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I think what was done at Bletchley Park was such an astounding achievement that a scenario that assumes a German 'red team' figures out how to crack the Enigma in the same fashion is far beyond any kind of plausibility.But if there's one thing that needs to change in German naval strategy to make the greatest impact, it's in secure communications between HQ and the uboats. So, in the 1930s the Naval Intelligence Service instructs the B-Dienst to thoroughly investigate the Enigma device for design and operational vulnerabilities.
If by the time WW2 starts, the navy's encryption has addressed many of the vulnerabilities listed above, the German navy will be much harder to counter.
Another related change that would have a big impact is greater independence and communication blackouts for ships and uboats on operations. Had Lutjens kept his mouth shut, Bismarck might have made Brest, for example. So, instead of micromanaging the uboats, the boats are sent out into known convoy routes to conduct independent ops. Wolf packs wouldn't be as organized.
The Poles had it cracked before the war. The Polish cryptographers who cracked the Enigma code Having the Germans discover the vulnerabilities exploited by the Poles is plausible.I think what was done at Bletchley Park was such an astounding achievement that a scenario that assumes a German 'red team' figures out how to crack the Enigma in the same fashion is far beyond any kind of plausibility.
A radical solution to the "problem" of S&G being undergunned and not getting involved in changing turrets (and everything else that goes with it) is to sell them to the Dutch. Historically, in 1940, a contract was concluded on the transfer of technology for the battlecrusier (S&G), with a somewhat modified project. Wiki says that the Netherlands started (unsuccessful) projects even before 1938. So ... with a little thought out politics/business why not sell even unfinished (or just completed) S&G say between 1936 -1937. And the money obtained from the sale can be used immediately for 3rd and 4th Bismarck-class BBs (and much smoother construction of the first two).There would be some problems with the capacity of the shipyard, but...
With 4 modern Bismarck-class battleships in 1940/1, the Kriegsmarine ceases to be a fleet in being and becomes a real threat to the RN (at least for a while).
The Dutch Scharnhorsts will go to the DEI. That will make Java Sea more interesting. And Japan will be royally peeved at Berlin for dramatically reinforcing the Dutch Navy in the region. Presumably both would need to be maintained or refitted at Singapore. If Germany can somehow defeat France without invading the Netherlands, a neutral Dutch government presents new questions.Or participating in the defense of the DEI together with the Allies against the Japanese onslaught.
The Dutch Scharnhorsts will go to the DEI. That will make Java Sea more interesting. And Japan will be royally peeved at Berlin for dramatically reinforcing the Dutch Navy in the region. Presumably both would need to be maintained or refitted at Singapore.
If Germany can somehow defeat France without invading the Netherlands, a neutral Dutch government presents new questions.
In the 1930s and in WW2, Germany needed more and better uboats to slow the convoys. Move asap away from the small Type II to much larger submarines. Even the 220ft long, 770 ton workhorse Type VII is too small, when at the same time the RN were operating 270ft, 1300 ton T-class. The French and Italian boats were also larger, not to mention the big USN and IJN boats. Germany needs uboats that can remain at sea for long periods with sufficient armament, fuel, food and crew amenities.
And skip the battleships and put that steel, copper, etc, into uboats, plus hundreds of more tanks, trucks, and whatever helps with Barbarossa. If there's no Deutschlands, Scharnhorsts or Bismarcks it will be interesting to see what the Royal Navy builds. Will Ark Royal, the Illustrious and KGV classes be built as per history? Are the Revenge class decomissioned into reserve? And can Germany take Norway with only the Hippers, CLs and DDs?
Agreed. I think we don't appreciate how small German U-boats were compared to the submarines in the other navies....If they had something like really long range subs those could have been alternatives to surface warships for hunting lone merchantmen in the South Atlantic or even the Indian Ocean
Why???This is what the Germans needed to be building from 1940 onwards.
General characteristics Type | |||
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Type: | Type VIIB U-boat | Diesel-electric submarine P Class SS 176-181 | |
Displacement: |
| 1,350 tons (1,372 t) standard, surfaced,[3] 1,997 tons (2,029 t) submerged[3] | |
Length: |
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Beam: |
| 25 ft ⅞ in (7.6 m)[3] | |
Draft: | 4.74 m (15 ft 7 in) |
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Propulsion: |
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Speed: | |||
Range: |
| SS-176-181: 11,000 nautical miles (20,000 km) surfaced at 10 knots (19 km/h)[3]
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Test depth: | 230 m (750 ft). Calculated crush depth: 250–295 m (820–968 ft) | 250 ft (80 m)[3] | |
Complement: | 4 officers, 40 to 56 enlisted | 5 officers, 45 enlisted[3] | |
Armament: |
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The KM did have a larger boat - the Type IX and its derivatives. The 6 Type IX entered service between Aug 1938 and Nov 1939 to be followed by 14 improved IXB through to the end of 1940, to be followed by the IXC in 1941. Range started at 10,500 miles at 10 knots and steadily increased.I think the Germans would've benefitted from having at least some larger, longer-range U-boats on hand, Paukenschlag without needing milch-cows, would likely have been more efficient.
I wish Wikipedia would keep a consistent UOM order. Sometimes they lead with metric, sometimes imperial. Sometimes displacement is tons, tonnes short tons or long tons. And don't get me started on aircraft specs, where one will give us wing area or rate of climb, but others will give us just wingspan and speed. It's as if the folks at Wikipedia don't want to facilitate apples to apples comparisons. Yes, Wikipedia is contributor-driven, but the system could force the sequence of data and refuse incomplete submissions.data from Wiki
The KM did have a larger boat - the Type IX and its derivatives.
Subs would work for long distance cruisers, they just had problems. One was vision.
If you have a sub where the lookouts are 20ft above the water (a little low) the visual horizon is about 5.5 miles. If you have a freighter bridge 50ft high you have a horizon 0f 8.7 miles and if you can get a look out up at 70ft the horizon is 10.3 miles.
Most subs didn't have radar in the early part of the war and radar worked better for the Americans than it did for the Germans or Japanese. American subs had radar before most Japanese destroyers did and they had better radar, not a 100% guarantee but the US boats could probably detect the Japanese ships before the Japanese detected the Americans.
Germans did not have that advantage, or at least not often and/or not for long.
As note by other, food for long voyages was problem. Condensation was problem. For the Germans in the North Atlantic the condensation was problem, actually cooling the sub due to heat was a much lesser problem than the tropics.
The German type IXs were designed for distance waters and had a few problems in the NA. Depending on exact version about 8 torpedoes out of 22 were stored in tubes under the deck. The Sub had to surface and go through a long/laborious/dangerous process of getting the torpedoes into the hull.
View attachment 767248
Notice the possible tube just forward of the conning tower. This does not look like "fun" even tied to dock. In a rolling sea at winter in the NA?
Warm calm day in the tropics, not too bad..................................If a PBY doesn't come along with the hatch open and the torpedo half in and half out.
A Type IX could crash dive in about 35 seconds, Type VIIs could do it in about 25-30 seconds. Equivalent British boats were a bit faster, US subs were slower, some Japanese subs could send out written invitations.
For the Germans there were only so many slips that could build the larger boats. Yes you can lengthen some slips.
Is a German Gato worth it? Are 2 Gatos worth 3 Type IXs or 2 Gatos worth 4 Type VIIs?
It is, however the torpedo supply is also important. So is having engines/machinery that will last reliably for the longer patrols.Longer time on station due to larger supply stocks/fuel tanks/crew comforts is a force-multiplier. Whether it's worth it financially or otherwise, I couldn't say.