Coronavirus Thread

Vincenzo · Aug 2, 2020

Italy report 2 August, 5 pm CEST, weekly changes (after this i get out the hour info, i suspect that now the report is updated only at the day before midnight)
cases 248,070, + 1,952, deaths 35,154, + 47, recovered 200,460, +2,014, active cases 12,456, -109, tests 6,916,765, +356,193, people tested 4,118,068, +195,073
fatality rate 14.2% (-0.1)
mortality rate 583 per million (+1)
test rate 114.7 per thousand (+5.9)
positive rate 6% (-0.3)
test rate this week 5,905 per million (+558)
positive rate this week 1% (+0.1)
new case rate this week 32 per million (+4)

ThomasP · Aug 5, 2020

Addition to Minnesota COVID-19 Report

Hospitalized case rate 9.4%
Hospitalized cases in ICU rate 2.7% (ie 28% of hospitalized cases are either admitted directly to ICU or eventually end up in ICU)

Week Ending May 14______Median Age
All cases____________________44
Non-hospitalized cases_______43
Hospitalizes cases___________ 61
Hospitalized cases in ICU_____62
Deaths_____________________ 83

ThomasP · Aug 8, 2020

Minnesota report, current overall totals as of August 7
cases 59,185, recovered 51,940, hospitalized 5,458(300)*, deaths 1,640, tested 1,121,299
fatality rate 2.8%
mortality rate 287.7 per million
test rate 196.7 per thousand

Minnesota 7 day amalgamated report, for August 1-7
new cases estimated to be ~3,000, actual number unknown due to delays in testing
new hospitalizations 230
new deaths 40**
positivity rate 4.5%

*The number in parenthesis is Minnesota's currently hospitalized COVID-19 cases. This number has varied between 227 and 328 over the last 30 days.
**There were 2 deaths that were probably due to COVID-19 which are not included in the total deaths or new deaths. This is due to no test having been performed.

Vincenzo · Aug 10, 2020

Italy report 9th August, weekly changes
Cases 250,566, +2,496, deaths 35,205, +51, recovered 202,098, +1,638, active cases 13,263, +807 (again positive and over 6x of 2 week ago), tests 7,249,844, +333,079, people tested 4,296,730, +178,662
fatality rate 14.1% (-0.1)
mortality rate 584 per million (+1)
test rate 120.2 per thousand (+5.5)
positive rate 5.8% (-0.2)
test rate this week 5,522 per million (-383)
positive rate this week 1.4% (+0.4)
new case rate this week 41 per million (+9)

MiTasol · Aug 10, 2020

And New Zealand has just gone 100 days without a single new local covid infection.

Seems to me that closing hard and fast and suffering for a short time does far less damage to the economy than staying half open to "save the economy".

nuuumannn · Aug 11, 2020

MiTasol said:
And New Zealand has just gone 100 days without a single new local covid infection.

The USA has warned about travelling to New Zealand because apparently we have 29 active cases in obligatory quarantine!

buffnut453 · Aug 11, 2020

nuuumannn said:
The USA has warned about travelling to New Zealand because apparently we have 29 active cases in obligatory quarantine!

Yeah...we just came back to Europe after a spot of leave back in the States. There is a supreme irony when COVID cases in much of Europe are largely under control. COVID deaths in Europe are running at 200-300 per day for a population of 740-ish million compared to daily deaths in the US at over 1000 for a population of 360 million...and yet the US is warning its population not to travel to Europe because of the COVID threat?

"Pot to kettle. State colour, please. Over."

MiTasol · Aug 11, 2020

nuuumannn said:
The USA has warned about travelling to New Zealand because apparently we have 29 active cases in obligatory quarantine!

Obviously that report was prepared by the Department of MISinformation.

nuuumannn · Aug 11, 2020

Well, it's happened. Our run of no community cases had ended. New Zealand is now back in Lockdown! Well, a part of it; the city of Auckland has a Level Three Lockdown in place for three days, with the rest of the country in a Level Two situation of no large gatherings and contact tracing, as well as masks etc. This is after four new community cases from the same family who has had no overseas travel.

New Zealand's Alert Levels are changing at 12 noon on Wednesday 12 August

Covid 19 coronavirus: Auckland in lockdown, rest of country in level 2 - Four cases of community transmission

DerAdlerIstGelandet · Aug 11, 2020

buffnut453 said:
Yeah...we just came back to Europe after a spot of leave back in the States. There is a supreme irony when COVID cases in much of Europe are largely under control. COVID deaths in Europe are running at 200-300 per day for a population of 740-ish million compared to daily deaths in the US at over 1000 for a population of 360 million...and yet the US is warning its population not to travel to Europe because of the COVID threat?

"Pot to kettle. State colour, please. Over."

The misinformation campaign here Is through the roof.

If you tell a lie enough, it becomes the truth.

michaelmaltby · Aug 11, 2020

" a lie has spread around the world before truth has time to get his trousers on"
Churchill, IIRC, and those words before social media.

Glider · Aug 12, 2020

There may be some light at the end of the tunnel. According to the John Hopkins site the UK yesterday had 2 new cases and 0 deaths. Even if that's a statistical one off things may be turning

MiTasol · Aug 14, 2020

Zipper730 · Aug 15, 2020

I'm curious how bad they expect this to get during the Autumn and Winter months?

buffnut453 · Aug 15, 2020

Zipper730 said:
I'm curious how bad they expect this to get during the Autumn and Winter months?

The big fear is the impact on hospital capacity once flu season starts. With COVID already stressing medical services in some US cities, there just aren't beds available to also treat the usual number of people who are hospitalized due to seasonal flu.

GrauGeist · Aug 15, 2020

buffnut453 said:
Yeah...we just came back to Europe after a spot of leave back in the States. There is a supreme irony when COVID cases in much of Europe are largely under control. COVID deaths in Europe are running at 200-300 per day for a population of 740-ish million compared to daily deaths in the US at over 1000 for a population of 360 million...and yet the US is warning its population not to travel to Europe because of the COVID threat?

"Pot to kettle. State colour, please. Over."

If you took the time to read the State Department's press release, travel to ANY destination for Americans is discouraged to help arrest transmission - coming or going.

MiTasol · Aug 15, 2020

buffnut453 said:
The big fear is the impact on hospital capacity once flu season starts. With COVID already stressing medical services in some US cities, there just aren't beds available to also treat the usual number of people who are hospitalized due to seasonal flu.

I hope the US has a similar flu season to Australia but given how many Americans refuse to distance and refuse to take any other precautions I doubt that it will occur.

In the Aus Capital Territory last year 450+ died of the flu. This year less than 10% of that died from the same cause.

Social distancing and better hygiene made all the difference. Masks were a rarity so do not factor in or out.

buffnut453 · Aug 15, 2020

GrauGeist said:
If you took the time to read the State Department's press release, travel to ANY destination for Americans is discouraged to help arrest transmission - coming or going.

Trust me, we really didn't want to fly to the States but one of my wife's close relatives is in the terminal stages of cancer and we wanted to spend some time with her while she was still "herself".

The key problem is not the risk of transmission coming into the US from overseas. It's the much higher risk of transmission internally within the US because many people are being idiots and not taking basic precautions to limit spread 9fntue disease. From what I saw, only about 40 percent of people seemed serious about taking precautions.

ThomasP · Aug 15, 2020

Minnesota report, August 14
cases 63,723, recovered 56,659, hospitalized 5,783(313)*, deaths 1,693, tested 1,219,816
fatality rate 2.7%
mortality rate 297 per million
test rate 214 per thousand

Minnesota 7 day amalgamated report, for August 8-14
new cases estimated to be ~3,800, up 800. The exact number is unknown due to delays in testing
new hospitalizations 277, up 20%
new deaths 40**
positivity rate 5.2%, up 0.7%

*The number in parenthesis is Minnesota's currently hospitalized COVID-19 cases. This number has varied between 302 and 337 since August 1st.
**There were 4 deaths that were probably due to COVID-19 which are not included in the total deaths or new deaths. This is due to no test having been performed.

Note that the number I am using for the population of Minnesota is 5,700,000 and is rounded down to the nearest thousand for simplicity.

DerAdlerIstGelandet · Aug 15, 2020

buffnut453 said:
Trust me, we really didn't want to fly to the States but one of my wife's close relatives is in the terminal stages of cancer and we wanted to spend some time with her while she was still "herself".

The key problem is not the risk of transmission coming into the US from overseas. It's the much higher risk of transmission internally within the US because many people are being idiots and not taking basic precautions to limit spread 9fntue disease. From what I saw, only about 40 percent of people seemed serious about taking precautions.

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