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From my understanding Russia has been doing as much as they can to use cyber warfare against the main countries involved in or supporting Ukraine. Including the front line Nato countries such as Poland and the UK with little success. There are a number of reasons for this including the ability of the different countries to learn from each others experiences. It should be noted that some of the smaller Nato countries such as Estonia have been under pretty constant pressure for some years and have been very effective in dealing with such attacks as has Ukraine.I mean an all-out attack that would cripple the power-grid, the internet, and knock us into the dark ages.
The way to digitally cripple the West is to cut the subsea cables between North America and Europe. Apparently Russia and NATO's SSNs have been preparing for this eventuality.Cyberattack threads are exagerated,
Both Ukraine and Russia have been using an hellacious amount of artillery. It seems both sides are using up the Soviet era stocks from their neighbors. I'm guessing Russia still has more. Belorussia has been mobilizing to either pin down Ukrainian forces or readying for an invasion of Ukraine. Russia however, has been dipping into Belorussian ammo stocks. That doesn't seem like a good idea. How willing would Belorussian troops be to go to Ukraine with less artillery? Is the Belorussian Army becoming less trustworthy? Will the time for a shake-up in Belorussia be about the same time as Ukraine launches a counter-offensive?'I think the Russians are waiting for winter': Ukraine is bracing for what could be Putin's cruellest war tactic
Ukraine has now been under almost constant bombardment from Russia for more than five months, but analysts say the defining months could be just ahead.www.abc.net.au
I don't think the Belarusian people will tolerate Lukashenko sending their sons to die for Putin's folly in Ukraine. They're well aware of the ten thousand plus dead sons Russia's families have suffered. If he does send troops into Ukraine I'd expect to see huge riots of Belorussian citizens supported by disaffected police and soldiers in Minsk, with Lukashenko ending up fleeing for Russia like Yanukovych or pressed against a wall like Ceaușescu.Belorussia has been mobilizing to either pin down Ukrainian forces or readying for an invasion of Ukraine.
As far as I know there is significant redundancy, so cutting a few cables won't make an impact, other than slowing things a bit due to increased traffic in the remaining cables.The way to digitally cripple the West is to cut the subsea cables between North America and Europe. Apparently Russia and NATO's SSNs have been preparing for this eventuality.
Threat looms of Russian attack on undersea cables to shut down West’s internet
US President Joe Biden warned this week that Russia is considering attacks on critical infrastructure. One of the scenarios that has been mooted since the start of the war in Ukraine is that Moscow will…www.france24.com
Besides, this is getting out of the cyber-attack scenario and becomes an actual physical attack of critical infrastructure. They may as well nuke western datacenters.
I can't see Putin giving Lukachenko autonomous control over nuclear weapons. It's only a matter of time before the government in Minsk changes, and there's no guarantee that the new Belarus regime doesn't aim those missiles at Moscow. The more likely scenario, assuming a WMD deployment is at all feasible, is that Putin bases nuclear missiles in Belarus under strict Russian control.This is why Putin has offered to give nuclear weapons to Belarus. With nuclear weapons at his disposal, Putin's buttpuppet Lukachenko can make the same threats of retaliation against Ukraine and US/NATO as Putin has.
If I remember correctly Putin offered to give Belarus nuclear capable weapons, which is very different from nuclear weapons. There are many weapon systems which are nuclear capable, from a submarine torpedo tube, to a large artillery gun, to an ICBM.I can't see Putin giving Lukachenko autonomous control over nuclear weapons. It's only a matter of time before the government in Minsk changes, and there's no guarantee that the new Belarus regime doesn't aim those missiles at Moscow. The more likely scenario, assuming a WMD deployment is at all feasible, is that Putin bases nuclear missiles in Belarus under strict Russian control.
Numbers are confidential but 1000 looks realistic.We can assume that this number will grow.Dimlee may have better information on the number of Belarus dissidents that have joined the Ukrainian International Legion, but the last INTEL I saw placed it somewhere around 1000.
And in the coastal areas it can be done without Navy involvement.The way to digitally cripple the West is to cut the subsea cables between North America and Europe. Apparently Russia and NATO's SSNs have been preparing for this eventuality.
Threat looms of Russian attack on undersea cables to shut down West’s internet
US President Joe Biden warned this week that Russia is considering attacks on critical infrastructure. One of the scenarios that has been mooted since the start of the war in Ukraine is that Moscow will…www.france24.com