parsifal
Colonel
I am having a little trouble following the math here. You jump from the German $300 million to an estimated US $400 million and then ASSUME the Navy spent 1/2. The US must have spending an awful lot of the budget on R&D.
The 11% expansion bill which was authorised in April 1940, spent a little over $400m on new ships. It spent about $30m on new facilities. I dont have figures for new or replacement aircraft, but if we assume 1000 we are going to be very generous. Thats not the entire budget for the Navy, in fact the expenditures of the various expansions are over and above budget expenditures I understand.
I can only see where about $500m of that $907m was spent. where did the remainder (about $400m or so) go????
Given that Hap Arnold at the time (or just slioghtly later) was stating German R&D expenditures were being matched, and that we have at least $400m of just one part of Naval expenditures unnaccounted for , why is it unreasonable to suggest $200m on aircraft R&D???
Quoting budget expenditures for expenditures not covered in the budget seems more than a little disingenuous....
From one source: [2-3
TOTAL "DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY DOLLAR EXPENDITURES" in 1940 = $ 907,160,000
According to your estimate 22% of that money was spent on aeronautical R&D??
From : Budget of the US Navy: 1794 to 2004
1939 = $673,792,000
1940 = $1,137,608,000
1941 = $4,465,684,000
1942 = $21,149,323,000
1943 = $31,043,134,000
You estimate that the US Navy spent 17.58% of their ENTIRE 1940 budget on aeronautical R&D ??
Iam not going to falsely claim that Im am sure, but quoting budegetry estimates here is clearly misleading. The whole purpose of these special enactments, like the Vinson Bill and the 11% expansion bill., were to vote extra funds for military exapansions not covered in the budget. i will look at your source when I can (havent done that yet), but if it is what it says it is, then it is clearly not the whole story for defence funding, because not all defence funding at that time was included in the budget. .
You would have to buy an AWFUL lot of prototypes to spend 200 million dollars in 1940.
Which is deliberatly misrepresenting what ive been saying. im not going through the proess for you again.
Hindsight is a wonderful thing. The fact that, as mention before, the Japanese FAILED to improve the Zero and Oscar anywhere near the extent that other nations improved their aircraft for more than THREE years OR provide better replacements in anything approaching significant quantities is not something the US could count on.
Its a risk, but it was far less risk than the one they took by pinching on carrier production. Only by the best of sheer luck were they able to bring the competion dates of 7 carriers forward from 1944-5 some 18months on average. thats a much biger risk than soldiering on with the F4f.
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