I hope you are right but I wouldn't rule it out at this stage.
"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (4 Viewers)
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Admiral Beez
Captain
Nice. And Sweden's AIP SSKs will be hard for the Russian SSNs to find, Blekinge-class submarine - Wikipedia
What Sweden brings to NATO
The traditionally neutral country has built a formidable military-industrial complex — something that will bolster the alliance as it faces Russian President Vladimir Putin.www.politico.eu
Glider
Captain
Or how about a bomb on one of those N Korean ships supplying ammo to Russia
SaparotRob
Unter Gemeine Geschwader Murmeltier XIII
I must've missed it When?
Ukraine to receive vital artillery shells as Czech Plan is close to fu
On March 6, 2024, Bloomberg reported that, according to an anonymous government source, the majority of the funding required for the Czech plan, aimed at awww.armyrecognition.com
When what?
SaparotRob
Unter Gemeine Geschwader Murmeltier XIII
Huh?
SaparotRob
Unter Gemeine Geschwader Murmeltier XIII
That's what happens when N. Koreans start picking up Sergey the Smoker's habits.
(Plausible deniability).
Jabberwocky
Staff Sergeant
Right now.
Funding is in place and a couple of countries (Romania and possibly Moldova) are already shipping small amounts of 155mm and 122mm ammunition that have been purchased by either the Czech Republic or Norway. There was also an announcement by Germany at the end of February that they were shipping 120,000 rounds of ammunition in Soviet/Russian calibers - 152mm, 130mm and 122mm - but I think that's unrelated to this initiative.
Looks like the European funding will mostly be used to purchase ~300,000 122mm shells from former Soviet bloc/Warsaw Pact countries, like Bulgaria, Croatia and Albania. A further 500,000 155mm shell purchases are supposedly from a wider range of geographies. Countries I've seen mentioned as possible sources include Singapore, India, the Philippines, Thailand, South Africa, Israel and Egypt.
This comes in over and above the commitments from the EU, NATO and individual countries to supply ammunition to Ukraine.
The EU delivery commitment is expected to exceed 500,000 rounds of 155mm this year, although deliveries are likely to be weighted towards the second half of the year. NATO deliveries of 200,000 rounds of 155mm per year aren't likely to start until 2025.
Outside of that, Ukraine itself is buying new production artillery rounds from as many sources as it can negotiate. However, 155mm contract prices are reportedly up more than 50% on where they were before the war started. I also shudder to think about the premium makers of old Soviet calibers are charging.
GrauGeist
Generalfeldmarschall zur Luftschiff Abteilung
I believe NK is shipping munitions by rail.
Admiral Beez
Captain
And on just one thin bridge between Russia and NK.
Korea–Russia Friendship Bridge - Wikipedia
Juicy target there for Siberians sympathetic to Ukraine and/or sick of Russia and Putin.
'Siberia will be free': Five Russian regions vote in unauthorised independence referendums
'Moscow takes a lot of resources from Siberia, and spends the money on its own needs and wars of aggression,' said one secessionist leader
inews.co.uk
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''...To further develop Ukraine's drone capabilities, Minister Blair committed to Canada joining the Ukraine Defense Contact Group's Drone Capability Coalition, co-led by Latvia and the United Kingdom. As a member of the Capability Coalition, Canada will continue to look for ways to boost Ukraine's drone capabilities...''
www.canada.ca
Minister Blair welcomes Latvian Defence Minister Andris Sprūds to Canada and joins Drone Coalition to aid Ukraine - Canada.ca
Today, the Honourable Bill Blair, Minister of National Defence, welcomed Latvia’s Defence Minister, Andris Sprūds, to Canada
''...President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday, March 7, said France would not rule out any option to support Ukraine...''
www.lemonde.fr
Macron tells party leaders France's support to Ukraine has 'no limits'
French President Emmanuel Macron met with leaders of the opposition to discuss the war in Ukraine. He has suggested that Ukraine's allies should not rule out sending troops.
www.lemonde.fr
Admiral Beez
Captain
This is an increasingly worrisome narrative, that Ukraine is losing ground because of poor defensive preparations and through ignoring US-recommended offensive strategies.
archive.is
"The disagreement over Avdiivka was a mirror image in reverse of Washington's frustrations with the Ukrainian counteroffensive last summer. In that case, Mr. Austin and other American officials urged Ukraine to focus its assault on one main effort along the 600-mile front line and press to break through Russian fortifications there."
archive.is
This plays into a narrative of: "give us the kit so we can clear Russia from our land", and in reply the USA says, "why should we if you're not going to use our kit in the ways we know best?".
Assuming POTUS/Congress do not block things, by spring 2025 Ukraine will have modern F-16s, more Abrams, HIMARS, ATACMS, Patriots, PGMs, cluster munitions, antimining systems, and hundreds of thousands (millions?) more artillery shells. If Ukraine still can't force a breakthrough in summer/autumn 2025, but instead expend all this new Western kit on penny packets across the entire front, diplomatically things will be difficult by 2026, by which Zelenskyy would have been Ukraine's president for seven years.
Surprisingly Weak Ukrainian Defenses Help Russian Advance - The New Y…
archived 2 Mar 2024 22:07:08 UTC
"The disagreement over Avdiivka was a mirror image in reverse of Washington's frustrations with the Ukrainian counteroffensive last summer. In that case, Mr. Austin and other American officials urged Ukraine to focus its assault on one main effort along the 600-mile front line and press to break through Russian fortifications there."
Mutual Frustrations Arise in U.S.-Ukraine Alliance - The New York Tim…
archived 7 Mar 2024 16:19:57 UTC
This plays into a narrative of: "give us the kit so we can clear Russia from our land", and in reply the USA says, "why should we if you're not going to use our kit in the ways we know best?".
Assuming POTUS/Congress do not block things, by spring 2025 Ukraine will have modern F-16s, more Abrams, HIMARS, ATACMS, Patriots, PGMs, cluster munitions, antimining systems, and hundreds of thousands (millions?) more artillery shells. If Ukraine still can't force a breakthrough in summer/autumn 2025, but instead expend all this new Western kit on penny packets across the entire front, diplomatically things will be difficult by 2026, by which Zelenskyy would have been Ukraine's president for seven years.
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Ukraine Situation Report: Missile Landed Near Zelensky And Greek Prime Minister In Odesa
President Zelensky and Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis had a close call with a Russian missile attack on the port city.
www.twz.com
UK steps up support for Ukraine with over 10,000 Drones | Defense News March 2024 Global Security army industry | Defense Security global news industry army year 2024 | Archive News year
UK steps up support for Ukraine with over 10,000 Drones
Ukraine blows up one of Russia’s most modern electronic warfare system
Ukrainian Special Operations Forces said on Friday that it had destroyed Russia's advanced R-330 "Zhitel" mobile truck-mounted electronic warfare jamming communication system. During reconnaissance operations in the Zaporizhzhia region, operators from the 3rd Separate Special Operations Regiment...
