The Weather Where You Live? (1 Viewer)

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Finally, after about 3 weeks of rain, The Weather Where I LIve is sunny... and What Cheered Me Up is indulging in my other hobby... and Recent Percheses is I was at the LHS ordering a new kit for No Props.
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Yep, the models for Milton have us boresighted over at the Cape. I started putting up my plywood panels yesterday and still have three more to mount. This will be my first experience with mounting the corregated aluminum panels over the dual windows in the living room. This morning I went to Home Depot in the rain and bought 100 ft of 4 ft high fencing so I can do temporary patches in the fence since there is no way parts of the wood fence will survive much of a blow. I have a nice barely used 4KW generator fueled up with 100LL Avgas ready to use. 100LL is great for that because it decays only very slowly; I've seen 100LL that is 15 years old run just fine. Having a storm approach from that direction is a first since TS Gordon in 1994, which was a lot weaker and I am not sure what to expect in terms of impacts from wind that will be coming from the South.

I have lived in this house for 31 years and this crap is getting old!
 
I'm in the lower half of Lake County - almost directly in this path. If evac happens, they are saying it will be the largest since 2017.
 
A small advice from south Louisiana. If you have a vertical board fence, pull off very second and/or third board to let the wind through. Set something heavy on the boards so they don't blow/float away. Nail them up after. If you have all valuable papers in a file cabinet, pull the drawers for evacuation. Every thing loose will blow away. If there are damaged/dead limbs on your trees, now is the time to pull them off. NJACO, now is a good time to talk to your neighbors especially if they have been through this before. You will find some gems in their info. Remember, your dishwasher is the most waterproof thing in your house. One of the things that caused fires during Katrina was gas water heaters. Water came up, turned over paint and solvent cans, fumes filled the abandoned houses, so turn off the gas if you leave.
 
Here is a hurricane prep suggestion I came up with as a result of painful experience. It is easy and cheap to implement and could make a large difference in the damage sustained.

For all screen or storm doors mount a barrel bolt on the door, at the top, that can be slid into a hole in the doorframe. The "locks" that such doors come equipped with are almost useless. Putting a barrel bolt into both the top and the bottom of the door would be great but the bottom one is likely to get in the way of normal operation. A banging screen door responding to the winds can do a huge amount of damage. Such a barrel bolt installation is also useful for preventing the door from being opened by intruders, pets, small children, and even the addled elderly.

It is recommended that the flat end eves on houses be reinforced by nailing 2X4 in a "X" shape so that they secure the flat end pieces to the roof trusses. I have done that on mine, although I should have used 10 ft 2X4 instead of 8 ft. Once I saw how weakly those flat end eves are secured I was sure glad I did.
 
Well, here is the latest model info.

The US GFS model has shifted the track significantly to the North, with the storm coming a shore north of St. Pete.

The UKMET model shows it coming ashore down around Ft Myers and then coming up to about Melbourne, which is similar to what a storm did the year before last, doing minimal damage here because of the long trek over land seemed to have made it fall apart.

The obvious thing to do in terms of forecasting is to split the difference between the two which puts it back to what they have been predicting for some time.

Back in 2004, the worst hurricane season in Florida history, an official at the NHS let slip something when he said,
"We don't draw the storm's path based on what we think it will do but rather what we want people to do." If you predict the storm will make that long lonely trek between Ft Myers and the Cape most of FL will go back to sleep. Show it coming through the population centers of Tampa and Orlando and they'll be boarding up and going crazy. The worst thing that can happen is a storm that makes an unexpected turn and goes through the population centers with very little warning - which is what occurred with Hurricane Charley in 2004. The NHS was predicting Charley would do what Helene did, and be not very close to Tampa. But the storm made a 45 degree turn around Ft Meyers and went to Orlando and then straight up I-4 to Daytona Beach, moving F A S T. There were even people who evacuated from Tampa and got hotel rooms in Orlando only to discover they had plunked down a few hundred bucks to be in the middle of the storm. The funny thing was that while the NHS were concentrating on their models and predicting it would be even further West, the local meterologists (I worked with one) were saying, "Naaaa. That thing is coming this way." And when it did they swung into action and with the NHS near catatonic over its models failing, told everyone just what was going to happen.

Screenshot 2024-10-06 at 16-31-18 Hurricane Milton Tracker Weather Underground.png
 
When I lived in the Way East Bay area, 40 miles inland from SF.
A new neighbor, USAF colonel TAD to the Livermore Lab.
They had relocated from the mid west, tornado country.
Wife was deathly afraid of earth quakes. Six years later he
was transferred Back to Ohio, or somewhere. Wife and wife
on the phone, suddenly she had to go, tornado watch!!!!!!!!
She wanted to move Back to CA!

Good luck with this brother!
 
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