What is missing from that data posted is the losses that occurred.
I have the rather uncomfortable feeling that we are kind of going in circles as several points raised on this page have already been dealt with I think two or three times. But I do have some of this data and I'll post it again for the benefit of those who missed it before. If you skipped it last time please read this.
In general, I don't have the summaries for every fighter group but you can see the data for the 325th FG. They post victories
here. Losses vs. victories
here. That page also shows the operational history which can be contrasted with the 79th FG mission history that I posted upthread - it's notable that by contrast 325th FG flew mostly escort and fighter sweep missions and only roughly 1/4 fighter bomber attacks.
Breakdown for the P-40 is
133 'confirmed' air combat victories (almost all fighters), 16 air combat losses, plus another 24 'probable' air combat losses for 43 total. There is also a more detailed breakdown showing
12 losses to enemy aircraft and
12 to "unknown" most of which are probably enemy aircraft.
So that is 133 vs. 24.
There are also some interesting comparisons by type:
Sortie to victory ratio for the P-40 was 30.2/1
Sortie to loss ratio for the P-40 was 93.3/1
Sortie to victory ratio for the P-47 was 26.47/1
Sortie to loss ratio for the P-47 was 98.1/1
Sortie to victory ratio for the P-51 was 40.4/1
Sortie to loss ratio for the P-51 was 107.2/1
Shores MAW Volume IV corroborates the above data, and of the 43 'probable' air combat losses it's clear that many of these are to Flak, some to accidents and some are to mechanical problems. I'll post a summary of 325th FG P-40 activity based on MAW IV when I have some time.
Of course all the claims aren't real, overclaiming is universal. So we can look at some examples where Axis records corroborate Allied claims and to what extent they can be verified.
More specifically, from Mediterranean Air War Volume IV, here are a few engagements for several days of action in the summer of 1943 (already posted and somewhat debated
here). These are just the days for which it's verifiable that the victories were attributable to P-40 units. There are many other days where the Germans and Italians reported losses, P-40 units made numerous claims but so did units flying other fighters and it's not possible on many days to determine who got what victory.
On these days however it's clear:
June 8 1943- 79th FG P-40Fs made 6 claims, 52nd FG Spitfires claimed 1, 1st FG P-38s made 1. Italian pilots claimed 8 Spitfires and 1 x P 38
Actual losses were 2 x MC 205 and 3 x MC 202 and no Allied fighters. Even if you assume 2 were lost to the Spit and P 38, that leaves 3 for the P 40s for no losses.
June 10 1943 (US 325th and 79th FG and 31st FG [Spit] vs JG 27 and JG 53, and Italian 161, 22, and 53 Stormos)
15 x Bf 109s lost, 8 MC 202 lost / 3 P-40s lost*
July 8 1943 (US 324th FG vs. JG 77 and JG 53 and Italian 150 Gr CT)
5 x German Bf 109G-6 lost and 1 x Italian Bf 109G lost / 3 P-40s lost
July 22 1943 (US 325th FG vs. Italian 22 and 51 Stormo)
4 x MC 205 shot down, (+ 2 x 205 'shot up by P-40s')
3 x MC 202 & 1 X D.520 shot down , Ca 309 shot down / 2 x P40 lost
July 26 1943 (US 325th FG vs. JG 53 and Italian 51 Stormo)
2 x Bf 109G shot down, 1 x MC 205 (+1 205 'shot up by fighters')
/ 0 P-40s lost
July 30 1943 (US 325th FG vs. JG 77) P-40s claimed 21 enemy fighters shot down for one loss.
Actual losses were 6 x Bf 109G Shot down / 1 P-40 shot down
Overclaiming - my count for these days is 87 claims (71 by P-40s and 16 by other Allied fighters) vs. 51 actual losses**. So that will give you some idea of the overclaiming ratios. Total P-40 verified victories (assuming zero overclaiming by Spitfires or P-38s on these days) are at least 35 verified kills for 9 losses.
So far I found one day in Vol IV where the P-40s took substantial losses in air combat which significantly outpaced their victories:
July 10 1943 (day of the Invasion of Sicily) losses included
8 x Spitfires, 6x P-38s, 5 x P-40Ls, 4 x B-25s, 2 x B-26 and 5 x A-36 (P-51 dive bombers) which were all to "undertermined" reasons. German / Italian losses included
7 x Bf 109, & 4 x RE 2002. That is 19 Allied fighters lost vs. 11 Axis.
So overall, in the Summer of 1943 in particular, these US P-40 Fighter Groups seem to have done pretty well. It has been suggested that the Axis planes were outnumbered, but I can show that was not always or even usually the case. It has also been suggested that P-40 victories were due to Spitfire top cover. But this was also not usually the case. On two of the above six occasions the P-40 units had support from Spitfires or P-38s, but on the other four they were on their own. The 325th FG in particular was flying a lot of escort and Fighter Sweep missions over Sardinia during this period with no friendly company other than B-26s. The July 22, 26 and 30 combats were all over Sardinia with no other Allied fighters present.
S
* on this day
June 10 both Spitfire and P-40 units made claims, but the losses show that the P-40 units shot down at least 9 enemy fighters. Claims break down as follows
Allied fighter pilots made 35 claims for fighters that day:
185 sqn RAF (Spitfire IX) claimed 2
307 fs / 31 FG (Spitfire) claimed 5
309 fs / 31 FG (Spitfire) claimed 6
309 fs / 31 FG (Spitfire) claimed 1 later on
That's 14
325 FG (P-40F) claimed 5 fighters
79th FG (P-40F) claimed 16 fighters
That's 21
Actual Axis losses were 23 fighters. So even if you assume for some reason that none of the Spitfire units overclaimed and all of the P40 units did, it still leaves 9 x Bf 109s definitely lost to P-40s.
** It ads up to an overclaiming rate of 58% (as in 58% of the claims were real). If we applied that same ratio to the 325th FG's totals - it would give us 77 victories for 24 losses, or a 3.25 -1 victory ratio. Of course that is just a guess but it gives you something to hang your hat on.