"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (10 Viewers)

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GrauGeist said:
This may seem to hold true, however, as mentioned several times before in this thread, the USN held back on it's "draw down" munitions (like their ATACAMS or example) in anticipation of a conflict in the Pacific.

So there is most certainly situational awareness.
Click to expand...
Except the argument here is that China will get Russia to launch an attack in Europe to force the West into essentially a two front war. However you can avoid this by hurting Russia so hard now that they simply won't have the ability to. This is independent of what the USN might have.
 
Quite an interesting video on the rise of drone warfare, explaining how this is a seismic shift in how warfare is fought. This has massive implications - not just from a technological standpoint, but also from a logistical standpoint, and it could reshape the nature of power dynamics and which nations have large geopolitical advantages in the future.


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfvGTL_k9aE
 
GTX said:
Except the argument here is that China will get Russia to launch an attack in Europe to force the West into essentially a two front war. However you can avoid this by hurting Russia so hard now that they simply won't have the ability to. This is independent of what the USN might have.
Click to expand...

I don't agree with the unspoken premise that China is a Svengali that can pull Russian strings to make them go to war. Russia is in no state to further invade Europe, and won't be for quite some time.

If China wants its two-front war, the time to move is now, but I don't believe they're quite ready -- especially since they're contemplating a 100-mile amphibious operation. In fact, the other day I read an opinion piece arguing that it might be more likely that China would move to retake territory it lost to Russia in the 19th century. I'm not so sure of that, either.
 
www.abc.net.au

'A lot of bulls***': Trump lashes Putin and U-turns on weapons for Ukraine

The US president says he has authorised the delivery of more weapons to Ukraine, while he is considering "very strongly" a bill to levy a 500 per cent tariff on countries that continue to buy Russian oil.
www.abc.net.au www.abc.net.au

This is the latest but who knows how long this will last.

I like the 500% idea but doubt it will come to pass as it hurts NATO member Turkiye.
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Thumpalumpacus said:
I don't agree with the unspoken premise that China is a Svengali that can pull Russian strings to make them go to war. Russia is in no state to further invade Europe, and won't be for quite some time.

If China wants its two-front war, the time to move is now, but I don't believe they're quite ready -- especially since they're contemplating a 100-mile amphibious operation. In fact, the other day I read an opinion piece arguing that it might be more likely that China would move to retake territory it lost to Russia in the 19th century. I'm not so sure of that, either.
Click to expand...
Probably, future historians will discuss the dilemma of China in a similar manner to the "northern strategy" and "southern strategy" considered by Japan in the early 1940s.
 
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