After the Ukrainians has expelled Russia and its influence from Ukraine, Russia's other neighbours, including Chechnya will want to do the same. Surely the people of Chechnya want to avenge or at least not forget the Russian's massacres at Grozny and elsewhere. Of course they have the added challenge that democracy and human rights like freedom of speech, religion and association, an open and free media, independent justice systems, etc. do not come easy to Islamist states.
... you, Admiral, are guilty of expecting the most optimistic, rational outcome from unfolding events.

Russia did not embrace liberal democracy when the West poured in after the collapse of the USSR.
China has not embraced liberal democracy, just its tools, education and opportunities, because Communism is theology-thought and, the CCP manages society with carrot and stick.
Chechnya has never been the least liberal or democratic. Tribal, Islam, Patriarchal. Communism probably WAS progressive when it overtook the country.
Georgia, another badlands country with great food, brandy and for would-be Stalin /Beria outlaws to hide out.
These states are like the Balkans, borders have been hard-fought, religion-politics have divided, memories are long and bloody-vivid. Best hope is managed stability and time.
What is certain is Russia has lost it - the big dog at the table isn't big. Xi is big. Xi wears his confidence well. Putin has sold Russia to China
and every little state will come to terms with China. Technology will race ahead and respect no boundaries, liberal or autocratic
China prefers stable borders and friendly neighbors. And, the CCP is still standing, trying to deliver the future to the world.
