The Weather Where You Live? (2 Viewers)

[Peter Gunn]

Eh... you'll get used to it...

That's me, the green dot at the end of the green arrow.

As I posted in another thread, Helene destroyed our old house down on Bradenton Beach, ~45 miles south of where I live now.

I've lived here since 1980 but this is one of the only times I'm nervous about it, they virtually never make a bee line for Clearwater, which is why I chose the Gulf Coast. I can't see us having power after Wednesday so I may be offline for a while but we should be OK. Got plenty of food and water and other supplies already so not standing in the queue at the store, we plan ahead.

Also our dwelling is rock solid and not in an evac zone and even Orwell (my 1985 SS Monte Carlo (built and purchased in 1984)) is in a garage on pretty high ground so I think we're safe from just about everything

This looks to fly right over my house about mid week, not our first rodeo but this one does look to be one of the worst for this area. Taking all precautions.

 

[cvairwerks]

Peter: Keep watch. Suggest you monitor this site for the current reports. Storm surge is predicted to be 12 feet in the Tampa Bay area... Storm upgraded to Cat 4 within the last hour.

National Hurricane Center

 

[MIflyer]

Here is what the models say this morning.

Just like last night, two agree on it hitting just North of St Pete and then going across the state to just South of Daytona Beach. They have bent a bit more to the East instead of Northeast, so the exit point into the Atlantic would be more South than St Augustine.

And just like last night, the UKMET model shows it going into SW FL and then across to the East. It also has bent more to the East.

And the Official Predicted Track splits the difference between the two, which Just So Happens to include the population centers of Tampa/St Pete and Orlando.

 

[Viking1066]

You'all be safe down there!

 

[Donivanp]

That thing went from a Cat one to a cat 5 in a matter of a couple of hours.

 

[Peter Gunn]

Yeah, at the moment it's a Cat 5 with winds exceeding 175MPH... I can hardly wait.

C cvairwerks thanks for the thought and the link, it's a good one.

 

[Njaco]

I'm in Lake County. No evac orders yet.

 

[fubar57]

Buckle up Chris. Hoping the best for you and yours and the rest of the Floridians

 

[Vic Balshaw]

Stay safe you guys.

 

[MIflyer]

Here is the latest model plot. Pretty much the same but a wee bit to the South. Uncomfortably close, especially when you consider that only 50 miles off track is considered to be dead nuts accurate in this business. Right now, the eye is only 10 miles wide, which means the eyewall with the highest winds is only 10 miles across. I guess that is why the winds are so high, it is small and spins up quickly. I will be boarding up tomorrow and trying to decide if to run away, however that would be to my brother's home in Augusta GA and they are just recovering from Helene, finally getting the electric power back on Sunday following it being off for over a week and then on and off on Saturday and Saturday night.

 

[Viking1066]

Scary stuff. Stay safe!

 

[GrauGeist]

Crazy shit going on all over - all 'yall on the wrong coast stay safe, hopefully everyone will come out ok.

Meanwhile, I just heard that New Zealand had a major quake, so I hope our Kiwi friends are safe and well.

 

[MIflyer]

Meanwhile, I just heard that New Zealand had a major quake,

Is that why their $100M ship sank? Or were they surveying reefs and hit one?

 

[MiTasol]

Spent the last hour listening to this storm getting closer and thought we might get some much needed rain. As you can see it have almost completely missed us. Just light drizzle

 

[Greg Boeser]

Is that why their $100M ship sank? Or were they surveying reefs and hit one?

Captain: Any reefs out there?
Helmsman: Found one!

 

[GrauGeist]

Is that why their $100M ship sank? Or were they surveying reefs and hit one?

The survey ship was off the coast of Samoa, I believe.

 

[cvairwerks]

Yep, they were doing a survey of the reefs around Upolu.

 

[MIflyer]

Lesbians make such good naval captains!

And the USN proved that females make such good lookouts!

 

[MIflyer]

Well, the latest on Milton is that the storm took a jog down to the South and the predicted path has been revised to hit Palm Bay, south of Melbourne, rather than Titusville. Now if we can just get it to go a little further South we can miss the most heavily populated areas.

And I have all but one of my window covers installed.

 

[Donivanp]

Well, the latest on Milton is that the storm took a jog down to the South and the predicted path has been revised to hit Palm Bay, south of Melbourne, rather than Titusville. Now if we can just get it to go a little further South we can miss the most heavily populated areas.

And I have all but one of my window covers installed.

View attachment 800319

Miami is south of that, it's not the most populated spot in Florida?