"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (4 Viewers)

[GTX]

The dynamic in Ukraine appears to be changing. Here's what that might mean

Ukrainian soldiers are striking where they wish and forcing the Russians into difficult decisions about the deployment of forces across the south and east of the country, writes Mick Ryan.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Glider]

The dynamic in Ukraine appears to be changing. Here's what that might mean

Ukrainian soldiers are striking where they wish and forcing the Russians into difficult decisions about the deployment of forces across the south and east of the country, writes Mick Ryan.

www.abc.net.au

Maybe I wasn't too far off the mark

 

[Dimlee]

Another assistance package.
Includes 75,000 155 mm rounds and an undisclosed number of NASAMS and HIMARS ammunition.

$1 Billion in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine

The Department of Defense announces the authorization of a Presidential Drawdown of security assistance valued at up to $1 billion to meet Ukraine's critical security and defense needs.

www.defense.gov

 

[Dimlee]

About HARMs.
"The Pentagon announced Monday that the US has sent anti-radar missiles for Ukrainian aircraft to target Russian radar systems. ...
A defense official told CNN the type of missile sent was the AGM-88 High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missile (HARM). "

Pentagon for the first time acknowledges sending previously undisclosed anti-radar missiles to Ukraine

Ukraine accused Russian forces on Sunday of launching rockets at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, further ratcheting fears of an accident a day after the UN watchdog warned that fighting at the occupied complex risked a "nuclear disaster." Follow live news updates here.

edition.cnn.com

 

[Thumpalumpacus]

So the Butcher of Aleppo is unemployed. Maybe we should all chip in and buy him a card or something.

 

[Juha3]

This is a great opportunity for Sweden and Finland to rid themselves of the PKK and their lot. Thanks, not grumbles should be aimed Turkey's way.

The problem is not so simple, the PKK is a clear case but Turkey sees People's Protection Units (YPG) which was and maybe still is the main ally of the USA in Syria, as a wing of the PKK. And Gulen lives in the USA in exile and probably there are many Gulenists even in Canada.

I haven't been following the matter closely, but I noticed some time ago that Turkey accuses a Kurd whom Turkey wants to extradite of defaming Erdogan. It will probably be difficult to get the handover through in court, but I don't know what kind of defamation is in question.

 

[Admiral Beez]

I'm glad to see Canadian ground forces in the Baltic, but on the seas we're letting our side down.

With resources stretched, Canadian navy warships out of NATO forces for first time since 2014

Experts say it's part of the growing trade-offs Canada is having to make with its navy, which has a shrinking fleet of aging ships and a lack of trained sailors

nationalpost.com

"For the first time in eight years, Canadian warships are not involved in either of two NATO naval task forces charged with patrolling European waters and defending against Russian threats."

Canada needs to replace the Halifax-class frigates and Victoria-class SSKs asap. But the first of the RCN's 8,000 ton Type 26 frigates (nearly double the displacement of the Halifax class) won't begin construction until 2024 with the first unit not entering service until the early 2030s. Meanwhile, there appears to be zero initiative to replace the thirty year old Victoria class subs. And, the Kingston class OPVs will eventually need replacing. We're now reaping the results of decades of neglect of the CAF, where we should have instead have ordered one ship after each one left the yards. And now we also need to buy the F-35 for the RCAF. Canada's military budget needs a boost.

 

[Admiral Beez]

Does Ukraine hitting Crimea equate to the UAF striking beyond its borders? Of course, Crimea was Ukrainian territory before 2014.

Ukraine Live Updates: Explosion Rocks Russian Air Base in Crimea

 

[GrauGeist]

Crimea is still internationally recognized as Ukrainian.

 

[wlewisiii]

Whoops! So much for August in the sun! Guess they aren't happy if the missiles are going east rather than west

 

[Admiral Beez]

Crimea is still internationally recognized as Ukrainian.

True, but what does the madman think and do?

Russia could go nuclear if Ukraine strikes Crimea - Asia Times

As the war in Ukraine is about to head into its sixth month, the ferocity with which it is fought shows no signs of abating – neither on the battlefield

asiatimes.com

 

[GrauGeist]

True, but what does the madman think and do?

Russia could go nuclear if Ukraine strikes Crimea - Asia Times

As the war in Ukraine is about to head into its sixth month, the ferocity with which it is fought shows no signs of abating – neither on the battlefield

asiatimes.com

So far Russia has threatened everyone with just about every term imaginable, like the "swift and dire consequences" to Finland if they considered attempted joined NATO and the thinly veiled threat of nuking London and so on.

*IF* Russia were to deploy tactical nukes in Ukraine, there is the Budapest Memorandum (which Russia has violated in 2014 and again this year) that gives the U.S. and UK legal right to respond if Russia does so.

And *technically* speaking, the U.S. and UK (not NATO) have been justified in getting on the ground in Ukraine since February and providing military aid is well within the momeorandum's framework.

Here's the first five (of six) points to the memorandum:
1. Respect Ukrainian independence and sovereignty in the existing borders.

2. Refrain from the threat or the use of force against Ukraine.

3. Refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.

4. Seek immediate Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine if they "should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used".

5. Refrain from the use of nuclear arms against Ukraine.

 

[GTX]

One killed, eight injured as blasts rock Russian air base in annexed Crimea

An advisor to Ukraine's President denies Kyiv is behind explosions at a Russian air base near seaside resorts in annexed Crimea.

www.abc.net.au

 

[GTX]

Despite bans, Russian disinformation spreading in new ways

Russia has found ways around the European Union's ban on its top channels for spreading war propaganda.

www.abc.net.au

 

[GTX]

Russian airlines strip jets for spare parts as Ukraine war sanctions hit industry

A Western aviation industry source says it is "only a matter of time" before Russia-based planes are cannibalised.

www.abc.net.au

 

[GTX]

What we know about the latest nuclear scare at a giant Ukrainian power plant

Heavy fighting is again raging around Europe's largest nuclear plant, with Russia and Ukraine accusing each other of shelling the facility. What can be done to stave off disaster?

www.abc.net.au

 

[GTX]

Ukraine calls for demilitarised zone around shelled nuclear plant

Ukraine calls for urgent UN-led intervention and the presence of peacekeepers to secure the shelled Zaporizhzhia nuclear complex.

www.abc.net.au

 

[Admiral Beez]

Here's the first five (of six) points to the memorandum:
1. Respect Ukrainian independence and sovereignty in the existing borders.

2. Refrain from the threat or the use of force against Ukraine.

3. Refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.

4. Seek immediate Security Council action to provide assistance to Ukraine if they "should become a victim of an act of aggression or an object of a threat of aggression in which nuclear weapons are used".

5. Refrain from the use of nuclear arms against Ukraine.

Does Putin or his minions ever mention Russia's agreement to this? When this war is over, what will become of Russia? There is no return to the diplomatic and trade situation of before unless Russia is an entirely different place. Post 1945, Germany and Japan had to completely change their way of thinking and living before they were welcomed back into the international order.

 

[WARSPITER]

Does Putin or his minions ever mention Russia's agreement to this? When this war is over, what will become of Russia? There is no return to the diplomatic and trade situation of before unless Russia is an entirely different place. Post 1945, Germany and Japan had to completely change their way of thinking and living before they were welcomed back into the international order.

This is the crux of the whole matter. This is not just another conflict.

The difference in the World since the disintegration of the Soviet Union up till now has been marked.

Quality of life for so many has increased, including those in Russia.

There is now a simple choice. Get on with the way we were heading or go back to the crap that held everyone back for decades. There is no
compromise in this and some countries who think the Putin method is the way to go need to be shown that it is no longer going to be allowed.

 

[Dimlee]

What a day... Multiple explosions in three locations in the occupied territories.
Distances to the frontline, according to Deepstatemap:
Kyrylivka - 127 km, Genichesk - 157 km, Novofedorivka (Crimea) - 207 km.
Until today, the longest-range Ukrainian weapon was Tochka U with (officially announced)110 km.