"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (4 Viewers)

Ad: This forum contains affiliate links to products on Amazon and eBay. More information in Terms and rules


My "analysis" (that's a grand term for my spoutings) is undoubtedly too simple. However....

1. Kiev's drive to become a NATO member really started in 2008 so how does that justify an invasion in 2022? How does ANYTHING that Ukraine has done justify an invasion?

2. How did Ukraine annul the neutrality clause in 2010? Even if it did, why did it take 4 years for Russia to initially act, and a further 8 years to invade?

3. Since Ukraine withdrew from the CIS it is no longer subject to its provisos. That would be like saying that the CIS are still subject to the protocols of the USSR.

4. I sense there isn't a lot of blame flowing up to Putin from the Duma. Hagiography and arse-kissing? Yes. Blame and criticism? Not a chance.
 
In Jan 2010, Putin-puppet Viktor Yanukovych became president of Ukraine and canceled Ukraine's drive for NATO membership. This mollified Putin until Yanukovych was thrown out of power in the 2014 revolution and fled to exile in Russia, leading Putin to seize Crimea. In November 2014 after Russia had seized Crimea, Ukraine's new president, Petro Poroshenko announced that the country is now again pursuing NATO membership. From then on it was only a matter of time before either Ukraine gained NATO membership or they were brought back under Russian control through either regime change in Kyiv or military occupation. The race was on.

You have to like former president Poroshenko. He's not giving Zelensky any trouble, and is a good spokesperson for arms and assistance.

 

Yes, but that doesn't explain how Ukraine's actions in 2010 nullified the neutrality clause. If Yanukovych cancelled Ukraine's (then 2-year old) drive for NATO membership, surely that would strengthen Ukraine's neutrality rather than annulling it?
 
In other news, Poland has sent a "very large number" of tanks to Ukraine:

Poland has sent a "very large number" of tanks to Ukraine, the Polish President Andrzej Duda says.

During the World Economic Forum in Davos, Duda said the transfer had reduced Poland's defence capabilities.

"We are counting on the support of the community, which is Nato, and we are counting on the support of the USA and also Germany," he said.

In April, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki admitted for the first time that Poland had sent tanks to Ukraine.

No details have been released, but media reports suggest they have been supplying Soviet-era T-72 tanks.

President Duda said the Polish army was now using a lot of German Leopard 2 tanks.

"If we were supported by our German allies with a batch of tanks that would replace the ones we gave to Ukraine, we would be very grateful. We had such a promise, we hear that Germany is not willing to fulfil this promise, that's a big disappointment for us," he said.
 
What do the Poles think - Abrakadabra and the Leo2s are in their service?
German armed forces have no spare Leo2 available and those in hands of the industry seem to require reactivation/refurbishment.

BTW in german news are reports that a russian airforce general was shot down in his Su-25 by a Stinger. His name was given as Generalmajor Kanamat Botaschow
 
1. There was no "neutrality" or "border defining" treaty in 1991. Ukraine's borders are the same as that of the Ukrainian SSR.
2. Ukraine did not "annul" anything in 2010. Actually, in 2010, Ukraine prolonged the lease of the Russian base in Sevastopol, as the only exception to the de-facto neutrality status. Yeltsin never granted anything. CIS membership has never been linked to the borders or vice versa.
3. Finland "allied" with Germany against USSR (not only Russia which was represented by RFSFR at that time) after the USSR attacked Finland.
Ukraine did not break the Alma-Ata declaration or any other document of CIS or any treaty with the Russian Federation.
 

Retired Russian Air Force Major General Kanamat Botashev was shot down and killed in the sky over Ukraine. Information about the death of the pilot was confirmed to the BBC by three former subordinates of Botashev, who kept in touch with him after the end of the service. They requested anonymity for personal security reasons.
Kanamat Botashev was born in 1959 in Karachay-Cherkessia, graduated from the Yeysk Higher Military Aviation Institute and qualified as a fighter-bomber. He rose from lieutenant to general.

 
Couldn't agree more. You expect the media to go somewhere else at this point in the war, but expect more here. The. gyros, fries............
 

I'm confused. If he was retired, why was he flying an Su-25 over Ukraine? If he wasn't retired, why the hell was a Major General flying combat ops?

There's something distinctly hokey about this.
 
T-62 thing is super interesting. Looks like they might be going for rear areas/security operations use. Russia designated about 900 T-62s as active reserves in the mid 2010s, using T-62Ms that had been modernised in the mid to late 1980s. A bunch of these were then given to Syria between 2017 and 2019 (where they didn't perform particularly well...). The T-62M really only left active Russian service in 2018 - although it had been reduced to 'anti-terrorist' operations by then (read: intimidating Georgians upset at Russia occupying their country).

The T-62M is not a modern tank by any means, and it is inferior to even the base level T-72As. The list of vulnerabilities and flaws is hideous (cramped, poor internal ammunition placement, weird gun reload/depression/traverse issues, terrible sights, rear armour vulnerable to light autocannon). Biggest drawback is that nearly all of the updates lack thermal sights and night vision for the driver. There's a IR system, but that's aparrently useless beyond 250-300m. Which means that they basically can't be used at night.
 
I'm confused. If he was retired, why was he flying an Su-25 over Ukraine? If he wasn't retired, why the hell was a Major General flying combat ops?

There's something distinctly hokey about this.
Сan be
I saw this news in morning, i was not sure "bbc" like source. But Аdvisor-President A.Arestovich confirm this information at 22-00 Kiev.
Although I understand that his words cannot be a 100% guarantee either, but he this boy who values his reputation
Regarding ship General Makarov, he was first say that it was too early to rejoice
 
Or they simply leave it un-rebuilt like they did much of East Berlin and East Germany until the East and West reunited.
Oleh Ustenko, an adviser to the Ukrainian president on economic issues, said at a briefing at the Ukraine Media Center:
The total value of direct and indirect losses inflicted by the aggressor on Ukraine has already reached about $1 trillion.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Ukraine was worth $165 billion US dollars in 2021, according to official data from the World Bank.
 
What do the Poles think - Abrakadabra and the Leo2s are in their service?
German armed forces have no spare Leo2 available and those in hands of the industry seem to require reactivation/refurbishment.
I think the Poles want the German armoured units, with their crews, rather than to take their tanks away. Besides, the Germans will need them.


I do wonder if Canada will be sending a Leo2 armoured regiment to the Baltics to join our IFV equipped force there. If they so, the Germans could redeploy from Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia to Poland.
 
Maybe Ukraine will need to follow Germany's example post-1945 and import millions of Turks and Asian/African people to rebuild.
 

Users who are viewing this thread