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What's interesting, is Germany's absence in all of this. I find it interesting that the most prosperous country in Europe barely spends any of it's budget on defense.
They succeeded by way of the Hanovers, for a while.They tried for European domination twice by military means, and things didn't work out. now they get what they want with economic muscle.......
There are more than one way to win a war these days.
Decision? They're already buying it Greg, and I think we know that Israel is not going to accept a piece of military hardware it doesn't wantI didn't forget ahything Joe, and I bet if Israel were offered the chance to fly it in a war game, they'd do that and make decisions based on outcomes. That alone makes me think we won't give them the chance.
F-22 was 142~ million, I showed that earlier. no matter how you slice it the F-35 is cheaper. I think your numbers include spares and sustainment.And your link is 2015 budget request, not an overall program cost rollup. I have no doubt the 2015 F-35 is cheaper than the 2011 F-35. But get a complete rollup and divide by the number of planes to be acquired ... and you get a real story, not a 2015 snapshot. I want a rollup per unit cost. It won't be much cheaper than the F-22s that we are seemingly so loathe to expose to hostile fire. So we bought a single engine sled that costs whtin a hair of the same and we'll expose THAT to hostile fire instead. Makes no sense to me.
And again, that will come...But I'd still like to see a realisitic war game that employs F-35s with people trying to stop them and ROE that allow normal assets for all combatants. If nothing else, it would help us develop tactics for the F-35 force that we either have or are stuck with, depending on your point of view.
The F-35 as it stands right now is the most tested combat aircraft in history, one of the reasons why it cost so much!!!Everyone seems to belive I am against the F-35. I haven't exactly said that. I said I want it to be evaluated realistically and then make a decision on it rather than procure all 2,400+ of them and find out we don't want them after all. I'm neither for it or agianst it at this time, but I think it is stupid beyond description to continue proceeding without an evaluation of it in a realistic test.
Make it the F-35 proponent's cost of proceeding ... if the F-35 proponents are against a real test, then cancel it immediately and try again. If they agree, run the test, make a determination, and DO it. What I really hate is spending all the money before finding out if it is a good idea. So far the tests aren't very convincing to me. That doesn't mean they were run correctly or were reported correctly.
Let that all be water under the bridge and go FIND OUT before another round of spending is passed. By now, it should be ready or not. FIND OUT and act on it.
An the F-117 was an unsolicited offering that had no budget oversight and was never under the scrutiny of the press, except for it's role in Panama, where the press tried to make it look like a lemon. Amazing!According to F-177 pilots I spoke with, nobody flew CAP for it. It ingressed and egressed all by itself. It had CAP before going into attack profile ... and was never attacked while forming up. Once in attack profile, it went out all on its own and came back that way, too.
And it flew good enough for the Air Force to put up with it for 20 years until the F-35 came along. BTW Greg, I was on the program, I saw the first two built and worked in Building 309/ 310 at Burbank, so if you want to compare F-117 resumes, fire away.If there is anyone up on the F-117, it's me. I was in on Have Blue and Pave Blue. I followed the F-117 with great interest. Bad assumption there ... Joe. It had some design stupidity and had some design genius. Mostly, the genius part won out. But it certainly didn't exactly fly well. It flew, but you need to "put up with it" ... you didn't have a great time doing it, and it was never going to win any visual engagement ... that's for damned sure. It couldn't run and couldn't fight. All it could do was get used at night and evade. Turned out to be enough.
It's obvious you're sold on the F-35. You might be on the right side there. I'm not sold on it yet and am not firmnly agianst it either. So far it hasn't impressed me much. But I also know how things get distorted in reporting by people with an agenda. I'm open to being a supporter, but this forum ain't gonna' be the deciding factor as I have identified nobody in here on the F-35 program in an operational capacity.
see above and it has nothing to do about a guess from pro-F-35 sites, it has to do with being in this business long enough to separate the fact from the bullsh!t.No pilots, no mechanics, no mission planners. It's all a guess in here based on pro-F-35 propaganda sites.
Ok.....When the fur flies, we'll see what happens. I was hoping for a decent war game, but the way the world works, it might come sooner than we think. I hope not, but you never know.
Will they fly the one they are buying?!?!Believe me, if Israel participated in a war game that showed the F-35 to be a turkey, the order would be cancelled in a heartbeat. Unlike us, they aren't committed to it. They want it if it lives up to the hype. If it doesn't, they'll run like a pair of panty hose being scratched by a cat.
I'm not trying to convince you and never will, what I will do is call you (and anyone else) on the assumptions, half-truths, guesses and sometimes lies being said about this aircraft. It's being deployed, is working as advertised and is being fielded by almost a dozen nations, do you really think that this many participating air forces will buy into a weapons system that wouldn't work? Italy has it's own production line! If this plane was that much of a pig, it would have died in 2007, the same time period some are basing their comments on!!!Might as well stop trying to convince me. My conviction will come with F-35 use, not words in here. So I'll go away from this thread until such time as the F-35 actually does something to talk about. Maybe then I'll be on your side. Maybe not.
Here were the costs as of 31 Dec 2013.
View attachment 304913
You can find it here: http://www.acq.osd.mil/ara/am/sar/SST-2013-12.pdf
In base year dollars, that's 276,000 MILLION dollars for what amounts to an aircraft that is in some serious doubt by a LOT of people who know what they're talking about.
Let's say it boils down to 1,000 aircraft. That's still 276 million per aircraft and the creative accountants can't change that. It's simple, forget the hype in the press. GO look at the total program cost divided by the number of aircraft and you have your real cost per airplane.
And it's nowhere NEAR what they claim in the press.
In THEN -YEAR dollars, it added up to 330,000 million. For the same 1,000 aircraft it adds up to 330 million per aircraft. The only way for the cost to be 100 million per aircraft is if the programr eaults in 3,300 F-35s. I don;t think so ... and the costs aren't static. They're higher now.
We're slated to buy 2,443 F-35s. That's $135M per airplane in 2013 dollars. The cost today isn't what it was in 2013, it has gone up.
But I also know how things get distorted in reporting by people with an agenda. I'm open to being a supporter, but this forum ain't gonna' be the deciding factor as I have identified nobody in here on the F-35 program in an operational capacity.
No pilots, no mechanics, no mission planners. It's all a guess in here based on pro-F-35 propaganda sites.
I didn't say it was a pig or that I was against it. I said I want to see it tested realisticaly, So far, I haven't seen it.
I worked on the F-35, too, and did some detailed design analysis of the actuators. If they are typical of the aircraft, I'll pass on it.
Not really - there is a large portion of the program that has to remain transparent and are under scrutiny by congress. Posted earlier was the issue with the ejection seat where it won't support a "135 pound pilot" but yet the same seat is used on several other aircraft.I never worked on the electrical system and it might be fine. I have seen no electrical system writeups that raise any particular attention, and so was assuming it to be OK. I haven't seen system writeups because they are classified. If you haven't seen them either, then we both don't know and are guessing.
Well perhaps you should and also review the actual flight test results that show the aircraft has either met or is meeting its design objectivesI am NOT objecting to it out of ignorance in the slightest. I haven't followed the flight test program in detail, but haven't been impressed with what I have read .. and I already addressed that. There was no point in following it since there was a political rush for approval.
This is the USAF site for the F-35 F-35 Lightning II Program Navy F-35C Lightning Boards Ike for Developmental Testing Marines U.S. Marines Corps declares the F-35B operational > The Official United States Marine Corps Public Website > News DisplayI'll get interested when they have some actual service data to analyze that doesn't come from the manufacturer, but rather from the users.
So far, in good-wweather, peactime carrier landings and takeoffs, it seems OK. If it can't do that, then we're being duped by professionals. That doesn't make a warfighter. It makes for good press.
you do Greg, at the same time you'll also be challenged (or confirmed) by facts but I'll state again, right now you seem to be behind about two years in where the aircraft actually is on the flight test and deployment profile...Like I said, words ain't gonna' do it; only performance in role. And that hasn't happened yet. I have the right to be unconvinced until such time as I get convinced one way or the other by service performance. Looks like we're buying it whether we should or not, so I'll get convinced one way or the other soon enough. I hope it is later for reasons stated a long time ago in a post far, far away.
What's interesting, is Germany's absence in all of this. I find it interesting that the most prosperous country in Europe barely spends any of it's budget on defense.
I found it interesting how Merkel railed on Hungary and Croatia for denying access to the "refugees", talking down to them and then ended up choking on her own words when the swarms of "invited refugees" started inundating Germany and they ended up closing their own borders.Why should they when the US, Britain and France do the heavy lifting for Germany.
Could be 2 years behind, Joe. I'll look at your links this week as I get the time. Probably Friday at the earliest. I still think it is too much money for a strike fighter, but what modern plane isn't too much? Ask any user and that's what they'll say. It's sort of like a divorce ... when neither side is happy, it was probably a fair settlement.
I do NOT see how it will avoid WVR fights and remain BVR ... since the rules are mde by people who don't look at capabilities ... but, again, we'll see. The dog'll hunt or won't.
And once again Greg, you're not getting it - The F-35's primary role is that of a STRIKE AIRCRAFT. If we go by past history you'll find that when the F-16 was used to perform intercepts and enforce no-fly zones they were doing in an environment where there was little or no opposition.The F-15 has decades of successful no-loss intercepts. We'll see what the F-35 does in due time. Since we'll have 2,400+ of them and 177 or less F-22s, I'm betting the F-35 will get a lot of intercepts, or at least that makes sense to me.
You've answered the quagmire...Data should be forthcoming soon. If not, then something is VERY wrong. The USA historically hasn't purschased large numbers of loser aircraft ... but this one was so political I can't say one way or the other exactly how biased or nonbiased the decision was.
Well the facts are that several hundred of these aircraft have been built, they are in the process of being deployed, foreign buyers are taking delivery of them and there's a production line in Italy. If this aircraft wasn't meeting it's design goals, do you really think all this would be happening as we speak? In the end, look at the fly-specs the media is still emphasizing - the 135 pound ejection seat, the hot fuel issue, the AoA test against the F-16 and the now-moldy Rand Report. My opinion is this aircraft will deploy, perform as advertised and the long Range Strike Bomber will be the new scorn of the media and press.I am of the opinion thath positive spins on the F-35 are just as misleading as negative spins are. It would be nice to just report the facts and let it go at that, wouldn't it? Unfortunately, an unbiased reporter seems to be yet to be hired. Reading an article on the F-35 will rapidly show you which side the aurthor is on, but the articles sometimes seem so reasonable until you disect them ...