (except by the whiney bitch, of course).

 

[Admiral Beez]

What would happen if tomorrow Russia rolls tanks into Latvia? Article 5, I know, but would NATO reaction be? All out attack on Russian military forces world wide, or just a stomping of whatever tanks and men have rolled into Latvia?

 

[vikingBerserker]

Well they took the war to Afghanistan

 

[Admiral Beez]

A good caution on combat vids.

 

[wlewisiii]

Yeah, that's a good one to post again. I'm not sure how may pages back in this thread it was when I posted that video from The Chieftan, back when it came out.

 

[Crimea_River]

What would happen if tomorrow Russia rolls tanks into Latvia? Article 5, I know, but would NATO reaction be? All out attack on Russian military forces world wide, or just a stomping of whatever tanks and men have rolled into Latvia?

You mean with the invisible tanks lining the border today? Evidence of an intended invasion by land would become apparent over several weeks/months. Plenty of time for NATO to build up in kind.

 

[Admiral Beez]

Yeah, that's a good one to post again. I'm not sure how may pages back in this thread it was when I posted that video from The Chieftan, back when it came out.

Here's a new one, helping to explain what the heck Russia wants.

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

What would happen if tomorrow Russia rolls tanks into Latvia? Article 5, I know, but would NATO reaction be? All out attack on Russian military forces world wide, or just a stomping of whatever tanks and men have rolled into Latvia?

With what? The major share of their active armed forces are bogged down in the south.

NATO reaction should the Russians be that dumb would likely to be to stamp out the brush fire in the Baltics, and then impose a no-fly zone over Ukraine, as hostilities have already been commenced by the Russians and the NFZ gets a pass after attacking NATO.

It'd be a foolish move by the Russians and guarantee their defeat on both fronts.

World-wide, I'd think NATO would consider blockading all Russian ports, at the very most, rather than opening active combat fronts.

 

[XBe02Drvr]

Another example of Russian precision targeting of Ukrainian military assets:

View attachment 663717

"Their white flags can't stand up against our muskets!"