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Of course it must be noted that the IX commanders were more seasoned,
I would note the British continued to build S and V class submarines until the end of the war and didn't switch over to all Ts. In part for some the same reasons the Germans persevered with the Type VII. Faster diving, better underwater maneuverability and smaller target.
One might note that this was not entirely unique to the Germans.
The US had to replace almost all of their pre-war submarine commanders before achieving any real level of success.
Pre-war exercises with unrealistic conditions had produced a very cautious/defensive mindset in the sub commanders. To be detected was almost automatically assumed to be sunk in the war games.
Of the top 10 U.S. Sub Commanders, all had pre-war submariner training and experience.This is correct; the best example being Mush Morton.
That was the standard explanation of those who refused to consider that early WW2 USN torpedoes were deeply flawed. USN torpedoes were largely useless until late 1943:One might note that this was not entirely unique to the Germans.
The US had to replace almost all of their pre-war submarine commanders before achieving any real level of success.
Pre-war exercises with unrealistic conditions had produced a very cautious/defensive mindset in the sub commanders. To be detected was almost automatically assumed to be sunk in the war games.
I would also note that even such details as slip length or crane capacity can mean smaller ships staying production instead of all production facilities switching to new/larger design.
The bigger conventional U-boats were slower to dive, had a bigger turning circle and had a bit less range (endurance) when running on batteries (20%?). Diving depth may have been a bit shallower.
I agree that the chances of German outright victory took a dive for the worse after the entry of the US, but in 1942 it was still dependent on luck and intelligent use of resources for the allies to survive. one of the biggest shake ups was in the allocation, deployment and use of the airborne assets.We can argue all day about how close a thing the Battle of the Atlantic was. By your estimates, a 5 million ton buffer by the end of 1941 would support the contention I made earlier that the KM had its best chance in 1940/41. After that it had lost the Battle because, at the risk of sounding like a broken record, it could not sink enough ships, consistently enough, to prevent a steady increase in the tonnage available to the Allies.
Cheers
Steve
Of the top 10 U.S. Sub Commanders, all had pre-war submariner training and experience.
Cmdr. Morton ranked number 3 out of those top 10 and made the third spot because of the number of ships sunk, not tonnage.
That top ten list is:
1) Cmdr. O'Kane - USS Tang: 24 ships/93,824 tons
The Tang was lost to it's own torpedo on 25 October 1944 resulting in O'Kane being taken POW.
2) Cmdr. Cutter - USS Pomapano: 19 ships/72,000 tons
3) Cmdr. Morton - USS Wahoo: 19 ships/55,000 tons
Lost on 4th patrol (September 1943)
"War is mainly a catalogue of blunders."
Churchill again.