I haven't got time to dig into the charts right now, but rule of thumb if you don't want your pilots to take an unscheduled swim: ALWAYS take the LEAST optimistic figure, then start deducting for contrary circumstances from there. Tail End Charlie will be flying the most beat up least efficient plane in the squadron, will burn the most fuel throttle jockeying at the whiplash end of the formation, and be the one whose loss you'll have to explain to the CO and whose parents you'll have to write THE LETTER to after everybody else returns safe.So let me put this out there to my fellow pilots, especially Wes, Bill and Biff (if you wish to partake in this groundhoggery) who are all ATPs and have way more time in the air than this Commercially Rated CFII who only flies SEL aircraft - how would you interpret this?