What if the U.S. and the USAAF had paid attention?

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100% correct - the AVG never encountered the Zero, just showing the timeline. Agree with all other points
 
I think you'll find that some of the units in the SWP (V Fighter command) in the spring/ summer of 1942 quickly adopted this. As mentioned, V Fighter Command (9th and 39th FS) actually held their ground with their P-39s and P-40s until the P-38 came on line.
 
That's closing the barn door after some of the horses have already escaped. If the Phillipines and Australia/PNG had set up observer networks in August or September 1941, the early days of the war might have gone a little differently.
 
Hi
For information, here are some open source comments contained in aircraft recognition books, first the forward from 'Aircraft Identification' of February 1943, note comments from the 1922 British Air Mission to Japan on the Japanese:


Also the comments on previous 'underestimation' in John Stroud's book 'Japanese Aircraft' of 1945:

Mike
 
The AVG didn't engage the A6M, but the Chinese Air Force did.
One was downed early in '41 over Chengdu. It was reconstructed (as best as possible) and as much intel was gathered from it as possible.

This is the one that Chennault was warning the Army about.
 
This is circa 1939 - when Australia's 'fighter' force consisted of 3 Bristol Bulldogs and 58 Hawker Demons...

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(Compagnoni tapes)
I find it funny that someone would report an attacking aircraft as looking slow. Imagine telling the people of London sleeping in Underground stations that a Heinkel 111 is only capable of 180MPH, what a comfort that would be, eh?
 
The most enduring lies are the ones you tell yourself. The general zeitgeist of the US was very much one of white supremacy (so, for that matter, was that of the European powers), which made it very difficult for any evidence that Japan could produce aircraft and aircrew the equal of anything from the US would be dismissed as patent nonsense.
 
That's closing the barn door after some of the horses have already escaped. If the Phillipines and Australia/PNG had set up observer networks in August or September 1941, the early days of the war might have gone a little differently.
How different? Unless there was a massive buildup of bodies and equipment (and even then the Japanese still had the advantage) the outcome would have been the same. Maybe prolonged the surrender at Bataan?
 
How different? Unless there was a massive buildup of bodies and equipment (and even then the Japanese still had the advantage) the outcome would have been the same. Maybe prolonged the surrender at Bataan?
Two thirds of the Phillipine USAAF was wiped out on the ground in the first Japanese raid, seriously handicapping opposition to their later raids and troop landings. A half hour of warning could have gotten most of those planes in the air. It would have been a helter skelter scramble, but moving targets are harder to hit and pursuing them would have dissipated the attacking force escorts.
 
Do we know that for sure? Will we ever? And even so, the Japanese still had the numerical and logistical advantage, had they suffered more resistance/ losses they had the opportunity to simply send in more equipment.

In hindsight, it's very sad that Chennault was ignored but again, even taken seriously was it really going to change the final outcome much?
 
Second only to new information and perspectives, "what ifs" are the most entertaining part of this diverse and eclectic forum we have here, and questioning the plausibility of them is half the fun.
The final outcome, of course, was pre-ordained by resources and logistics, but I would submit that the two suggestions I made might have contributed to an earlier victory and a shorter butcher's bill. Earlier attrition of IJNAF assets can never be a bad thing.
 
"a shorter butcher's bill" Good term!

Agree.
 
From what I have read, Cdr Jimmy Thatch had seen the reports on the Zero and spent a lot of time developing tactics to counter an aircraft he believed would be superior to the F4F. The final result was the "Thatch Weave" which was first implemented at Midway, but would not be adopted fleet wide until the Solomons Campaign.
 
The race is not to the swift nor the battle to the strong, but that's the way to bet. (Various sources)
 
Amazing how Thatch had his "ducks in a row" but yet we hear how Chennault was ignored and then how long to actually implement tactics (in some cases)
 
There may have been a lot that the US command in the Philippines did wrong, but they were also faced with a highly competent, determined, and numerically superior enemy. The time to win -- or lose -- wasn't the winter of 1941; it was when the Philippine forces weren't being properly trained or equipped years earlier.
 

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