I have nothing to add, here, really. That is to say, you put it that way, I know specifically where you were going with this, now, and we're on the same page.Swordfish, if attacking in daylight unescorted would have been slaughtered, just like the TBFs and the TBDs. Im not arguing that. Im saying that as part of a night capable weapon system, with adequate torpedoes, properly trained crews, a doctrine and procedure for attacks at night, and an aircraft suited to night operations, they didnt need to be escorted, and had a high probabilty of succeeding. If we assume a similar number of Swordfish in place of the TBDs over the target at night how amny torpedoes might we expect being put into the Japanese carriers?. Anything from 0 to 12, depending on the luck and situation. Lets assume about 30-40% success, that means 3 or 4 topedo hits.
The Swordfish was not a wonder weapon, but it was suited to the role that it was put. And it enjoyed considerable success. Its apparent weaknesses (it slow speed) helped to also make it an accurate delivery system. i am not denying its basic obsolesence. I am disputing that use of slightly more high performance aircraft in daylight conditions was suicide, and that far more could have been derived from those aircraft (the TBDs) if they had been trained and used at night, using the same tactics as the Swordfish crews.
There is no denying the crappiness of US torpedoes, though this was rectified by early 1944. US VYs still did not enjoy a high success rate even with decent torps, against an enemy that by that stage was clearly on the ropes. Even without torps, having a fully night capable squadron on each carrier would have been a help, not a hindrance to US daylight strikes. It would have allowed tracking of the enemy day or night and thereby greatly increased the utility of the USN CVs