the lancaster kicks *** said:
this is the issue that still poses a problem for me, you say it's late 1944 for the sake of argument yes? and you say that's based of production figures, well, hang on, wasn't all that production going out to the pacific?
This scenario is for a decision by Gen Arnold and Marshall that the B29 units were going to go to the ETO and not PTO. For whatever reason, the Mariana's were not available at the time needed and someone figured out that the logistics for them in the CBI was impossible to support.
......produce and put pilots in shedloads of -152s and -262s, and they'll be up waiting for the -29's in large numbers, yes some will get through, but many more will get taken down, and suddenly this becomes very expensive for the yanks........
But in reality, the ta-152 and -262's didnt appear in force untill the war was winding down. And that assumes the Luftwaffe had a qualified pilot available for each plane. It could have been done, but that would mean a complete suspension of existing sorties to fight the planes untill these two planes were online.
Remember that towards the end of the war, the Luftwaffe was deploying new pilots with less than a hundred hours of training. I have no reason to believe that any pilot of any nation could effectively handle any high performace fighter with that number of hours without killing himself in an accident or in combat.
now what if we say the practical arrival of the -29 isn't until early '46 perhaps? when a lot more factories are producing large enough numbers for Europe (more would be needed over Europe than the pacifc i think we can agree on that) but again for the americans to think that -17s and -24s weren't sufficient anymore would lead one to assume that the war's going well for jerry again, and if we're talking '46 we're talking about some pretty scary kit coming from the germans, some of which was purpose built to take out the B-29...........
The US had four B29 assembly plants in operation by summer of 1945. If the war was going bad enough, more factories could have been brought online to build even more. remember that the B17's and B24's were being built right up to spring 1945.
Also remember the allies had some tricks up their sleeves too. The P47N, P82 and P51K were going to be able to handle the Ta-152. And thats not counting the P80 and Meteor to handle the -262.
Dont forget that under developement in 1945 was the R4360 engined b29 that was going to be even faster than the -3350 equipped -29's.
sys you say i need to look at the "macro" sence of warfare, i put it to you that you need to look at the macro sence of your sanareo, and realise that other things will change other than the introduction of the B-29, it is not the singular variable in what is in all honesty pure speculation...........
The decsion to base the B29 in the PTO was dictated by political decisions, not war realities. All it took for the B29 to go to the ETO was someone on the JCS to say that the submarine blockade of Japan was going to be just as effective as the B29, or the Mariana's would not be capable of supporting the B29 groups till "later".
In addition, no matter what happens in the air by the time the B29's would have arrived in force, the battle of Normandy and the Russian summer offensives had begun, and the clock was ticking for Germany.