Why American aces had lower scores than anybody else

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Agreed - his 'deputy' was General Brereton CO of 9th AF and the battleground because Leigh-Mallory refused point-blank to release IX FC to support USSTAFE operations - and Spaatz's mandate to destroy the LW Pre-invasion, not 'over the invasion battlefield'.
 
The percentage reduction in losses is simply due to the vast increase in size of the 8th AF. If you look at the absolute values, you will see that the German fighters were actually shooting down more bombers in absolute terms up until D-day. The sudden drop in losses in June is not due to the sudden collapse of the Luftwaffe just in time for the invasion as is claimed by some but by the diversion of Luftwaffe fighter groups to the front line. The positive impact of invasion on AF casualties was admitted by none other than General Eaker in a White House meeting held on 18 June 1945 discussing the invasion of Japan.

"He stated that those who advocated the use against Japan of air power alone overlooked the very impressive fact that air casualties are always much heavier when air power faces the enemy alone and that these casualties never fail to drop as soon as the ground forces come in."


Unfortunately the link no longer works.
 
I don't have access to any of those books, but to my understanding Leigh Mallory would have taken orders directly from Eisenhower, not Portal. You refer to your book, but I'm trying to understand what primary historical material such as memoranda and so forth are available. Those would go along way to supporting your points. Overall, and I hope you don't take this the wrong way, I'm concerned with unnecessary extemporization on this subject.

Jim
 
I'm not offended. Look to USAF Study 136 for a single focus of citations and actual documents reposing in USAF HRC and NARA.
 
This is the only page in that document that relates to anything that Portal had to Mustangs, in that Arnold requested Portal to provide RAF Mustang fighter support for bombing missions. Portal's response was to suggest that the Americans should increase the nimber of bombers or accept a higher rate of loss. It does not specifically mention the RAF supporting these missions. I'm pretty certain that the number of RAF mustang squadrons was pretty low at that point (October 1943).

 
Hi
The first Mustang III (P-51B & C) squadron for the RAF was No. 65 in service from December 1943, the second was No. 19 was in service from January 1944. They began operations in February 1944 escorting bomber formations. In October 1943 the RAF had no Mustang III squadrons available.

Mike
 
Excellent! Thank you. I presume this coverers off all of the points you've made?

jim
If you are asking about the combined library I cited, I woud say that is a good assumption. That said, while all of those referenced books are well documented regarding sources and citations I don't recall finding a letter or smoking gun of exchange of high level memorandums of all the points discussed in Spaatz or Eaker or Eisenhower or Doolittle biographies. What you will find are 'quotes' of recollections, and well documented footnotes referencing context and others in discussions and meetings.

Boylon's Study 136 is available to download from USAFHRC. It is by far the best scholarship of the development and introduction of Long Range Escort and I sourced many of his citations at NARA and HRC - and referenced such often in my last book. That said, he did not devote much ink to the in-fighting which is well documented in the Spaatz Bio.

FWIIW of all the questions I addressed, the one question I never found an answer for is "Why Eaker, with the support of Lovett made a plea to Arnold in July 1943 for Mustangs - but inexplicably made no fight for them when the first groups were assigned to 9th AF." When Leigh-Mallory was tasked for Allied Expeditionary Air Force, which included Brereton's 9th AF, he assumed that a.) he would report to Eisenhower, and b.) he would assume control of Bomber Command and USSTAFE - which currently remained under Portal per Combined Bomber Command agreed structure out of Casablanca.

The reference you posted above was the agreement between Arnold and Portal to assign existing RAF Mustang III arriving between November and December 31, 1943 to USSTAFE control. This was as near as I can tell, the genesis between AEAF and USSTAFE flare up (L-M and Spaatz). Those ships went to BAD2 for installation of 85 gal fuel tanks. Later, Mustang III squadrons engaged in escort support of VIII BC,but those P-51s did not have 85 gal tank and had only effective combat radius of say, Schweinfurt. When applied they were used as long range penetration/withdrawal support.

Further, according to the sources cited in the books I pointed you to, he (L-M) and Brereton believed that air superiority could not be achieved before D-Day. According to Spaatz and Copp in Forged in Fire, L-M believed that under his leadership, when he had control of AAFEC that such dominance would be achieved 'over the invasion front' - which infuriated Spaatz and Arnold and George Marshall. Brereton was focused on training the 9th FC for the upcoming support obligations for Tactical Air and did not wish to relinquish the fighter assets tasked to IX FC (P-47D, P-38 and P-51B) to augment VIII FC for escort and engagement with the LW.

The reference you cited (Re; Portal/RAF Mustang discussion) was before settled 'business' between Eisenhower, Spaatz, Portal, L-M and Brereton that Eighth AF WOULD receive priority for P-38 and P-51 aircraft, and further that IX FC would be TDY to Spaatz/Doolittle for Pointblank.

Those discussions, arguments and agreements were exascerbated by Leigh-Mallory's refusal to accept relinquishing the notion that he would/should have control of Allied air assets prior to the invasion, in support of His planning prerogatives, and his on-going resistance to the concept of destroying the LW Before OVERLORD as Priority number 1.

I would point you to the Spaatz book as the very best I have seen regarding the organizational and objectives fights between AEAF, RAF Bomber Command USSTAFE and Combined Chiefs, as the best American view on the Portal, Arnold, Tedder, Leigh-Mallory and Spaatz issues. In addition to the timeline related discussions, there is a major section of Part IV, "Leigh-Mallory and the AEAF".

I might add that Leigh-Mallory did Not resist assigning all arriving P-51B to 8th AF per January 24, 1944 meetings between Spaatz, Brereton, Tedder, Conningham, Leigh-Malory, Doolittle and Kepner. That meeting resulted in a.) relinquishing new FG equipped with P-47s to 9th AF, b.) new FG equipped with P-51B to 8th AF, c.) swapping 358th FG (P-47) for 357th FG (P-51B), d.) planned movement of P-38s from 8th AF to 9th as P-51B/D transitions occurred.
 
The reference I posted above is from Study 136. It's not "searchable" until OCR'd. without the actual memos to which you refer, I'm not sure there was any agreement, per se, perhaps there was but I cannot discern that from what I have extracted above.

Where am I going with this? Because the RAF did not have the fighter resources in the first half of 1944, (as the USAAF had) to participate in the fight against the daylight Luftwaffe fighter. i had always assumed that these had gone to the USAAF.

jim
 
Carl A Spaatz and the Air War in Europe https://media.defense.gov/2010/Oct/12/2001330126/-1/-1/0/AFD-101012-035.pdf

The effort the allied commanders had to distribute and Luftwaffe fighter strength. Imports from AIR 19/524, En route, Strength, Loss and total transferred from RAF Census AIR 20/1871. Loss and transfer are cumulative figures. End of month. Also 9th AF effort for month.

Mustang IIIImportsImportsOn WayOn WayStrengthStrengthLossLossTo USAAF9th AF sortiesTons onFighter
MonthUKMedUKMedUKMedUKMedCumulativeFighterBomberTargetKill claims
Sep-43​
3​
12​
Oct-43​
74​
75​
56​
1​
804​
427.05​
Nov-43​
90​
119​
115​
1​
1568​
1571.65​
Dec-43​
105​
130​
227​
1​
415​
2067​
1474.58​
9​
Jan-44​
53​
153​
158​
2​
36​
370​
1711​
1546.00​
42​
Feb-44​
46​
14​
112​
26​
201​
3​
35​
1966​
3881​
3368.90​
69.5​
Mar-44​
3​
11​
65​
56​
299​
14​
8​
35​
5080​
4067​
5219.08​
50​
Apr-44​
16​
54​
40​
76​
304​
14​
22​
35​
7914​
7346​
10213.18​
98​
May-44​
56​
14​
42​
70​
344​
23​
35​
2​
35​
21074​
11947​
17905.12​
85.5​
Jun-44​
51​
30​
4​
44​
404​
73​
82​
7​
37​
29990​
11687​
23059.02​
196.5​

Luftwaffe day fighters, date, single engine strength/serviceable, twin engine strength/serviceable
31-Dec-43 1561/1095, 290/199
10-Jan-44 1554/1043, 306/179
20-Jan-44 1545/1121, 299/186
31-Jan-44 1670/1008, 299/170
10-Feb-44 1763/1180, 310/196
20-Feb-44 1791/1216, 291/199
29-Feb-44 1747/1220, 247/158
10-Mar-44 1743/1141, 226/132
20-Mar-44 1704/1118, 233/145
31-Mar-44 1696/1188, 251/148
10-Apr-44 1801/1224, 288/157
20-Apr-44 1663/1163, 313/170
30-Apr-44 1648/1114, 321/153
10-May-44 1748/1250, 331/136
20-May-44 1749/1224, 320/155
31-May-44 1683/1111, 305/168
10-Jun-44 1483/1037, 309/158
20-Jun-44 1609/1067, 284/187
30-Jun-44 1523/895, 242/124

The 9th Air Force reports it flew 14,105 sorties as heavy bomber escort for the war. It flew 15,745 fighter sorties to end April 1944. 9th Air Force First missions, the 358th was a transfer from the 8th AF, it had arrived in England 20 October 1943, beginning operations 20 December. The first 4 B-26 groups were also transfers.

354 FG P-51 1-Dec-43, 358 FG P-47 3-Feb-44, 362 FG P-47 8-Feb-44, 365 FG P-47 22-Feb-44, 363 FG P-51 24-Feb-44, 366 FG P-47 14-Mar-44, 368 FG P-47 14-Mar-44, 405 FG P-47 11-Apr-44, 371 FG P-47 12-Apr-44, 48 FG P-47 20-Apr-44, 474 FG P-38 25-Apr-44, 50 FG P-47 1-May-44, 370 FG P-38 1-May-44, 404 FG P-47 1-May-44, 36 FG P-47 8-May-44, 373 FG P-47 8-May-44, 367 FG P-38 9-May-44, 406 FG P-47 9-May-44

322 BG B-26 16-Oct-43, 323 BG B-26 16-Oct-43, 386 BG B-26 16-Oct-43, 387 BG B-26 16-Oct-43, 391 BG B-26 15-Feb-44, 416 BG A-20 3-Mar-44, 344 BG B-26 6-Mar-44, 394 BG B-26 23-Mar-44, 409 BG A-20 13-Apr-44, 397 BG B-26 20-Apr-44, 410 BG A-20 1-May-44

Big Wing by Bill Newton Dunn is the biography of Trafford Leigh-Mallory, the author is a great nephew of Leigh-Mallory. As a specialist in Army Co-Operation (his unit did the first aircraft to tank communications in combat on 17 July 1918), I have little doubt he would have been given some bad treatment during the inter war period and now his time had come. It is also a reality Leigh-Mallory seems to have been more disliked than Montgomery. Leigh-Mallory would be the only significant outsider to the tried and generally well working ex Mediterranean command team headed by Eisenhower. In theory he was parallel to Montgomery while having Tedder as a superior, it meant Leigh-Mallory was easy to bypass.

On 27 March 1943 as commander of Fighter Command he began a tour of North Africa, in his 12 April report he stated. "All air forces must be centralised under one Commander in Chief. The headquarters of British and American staffs must be amalgamated." On 15 April came the proposal to form an Expeditionary Air Force HQ within Fighter Command. The Casablanca conference had approved the post of C-in-C Allied Expeditionary Air Force (AEAF) in principle, Leigh Mallory was formally nominated in July 1943, approved at the Quebec conference but not announced. In the end the Overlord command structure would end up with 1 army commander, 1 navy commander, 1 strategic air force commander and 1 tactical air force commander. The air force arrangement went against the concentration of force ideas, but then the army and navy only had the Normandy battle to deal with, nor did the navy commander control the Home Fleet, the air force had the Normandy battle and operations in western Europe, as the airmen had surplus firepower over what was required to support Overlord, plus commitments like the Crossbow anti V weapons raids. It also reinforced the air force ideas that operations well out of sight of the army were also supporting the army, it was not just aircraft over the battlefield. Yet no sane commander could plan Overlord assuming the Luftwaffe would lack the strength to intervene effectively, bombs on Germany's factories were hurting, a successful invasion of France was doom. Surely the Luftwaffe knew that?

October/November 1943 sees Leigh-Mallory in Washington starting to ask how the Pointblank directive is going to fit in or change to enable Overlord. General Marshall wants the air commander directly under the Overlord commander which fits awkwardly with the role of commander Fighter Command reporting to the British chiefs. Meeting with General Arnold who made a "welter of irrelevant statements most of which bore no relation to fact", Leigh-Mallory went about "correcting" them while agreeing there needed to be a mechanism to co-ordinate Mediterranean and Western Europe air operations.

The US Chiefs of Staff proposed the tactical and strategic air commanders idea on 4 November 1943, Leigh-Mallory objected noting Marshall wanted an air C-in-C controlling any part of the strategic air forces allocated to Overlord. The formal directive on 16 November gave Leigh-Mallory operational control of the tactical air forces, command of Fighter Command/ADGB had passed to Roderic Hill on 15 November but it was still subordinate to Leigh-Mallory, the 9th Air Force was subordinated on 15 December. In December 1943 Leigh-Mallory noted airfield attacks were not doing much to the Luftwaffe, best wait until making an intensive effort just before Overlord, meantime attack the enemy industry to force fights but remember Overlord is the operation, it must succeed even to the detriment of other operations.

In January 1944 the AEAF Bombing Committee is formed to work out the Overlord air plan. The Mediterranean Command Team generally arrive in Britain to take command of Overlord, first major task is to push for an increase of the initial invasion from 3 to 5 beaches. Target date for invasion is May 1944. We know it happened 5 weeks later, but think of the mindset of the commanders in late January having around 3 months to plan and carry out the necessary air operations, not over 4. On top of this Overlord was a moving target in the first half of 1944, both timing and size. COSSAC was a relatively junior planning staff unable to force the system to deliver the resources needed to deliver a successful invasion, instead it had to put together a plan using allocations it was given. Admiral Nimitz would alternate Halsey and Spruance making sure the next operation was planned by people carrying it out and having the authority to demand resources.

Also remember Anvil/Dragoon as (near) simultaneous landings in southern France. Rommel changing the German strategy from major counter attack to defend on the beaches. Add to the mix helpful suggestions like Churchill wanting to explore an invasion of the Bordeaux region as an alternative to Anvil. Marshall suggesting the airborne divisions be dropped near Paris. So how much of any COSSAC air plan made it to D-Day? How much did the believed attrition of Luftwaffe fighter pilot quality January to May 1944 affect the plan? In aircraft numbers the Jagdwaffe held up.

At Quebec in August 1943, Churchill suggested a 25% increase in the assault if possible and Marshall agreed, but in October when General Morgan went to the US to plead his case, he returned without success. On 23 October the US Joint Chiefs of Staff denied the request for more landing craft while on the 26th they approved a large increase in US landing craft production, but these would be too late for Overlord. The USN had already cancelled over 100 Destroyer Escorts on 15 September and more in October to make room for more LST.

Apart from the obvious need for sea and air superiority, lessons: Dieppe strong naval gunfire support was relearned and that amphibious assaults into urban areas is simply combining the two hardest ground operations, do not do it. Torch where the landings on the Atlantic coast lost some 25% of the landing craft. Sicily, where some of the invaders were met with heavy weapons in the form of armoured attacks, naval gunfire support was a good thing but best to ensure more army heavy weapons were ashore, equals more LSTs and LCTs. Also the US the standard amphibious supply technique was only geared to small forces on small landings. If an Army was coming ashore and they were going to move large distances it was imperative a proper Army logistics system was put in place. Salerno, beachhead roped off and for a time in peril of being destroyed. It could be argued it was held by the air and naval power but only freed by the threat from the arrival of ground troops from another landing, partly because there were no follow up troops, so how big should the first, second and third waves be? Tarawa, have fire support available as the troops touch down. Anzio another roped off beached. By February 1944 a report on the lessons learnt at Tarawa had made it to England.

In 1943 like USAAF the RAF planned to use P-51 in the tactical air force. As of end 1943 the idea was the heavy bombers would make their direct contribution for about 2 weeks before the invasion, that became 3 months. Meantime the quality and quantity of the day attacks was steadily increasing. A crucial point of the pre D-day training was joint exercises of troops and aircraft, it turned out there was a lot of on the job learning in June. More than the fighters Spaatz wanted light and medium bomber support, striking targets and at times to help heavy bomber raids, which delayed invasion support bombings. And of course no one knew how much effort was needed on the V weapons sites. It is clear the heavy bombers needed the fighter support, whether the light and medium bomber support was needed is much more uncertain, as is whether keeping the smaller bombers as purely invasion support would produce a better result. The command structure insisted Overlord was the major must succeed operation while the AEAF, the specific invasion support air power, was being told their priority was to be more indirect, via supporting the heavy bombers, remembering as of mid February D-Day was around 11 weeks away. While Spaatz made sure the 9th Air Force complied I do not know how much effect it had on 2nd TAF.

The Davis conclusion, "Spaatz was destroying airplanes, killing German pilots, and bombing factories while the tactical airmen wanted to conduct training exercises." is unfair, the shorter range allied airpower was doing plenty of combat, while dealing with new units that needed training (by themselves and with troops) before entering combat and the commanders would be in the firing line if the ground/air systems broke down in combat, or lots of friendly fire incidents, or worse contributed to the failure of the operation.
 
Part 2 due to 20,000 character limit.

20 December 1943 The first USAAF patrol ahead of the bomber force was done when the bombers turned up 30 minutes late, the 55th Fighter Group's P-38s decided to try the much discussed tactic. The USAAF bombers also dropped "window" for the first time.

7 January 1944 The USAAF started using phased escort tactics. That is the fighters flew direct and patrolled a specific section of the bomber route rather than a specific section of the bomber force.

10 January 1944, first draft of transport plan "Air Attacks on Rail and Road Communications" put before the Allied Expeditionary Air Force Bombing Committee, 186,000 short tons of bombs required, 151,300 from the heavy bombers (comparable to the entire 1943 heavy bomber tonnage). Strategic part of plan is to knock out the ability of the rail system to keep working, tactical to cut the links to Normandy. The evidence for the transport plan from operations in Italy is thin, France is bigger and require lots of diversions to disguise the invasion points. Plenty of reasons to be sceptical.

11 January 1944 The first officially sanctioned test of the "freelance" fighter escort tactic was done by the 56th Fighter Group.

13 January 1944, Harris letter essentially saying Bomber Command was not technically able to support the bombing plan.

22 January, 6th AEAF Bombing Committee meeting, the 2nd draft of plan sent to Eisenhower for approval, which was given. Anzio invasion, quickly becomes roped off and the beachhead under threat, like Salerno, until air and sea power help stabilise the situation. Making a case for the heavy bombers to be quickly available for invasion support. Also the need for general orders to cover the first few days of land operations to avoid troops reaching their objective then stopping while asking what next? Hence ambitious D-Day orders.

23 January target date for Overlord 1 May.

3 February 1944, 3rd Draft of Bombing Plan.

15 February Harris and Spaatz get a good look at the bombing plan and profoundly disagree. Portal comes down on the side of priority for the AEAF is heavy bomber support. Around mid February Anvil a 2 division assault.

20 February, Big Week begins.

25 February meeting, forty three pages of pro and con bombing plan documents presented.

29 February Churchill to Portal, no question of handing over all of Bomber, Coastal and Fighter to SHAEF but the forces must supply as best possible the resources required for the Overlord Air Plan.

By March the bombing plan was stalled awaiting Combined Chiefs of Staff sign off.

5 March 1944 Spaatz memo to Eisenhower about oil attacks.

6 March? The Eisenhower quote, total commitment of bombers or he would "simply have to go home". Seems to have been repeated a few times, maybe on 3, 11 and 22 March.

6/7 March first Bomber Command experimental raid, Trappes.

10 March Leigh-Mallory writes to Spaatz, Eisenhower agrees time for 9th AF to be directed towards Overlord. Target date for D-Day 31 May.

13 March Portal to Churchill, transport plan still has considerable controversy.

21 March Eisenhower recommends cancelling ANVIL as an attack timed to coincide with OVERLORD

25 March meeting, Transport plan adopted over oil plan

27 March British Combined Chiefs of Staff sign off the plan.

30 March, Nuremburg raid, along with the increasing amount of daylight makes it clear Bomber Command's ability to trike Germany is significantly limited.

April 1944 Churchill and the British War Cabinet raise objections based on probable civilian casualties, ultimately appealing to FDR. The USAAF thinks German fighter defences are weakening.

7 April Combined Chiefs "the USA Strategic Air Force and British Bomber Command will operate under the direction of the Supreme Commander".

14 April official start date SHAEF control of heavy bombers. Though Eisenhower notes operations have been under his general direction since the start of the month.

15 April Anvil cancelled as an attack timed to coincide with OVERLORD

27 April Churchill asks Eisenhower to remove targets, Eisenhower had already agreed targets with the highest risk of casualties were to be attacked as late as possible. He also issued his first directive to the heavy bomber forces. 8th Air Force first transport plan raid.

12 May first oil strikes.

End May 1944 SHAEF intelligence reported that the Germans still had three times the rail capacity needed for military traffic, four times the required number of cars, eight times the required locomotives, and ten times the required servicing facilities.

Overlord planning assumed a steady daily advance, when the allies fell well behind the plan it became a reason to assume Overlord was going the way of Anzio and Salerno, a roped off bridgehead unable to break out, time to remove Montgomery. Then came the pursuit and arrival at around the D+365 day line around D+90, with the railway desert now behind allied lines.

When considering the Luftwaffe fighter performance in message 326, consider the number of serviceable Luftwaffe single engined fighters, the following is the average of 3 dates per month from the quartermaster returns, Jan – 1057, Feb – 1205, Mar – 1149, Apr – 1167, May – 1195, Jun – 1000, Jul – 1045, Aug – 1088, Sep – 1430, Oct – 2108, Nov – 2383, Dec – 1945. In rough terms the available fighter force doubled, the number of US aircraft shot down by them more than halved between April and December. And yes fuel shortages played a part in the number of combats and even serviceable figures, easy to keep things working when usage declines.
 
After D-day the RAF became much more involved. For a total picture RAF losses need to be considered.
 
I understand that Germany had been at war longer than the Americans and that a lot of kills were carried over from the war in Spain but I just don't believe that German pilots had anywhere near as many kills that they claim. It's not just Erich Hartman's 352 kills but Erich Rudorffer had claimed 13 kills in a single mission and Werner Molders had his 100th kill by the middle of 1941. The criteria for a kill must have not been too strict. I wonder if they got credit for a kill by just thinking about it.
 
Hey Checkertail20,

Welcome to the forum and all that.

Somewhere on the forum, there is a thread (maybe more than one) that covers the rules used by the various combatants for what was and was not considered a kill, confirmed kill, shared kill, probable, etc. Unfortunately I do not remember where. Maybe one of the other forum denizens can direct you there.
 
The Germans operated in a target rich environment and most often, flew sorties several times a day.

And due to the dwindling pilot pool and the deteriorating war situation, most "Experten" flew until they were killed or captured.
 

Excellent points, although I don't think Davis conclusion was unfair. 8th AF had operational control of 9th AF Fighter Command, including all P-38/P-47 and P-51 equipped Groups. All were dedicated to relay and target support - mostly to VIII BC - while relatively few LW were engaging 2TAF. The killing was done along the bomber routes and targets, not the Lowlands and western France. 9th AF FC reverted back to Mallory control near the end of May and the pause of the Oil Campaign.
 
From Cross Channel Attack, in December 1943 "The "numbers racket" of shuffling allocations of landing craft around the globe, a half dozen here, a half dozen there, had begun and it would not end until late in 1944." The first casualty was operation Buccaneer, the invasion of the Andaman Islands in the Indian ocean. Also

""The point was perhaps best made by a cable which General Marshall sent in December [1943] to all theater commanders and defense commands. "The landing craft situation is critical," General Marshall wired, "and will continue to be so for some time to come. Any possible increase in production is far behind the increasing demand for landing craft. You are directed to make every landing ship and craft available for and apply them to the maximum battle effort." The word went around the world: to Cairo, Algiers, Tehran, Chungking, Southwest Pacific Area, Fort Shafter (Hawaii), Noumea (New Caledonia), Quarry Heights (Canal Zone), Anchorage, and Adak Island (Alaska). Every craft saved was precious; wherever it was on the globe its fate was tied up with the fate of OVERLORD."

The price for Overlord to happen was high in terms of foregoing other operations around the world, the price of an Overlord failure would be world changing.

The US army in UK was reduced to the 5th and 29th infantry divisions in December 1942, the build up for Overlord began with the arrivals of 3rd Armoured and 101st Airborne in September 1943 and by end February 1944 there were 16 divisions present including 1st and 9th infantry, 2nd Armoured and 82nd Airborne from the Mediterranean, by end May 1944 it was up to 20 divisions. The 9th Air Force had 5 fighter groups by end February, 7 by end March, 11 by end April and 18 as of 9 May. The 8th AF went from 11 operational and 1 non operational fighter group at the start of 1944 to 14 operational fighter groups on 30 April 1944, with the 479th with P-38 going operational on 26 May.

The individual army and air units needed training as well as training in combined operations. Remembering Overlord was meant to happen in May.

I do not know the answer to this but given the planning of P-47 to 8th AF and P-51 to 9th it would be interesting to see what that did to unit training in the US before transfer, how much air to air versus air to ground.

In early 1944 General Spaatz was offering to do enough damage that the Luftwaffe day fighter force would be compelled to engage and suffer heavy casualties, the fight would be at long range making it more expensive for the USAAF and would mean less training time available in army support and create troubles mounting raids on France due to a lack of available fighters (and bombers). Air support was considered quite important during the first few days of the invasion before the allies could land lots of heavy weapons and their ammunition.

The prerequisites for a successful invasion were reduction of German army effectiveness and mobility, and Luftwaffe ability to intervene. If you like "Leigh-Mallory" was offering bomb the French transport system and Luftwaffe airfields in France, if the Luftwaffe does protect them then there will be heavy fighting closer to allied airbases, if little defence is offered then the prerequisites are met, little army mobility and Luftwaffe aircraft trying to intervene from bases in Germany or similar distances. Meantime training and using the aircraft marked as army support so they are ready to play their part in degrading German army combat effectiveness. General Spaatz was trying for the first successful long range bomber strategy in WWII, on all levels, bomb damage, aircraft lost. It assumed the Luftwaffe would not win and if losing not change until it was too late to switch to a viable conservation of force strategy in anticipation of the summer battles. Spaatz had to win bigger than Leigh Mallory to make the strategy worth it in terms of assisting Overlord, in terms of Luftwaffe strength it was the other way around. Overlord was far more important.

That is why I consider the Davis remark unfair.
 
Geoffrey - excellent research as always.
A couple of points:
  1. The orders to 'Kill the LW in the air and on the ground' were recommended by both Generals Kuter and Fairchild who reported to the General Staff that the strength of the LW was growing alarmingly and constituted a serious threat to Overlord, Fall -1943. Big Week was the 'planned' all out attack on LW industry but earlier missions to Stuttgart and Halberstadt marked return to deep penetrations with thin target escort cover.
  2. Arnold compelled movement of all P-51Bs to ETO, cease conversion to tactical recon and assign 1-AA priority to depot installation for P-38J and P-51B internal tank kits. He further approved request from Spaatz for TDY for 9th AF assigned P-51Bs to 8th AF missions as priority, also requesting from Portal all delivered Mustang IIIs.
  3. Spaatz prevailed over Mallory in the different strategy of 'lets go find them and kill em now', versus 'let them come to us', because the LW demonstrated great enthusiasm against daylight incursions into Germany, and for once could not retreat beyond P-47 escort radius to attack with both S/E and T/E day fighters. Further, the factories and oil targets were far more vital than transportation in context of capacity and flexibility of return to normal operations.

My argument in favor of Davis remark is that 8th AF, with strong assistance from 9th through May 1944, were killing 500 irreplaceable fighter pilots per month - a figure far in excess of 2TAF in the same period - and the proof surely has to be the tepid response by LW on D-Day.
 
Arnold's speeding up of the latest US fighters to Europe in numbers was necessary for Overlord as well as bombing Germany, the US bomb force was being limited by the number of available fighters as well as their range.

At the Marshall, King and higher levels by end 1943 the near absolute priority in 1944 was Overlord. For the air forces that meant bombing targets in France ahead of ones in Germany. The question of what targets with what with how many bombs was the subject of long debates in the first half of 1944, complicated by the growing need for strikes on V-1 targets, which were worked into the deception plan, remembering the worry was V-1 could seriously interdict the invasion ports, but the attacks were a drain on other invasion support duties. Everyone had their ideas, the transport plan took a while to be adopted with plenty of reservations.

The Germans moved part of the night fighter force to France in response to the shift in Bomber Command targets, which in turn makes it probable the same would happen to some of the day fighter force. The Germans switching to conservation of force did not happen over Germany until losses had seriously damaged the fighter force, with minimal bombing of Germany there would have been a stronger defence of France, probably until losses became too high, remembering until 1944 attacking bomber forces had lost the campaign so a Luftwaffe victory was surely possible. Invasion defence also required a bomber force, that was mostly consumed in the Baby Blitz.

Spaatz was offering to solve the US air force problem then solve the army one, write down the German day fighter force and try for its fuel supply. Leigh-Mallory was army first, definitely trying to provoke a fight over France but was not as worried if that did not happen, as it meant the Germans would have heavily bombed airbases and transport links to supply them and the army. Equals an inability to interfere with allied operations. Air forces are supply intensive. Based on the first 4 months of combat SHAEF calculates the daily supply requirements as 541 tons per divisional slice in normal combat, 426 tons if regrouping or negotiating natural obstacles and 462 tons in a rapid advance. Of the 541 tons the division itself consumed 223 tons and the rest by corps and army overheads. A B-17 load is around 15 tons, put up a bomb group of 40 and probably use over 400 tons of supplies, plus all the additional supplies of spare parts, food etc.

The Luftwaffe fighters lost defending Germany were a major win for the allies and important for Overlord, the bombs dropped on Germany in the run up to D-Day had almost no impact on the effectiveness of the German defence in France, that required bombs on France.

9th Air Force bomber operations total dropped/on V-1 tons
Jan-44 1,546/1,497
Feb 44 3,368.0/1,822.8
Mar-44 5.116.33/1,229.4
Apr-44 9,161.325/2,576.437
May-44 14,664.45/1,116.108

January to May 1944 the 9th AF P-51 units claimed 307 enemy aircraft destroyed in the air.

As experience was gained it was understood things like fighter bombers could destroy bridges, Bomber Command was generally more accurate and having heavier effects than the 8th Air Force on targets in France while the Luftwaffe remained very willing to contest German airspace despite the casualties. Target assignments were duly altered. Day raids on Berlin were clearly designed to provoke a response.

So far landings on mainland Europe, Salerno and Anzio, had been rapidly fenced off, unable to take enough ground to deploy the forces to create a break out, Salerno relieved by the unopposed landing in southern Italy, Anzio left more as a drain on allied resources.

When it comes to transport links and mobility, what price lower delays in German movements and assembly, Second SS, like all the reinforcements did not arrive in one piece, so it depends on what date you wish to use. Tanks prefer to go by rail. Yes, fighter bombers played a big part in slowing the German army down.

2nd Panzer departed the 8th, first elements on the 13th, first armour on the 18th of June
17th SS in numbers by 12th June.
2nd SS activated 8 June first arrivals 15 June, last arrival 30 June, used as fire brigade, not assembled as division until 10 July.
1st SS activated 15 June, 25 June first arrivals, 30 June still waiting on last tanks.
9th, 10th SS in Lorraine by 16 June began arriving 25 June.
3rd Parachute, 77th and 275th infantry needed 5 to 6 days to march the around 150 miles to the front.

The more German troops arriving earlier the greater the chance the beachhead ends up too small to allow the landings to advance, even if the Germans are in turn unable to eliminate it.

Eisenhower correctly rejected the oil idea as taking too long to have an effect on Overlord, in May 1944 the 8th only bombed synthetic oil plants, while the 15th, now that it was officially allowed to bomb refineries versus missing the marshalling yards in the middle of the Ploesti ones, started reporting the attacks as such. Hydrogenation supplied effectively all German aviation fuel, over a third of motor fuel and a half of diesel fuel in the first quarter of 1944, all up 47% of fuel, lubricants and liquid gasses, then came fuel direct from Ploesti plus crude oil. All up Germany is estimated to have imported or produced some 11,300,000 tonnes of oil products in 1943, the USSBS puts production as 7,508,000 tonnes. The Red Army's 1944 advance eliminated Poland and Romania which were 67.6% of 1943 total crude oil supplies and 56.8% of crude oil available to the non Romanian axis powers in Europe. That made a big difference to German army fuel supplies.

Reading from a graph German production fell maybe 320,000 tonnes April to June, 260,000 tons of which from mostly the Hydrogenation plants, of which 125,000 tons was aviation fuel. German crude oil refineries had excess capacity and supplied about a quarter of Q1/1944 fuels, crude oil refinery runs in Germany were down to two thirds April 1944 figures by December.

I think the Luftwaffe was sustaining close to 500 day fighter pilot casualties, not killed, a month to all causes from all fronts, the clear majority defending Germany

Williamson Murry reports 2,262 German day fighter pilot casualties January to May 1944, all causes all fronts as far as I can tell, his fighter losses for January to June 1944 are 2,855 combat, 1,345 non combat. It indicates well over half of losses resulted in a pilot casualty, assuming twin engine fighter crews are not counted.

According to the Luftwaffe quartermaster January to May 1944 Luftflotte Reich lost, all causes, 2,217 single and twin engine day fighters, Luftflotte 3 lost 727. By cause that becomes Reich: 173 MIA, 1,381 in air combat, 597 not due to enemy action, Luftflotte 3: 51 MIA, 295 in air combat, 266 not due to enemy action, between the two of them MIA + air combat = 64.5% of total losses.

The lack of pilot training was showing up in the non combat loss figures, while Reich lost a further 57 and Luftflotte 3 had 107 destroyed on the ground.

June 1944 adds another all causes 278 Reich plus 599 LF3 losses, all up 3,821 losses for the 6 months, Murray reports 4,200 losses, on the chance Murray is only reporting single engine fighters, Reich+LF3 = 3,376 single engine total losses.

I would read it as the Luftwaffe was taking unsustainable pilot casualties, mostly over the Reich but 18.2% of MIA + air combat losses in the west were from Luftflotte 3, from a mixture of operations against the various allied air forces and some losses were occurring in other theatres.

To reiterate Spaatz was taking the longer way home when it comes to Overlord and as much as it all worked it increased the risks involved, while finally hitting a target effectively that reduced German combat power in the medium to long term, fuel, German operations in mid 1944 were much more hampered by tactical supplies of fuel, not strategic, that is the links to the depots, not the production in Germany. It is also clear the allied bombing of oil targets was influenced by the ability to read Luftwaffe signals about the fuel situation, most other target classes had to rely on photographic assessment as economic intelligence was a weak point.

The Davis comment is unfair. It is interesting Harris usually flew to the relevant 1944/45 SHAEF meetings while Spaatz tended to send a representative, Eisenhower decided he preferred Harris to Spaatz.
 
A US Navy F6F pilot said that on one of their missions near Japan that they encountered a large number of Japanese trainer aircraft and blew a great many of them away, only to be told that they would not count as victories because they were only trainers. I have never heard of that kind of restriction before and I doubt that other countries used that approach for scoring kills.
 

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