To note the P-38 cockpit heating was a problem.
Is there any information the P-38 consistently fought heavily outnumbered in the late 1943/early 1944 period, since that would mean a significant percentage towards a majority of the Luftwaffe's fighter sorties were consistently hitting the P-38 formations instead of the bombers or other fighters. Interceptors including the twin engined Me410 etc. which were part of the force in the time period. Luftflotte Reich held 814 single and 198 twin engined day fighters in late May 1944, numbers that had been largely going up since 1943 even as pilot quality went down.
P-38 strength in 8th Air Force Fighter Groups, various dates in 1944.
4-Jan-44 124
11-Jan-44 130
17-Jan-44 164
25-Jan-44 212
1-Feb-44 239
8-Feb-44 180
15-Feb-44 129
29-Feb-44 170
6-Mar-44 229
14-Mar-44 268
21-Mar-44 258
28-Mar-44 262
4-Apr-44 276
11-Apr-44 269
18-Apr-44 257
25-Apr-44 256
2-May-44 255
9-May-44 245
16-May-44 283
30-May-44 276
6-Jun-44 288
13-Jun-44 318
20-Jun-44 302
27-Jun-44 290
4-Jul-44 283
11-Jul-44 269
18-Jul-44 237
1-Aug-44 109
8-Aug-44 85
15-Aug-44 77
22-Aug-44 74
12-Sep-44 50
19-Sep-44 50
10-Oct-44 21
25-Oct-44 5
7-Nov-44 1
Using Joe Baugher's web site, data is model, first month of series production.
J-1 Jan-43 (3 built then, the other 7 in June)
J-5 Aug-43 (restart of J production)
J-10 Oct-43
J-15 Dec-43 (wing leading edge fuel tanks as standard)
J-20 May-44
J-25 Jun-44 (last 210 J production, dive flaps, boosted ailerons)
L-1 Jun-44
L-5 Oct-44 (final L block number)
The US fighter evaluation in 1944, turning, best was the FM-2 at 100 units, the P-51D-15 was 5th at 179, the P-38L 205, the P-47D-30 206. 1G, no flaps.
Quote,
The -25 mainly fixed Lockheed's flight control issues. Allegedly the intake problem overstressed Allison's small engineering team. The behavior of liquid / gas mixtures under extreme conditions is the core of "rocket science" and it was very rare knowledge back then, before computers enabled Computational Fluid Dynamics.
"To be more specific, the foremost problem was the temperature of the compressed air from the turbosupercharger entering the carburetor. High carburetor air temperature (CAT for short) can cause all kinds of engine problems including detonation, which can lead to catastrophic engine failure. Allison recommended a CAT of no more than 45 degrees C."
"As it turned out high CAT was one of the major problems limiting P-38 performance through the P-38H. The root cause was, of course, the limited cooling ability of the wing leading edge intercoolers found in all early P-38s. They were a very clever design, inducing almost no aerodynamic drag, but they were designed for the 1000 hp Allisons of the late 1930s. By 1943 Military power was up to 1425 bhp and War Emergency Power was 1600 bhp. The increased power required higher induction pressure, which through compression by the superchargers heated the air by several hundred degrees. There is no way that the simple intercoolers could keep CAT below 45 degrees C. when operating at high power at altitude."
CAT wasn't the only problem though. The centrifuge effect of the compressor and the temperature variations in the plumbing could separate out the heavier octane enhancing additives and worsen the destructive detonation. The scientists who really understood this stuff were elsewhere separating Uranium.
The planes performed better in the warmer Med and Pacific so that's where they went. Doolittle and Spaatz made the decision to use the available and very suitable Mustang instead of waiting past D-Day for large numbers of a better P-38 in a paper that I haven't been able to find online. This gives an excerpt:
" A lot of this had to do with its poor intake manifold design, something that Gen. Jimmy Doolittle, who had a PhD in aviation science from MIT, pointed out in a report on the P-38's problems, written to Carl Spaatz in the spring of 1944."
"Doolittle specifically singled out the intake system of the V-1710 as a problem - the tetraethyl lead was somehow separating out with the uneven distribution which caused repeated problems with detonation in certain cylinders in the V-1710s (i.e., they would blow up and catch fire in flight - kinda nasty for the pilots, eh?)."
***"Doolittle's letter to Spaatz is about as clear cut of an explanation of the problems of the V-1710 - turbosupercharger combo at high altitude in Europe as any I've ever found. It's the smoking gun that answers the question of why the P-38 was pulled from almost all combat duty in Europe, remaining only as a photo-reconnaissance plane."***
The dive brake modification shows how long it could take to field a fix on that plane.
Fred Colvin's writing on war production illuminates the difficulty of finding the proper curvature for efficient turbocharger and jet engine compressor blades. Unable to calculate it, the scientists were demanding that the shop produce a variety of exotic and difficult-to-machine mathematical spirals to determine by experiment what was best.
"However the Archimedean spiral is used in a variety of applications. One such interesting application is in scroll compressors."
End quote
Early 8th AF escort operations,
P-38 operations with the 8th AF started on 15 October 1943. The P-51 started escort operations in December 1943.
First escort mission, 20 October, 39 P-38, no kill claims, 321 P-47, 6 kill claims. No USAAF fighters MIA.
table is date / number of P-38 / P-38 kill claims / P-38 MIA // number of P-47 / number of P-47 kill claims / P-47 MIA. Bomber escort missions only
3 November / 45 / 3 / 0 // 333 / 11 / 2
5 November / 47 / 5 / 0 // 336 / 13 / 4
7 November / 0 / 0 / 0 // 283 / 1 / 0
11 November / 59 / 0 / 0 // 342 / 8 / 2
13 November / 45 / 7 / 7 // 345 / 3 / 3
19 November / 0 / 0 /0 // 288 / 0 / 0
26 November / 28 / 0 / 0 // 353 / 36 / 4
29 November / 38 / 2 / 7 // 314 / 13 / 9
30 November / 20 / 0 / 1 // 327 / 0 / 5
1 December / 42 / 0 / 5 // 374 / 20 / 2
The third set of figures is for P-51
5 December / 34 / 0 / 0 // 266 / 0 / 1 // 36 / 0 / 0
11 December / 31 / 0 / 0 // 313 / 20 / 3 // 44 / 0 / 1
13 December / 31 / 1 / 0 // 322 / 0 / 1 // 41 / 0 / 1
16 December / 31 / 0 / 0 // 131 / 1 / 1 // 39 / 1 / 0
20 December / 26 / 0 / 0 // 418 / 16 / 2 // 47 / 3 / 4
22 December / 40 / 0 / 2 // 448 / 9 / 2 // 28 / 6 / 0
24 December / 40 / 0 / 0 // 459 / 0 / 0 // 42 / 0 / 0
30 December / 79 / 0 / 0 // 463 / 8 / 11 // 41 / 0 / 2
31 December / 74 / 3 / 1 // 441 / 4 / 2 // 33 / 2 / 1
Totals, P-38 749 sorties, 21 kill claims, 23 MIA, P-47 6,877 sorties, 169 kill claims, 54 MIA, P-51 351 sorties, 12 kill claims, 9 MIA.
The first 8th Air Force mission using P-38J models of any type seems to have been on 28 December 1943. The 8th AF loss lists note H-5 losses to November 1943 to early January 1944, J-5 losses early January to September 1944, J-10 losses early January to June, J-15 mid April to September. No J-25. The ETO first P-38 group to have J-25 or L model was the 479th in August 1944, they were given 2 and found the dive flap system unreliable and so had the aircraft replaced with non dive flapped models. In October 1943 the USAAF in Britain had 105 P-38 and 159 P-51, in November it was 188 to 231, in December 380 to 266. In January 1944 it was 637 P-38 to 543 P-51, in February 669 to 699 and the P-51 stayed ahead for the rest of the war. These figures includes reserves
The following time line is 1943 to 1944, mainly from Air War Europa by Eric Hammel.
20th December The first freelance fighter mission is flown when the bombers turn up 30 minutes late and the 55th fighter group "puts into action a plan much discussed by fighter pilots - ranging ahead of the bombers as they converge on the bomber path. The 55th fighter group scores no victories on this day, but its new tactic gets the attention of VIII fighter command and there ensures a healthy debate that, in the end, will free the fighters from the outmoded close-escort doctrine of the day." Window is first used on this day as well. Some 491 fighters were used as escorts for 546 bombers, 12 of which were pathfinders.
6th January Doolittle gained command
7th January Phased escort tactics used, fighters fly to rendezvous points to relieve other fighters rather than a formation of fighters stays with a formation of bombers for the entire mission, 571 fighters for 502 bombers.
11th January the first officially sanctioned test of freelance fighter tactics, where fighter formations range ahead and to the side of the bomber formation hoping to catch Luftwaffe fighters as they are forming up, 592 fighters for 663 bombers. The USAAF mounts 2 raids that day, the one with the freelance experiment, to Oschersleben and Halberstadt, has the Oschersleben bomber formation hit hard by fighters and flak, losing 34 from 177 bombers despatched, the Halberstadt formation loses 8 from 114 despatched. The 221 escorting fighters for these two formations claim 29 kills for 3 fighters lost, 11 of the kills by the freelance fighters. Only the 56th fighter group freelances, with two formations of 36 and 48 fighters respectively. All the bombers were B-17s.
The second raid that day, to Brunswick, was largely reduced to targets of opportunity and lost 16 B-17s and 2 B-24s.
Of the 58 to 62 B-17s lost that day (sources vary again), including write offs, some 44 were lost to enemy fighters, 8 to flak, 2 to "battle damage" and 5 "operational" losses, according to my counts.
So the initial experiment would have a mixed report, the freelance fighters did above average but the bombers were clearly exposed to significant fighter attack.
21st January 56th fighter group turn in the first strafing kill claims, it is not until late March that strafing becomes a significant source of kill claims. In April according to the USAAF statistical digest fighters will lodge 418 kills in the air and 527 on the ground, versus 469 in the air and 76 on the ground in March.
24th January the first attempt at having fighters patrol an area for a time, not stick with a particular bomber formation, abandoned due to weather problems.
Ignoring 1942, when the first 8th Air Force P-38 group flew its first mission mid October 1943, there were 7 P-47 groups flying missions. The second P-38 group flew it first mission at the end of December. The third group flew its first mission in early March 1944, by which stage the 8th had 2 operational P-51 groups and was borrowing the 9th AF ones. In late May it was 4 P-38 to 7 P-51, by end July it was 1 P-38 to 10 P-51 groups flying missions.
8th AF P-38 units,
The 20th FG claimed 76 kills November 1943 to June 1944,
the 55th FG claimed 79 kills November 1943 to June 1944,
the 364th 35.5 kills March to June 1944,
the 479th 70 kills June to October 1944.
So around 260 kill claims. USAAF ETO fighters made 2,706 kill claims November 1943 to June 1944.
In terms of failed to return the 8th lost something like 257 P-38 November 1943 to October 1944.
Using the USAAF unit history and the USAAF kill claims lists I make the P-38 groups in the ETO as
20th sent 8/43 1st kill claims 11/43 converted to P-51 7/44 scored 90 out of wartime total of 209.5 kill claims in P-38s.
55th sent 8/43, 1st kill 11/43 P-51 7/44 106 of 303.5 kills in P-38s.
364th sent 1/44 1st kill 3/44 P-51 7/44 35.5 of 263 kills in P-38s.
367th sent 3/44 1st kill 6/44 P-51 3/45 74 of 85 kills in P-38s
370th sent 1/44 1st kill 5/44 P-51 2/45 37 of 38 kills in P-38s
474th sent 2/44 1st kill 7/44, 95 kill claims, only ETO P-38 group in May 1945.
479th sent 4/44 1st kill 6/44 P-51 11/44 75 of 154 kills in P-38s.
Note the kill claim breakdowns are based on everything up to and including the month of conversion counted as P-38 kills. Of the 7 groups 4 scored more kills after conversion to P-51. The P-38 arrived in the 8th Air Force around 7 weeks before the P-51 (or 9 bomber escort missions) and like the early P-51 had less internal fuel than later models. While until the second P-38 group flew combat at the end of the month there were more P-51 on escort than P-38 in December.
The 8th Air Force P-38 immediately hit a series of mechanical problems that had not been obvious in other theatres, the combat performance was also a problem. Even so as can be seen the P-38 strength in the 8th Air Force stayed high until July 1944. It was 2 groups at the end of 1943, 3 in early March 1944, 4 end May 1944, down to 1 by end July, to zero mid September, all moving to the P-51. Meantime it should be noted the 8th transitioned some P-47 groups earlier, it had 9 P-47 groups end January 1944, and that was down to 4 by mid May, 3 more P-47 groups converted in the final quarter of 1944. So it was not a case of the P-38 were removed first, rather it was 5 P-47, 4 P-38 then 3 P-47. A brake on the transition speed was the lack of P-51 which caused one 9th Air Force P-51 group to switch to P-47 for a while.