Breaking this down
A couple of weeks ago I predicted that OPEC would raise a single digit salute to US and NATO. I still predict economic disaster for EU, and indrectly UK, pointing to inflation and currency.
Will times get more difficult? probably a little, but disaster, not a chance. Why because they have the support of each other, now the Russian economy, that will be a real rail crash. Interestingly, long term this will be good for Europe as they will be weaned off oil to a significant degree. Nuclear fusion is coming and he first site for the UK's prototype reactor has already been chosen. Other countries will soon follow and may well be ahead.
A Nord Pipeline was destroyed, not by Russia - So who?
A lot of folks are going to starve in the dark in eastern Europe (Those countries not able to politically rely on coal power and the few Nucs left), - Again who. In a democracy if the people start getting close to being short of food, the power stations will be turned back on. IN Russia like N Korea the people starve
Natural Gas and Fuel Oil will continue via third parties at 2X to 3X of January 2022 crude peg but not AFFORDABLE by the PEOPLE. People get grumpy when confronted with choice 'Food vs safe Shelter - but not both'. Look to Populist leadership changes in Italy and Sweden. Countries are doing well at the moment (in the west) and will adapt. Notice that the new leader in Italy is supportive of Ukraine
The landscape is changing. Correct, totally agree, Russia is totally F----d. No economy, No Army, No Airforce, No political system, no overseas power and totally open to Chinese intervention in the East. The landscape is indeed changing
Zelensky is pressuring NATO to come to the fight, up to and including nucs. So where has Zelensky asked for Nato to join in or ask for Nuc's?
Russia may be going through trying times as far as personnel losses, You have seen the T62's being brought out of storage, mobilised troops having to buy their own armour, first aid kits, basic equipment, winter uniforms. Don't you agree that this is more than just killed and wounded
but less than Ukraine as a % of reserves. Everybody is led to believe Putin is in deep kimchi. Maybe. Probably not. Deploying National Guard and then draftees into the battle will (In My stupid, ill informed opinion) will enable Russia to systematically reduce Ukraine's front line forces. Not by frontal assault, but systematic reduction by overwhelming artillery, as the 'newbies' are assimilated. There is so much wrong with this I don't know where to start. All I will say is that if Russia is out of kit now, what will they be using with another 200,000 men, T54/54's
I don't think Putin is bluffing and strongly believe that leaders in EU and NATO and US need to hit a pause and seriously examine what Putin is saying. He knowsthat if he does this then the army in Ukraine will be destroyed by air power. Just an aside, Your belief is that Ukraine is losing, if Russia is winning why would they need Nuc's? Just asking
I have been 'chastised' for my sources, and I accept that. I haven't seen any worth a candle
For those that are interested in the thoughts and analysis of Scott Ritter - take some time to listen to his perspectives. skip the first ten minutes and get to the questions and answers of the show. Re: Nordstream pipeline His perspectives of the US potential motivations of core interest groups in driving industry from EU (Germany) to US is certainly plausible. I have and I have never seen a less plausible set of words.
