History Learner
Airman
- 20
- Jul 24, 2025
There's a tendency among armchair historians, thankfully in decline to posit that the Japanese can't come up with their own ideas. The notion that the A6M had to be a copy of a western design comes to mind. Postwar this thinking applied to Japanese made consumer products and vehicles. Anyway, the IJN's Kido Butai had the best naval strike and fighter aircraft afloat operating from a half dozen fast fleet carriers. If the US decided to move its Pacific Fleet to Pearl Harbor and maintain it at half readiness in full view of Japanese intel ops, I am rather sure that Yamamoto or someone else in the IJN will independently arrive at the notion that we could and should use our carriers to conduct a first strike (including sorting out low depth torpedoes), per history.
In terms of Taranto we know the first time the IJN practiced for a Strike South was in November of 1940 after the British attack. By the time Yamamoto's staff began drawing up the plans for Pearl Harbor in earnest in 1941, the Japanese had already dispatched one fact finding mission to Europe to study the strike and another would be dispatched shortly, with the final report submitted in October of 1941. Notably, this was before Hirohito officially signed off on the strike. While the idea certainly existed before 1940, the plan as enacted certainly didn't and a lot of evidence exists to say the Japanese applied best practices from it in formulating said plan.
More importantly than the above is the changed strategic context, IMHO. The IJA and most of the IJN opposed the Pearl Harbor operation, with one of the most common criticisms being that the Kido Butai being reserved for Pearl meant the invasion(s) of Southwest Asia had to be conducted with the minimally acceptable forces. Given here the Commonwealth has not had to denude Asia to fight in North Africa and the Royal Navy, not tied down in the Mediterranean, can and most likely will sortie in force once the Japanese launch their offensives. In that situation and without the precedent of Taranto to back up his arguments, I very much doubt Yamamoto will be able to force through his plan given the extreme risks it would entail.
Last edited: