"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (5 Viewers)

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Spot-on. If y'all will pardon my language, it's a shit-sandwich and there's no way around eating it, bite-by-bite, at this point ... unless we want to see a general and perhaps a nuclear war.
 
Problem is, while you are rational, Vlad the Impaler isn't.

I don't know that he's irrational. It may be that his premises are flawed. I don't doubt that there are military leaders in Russia telling him the same things I'm mentioning here. I mean, if some Internet idiot like me can see the problems, no doubt they can too, and much more clearly.

They know the bind they're in better than any of us, and I'm pretty sure they're just as accustomed to and fond of breathing as we are.
 
One thing I keep remembering is NEVER underestimate your opponent.
I think the first step there is ALWAYS understand your opponent. Hitler didn't bother to confirm how many tanks, planes and men the Soviets had before invading. Tojo didn't bother to understand how American might personally and industrially react to Pearl Harbour. Putin didn't bother to check the potential staying power and will of Ukraine's people.

It's not that hard to understand your opponent, but first you must park your own hubris, ego and especially confirmation bias. This requires you to listen to others with an open mind, trust the expertise of others, but first your advisors must feel free to speak without fear.
 
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I always get a kick on social media when people are so quick to scream for war. It's like "there is a recruiting office down the street guys. I'm sure the Marines or Army would love to have you."

Don't be so sure. I know that recruiting and retention is always a problem, and the US military has really loosened the physical and mental standards of late, but, we don't need any mouth-breathing basement-dwellers. Present company excluded, of course.
 

It reminds me of the outsized impact the Sagger AT3 had on "the initial phases of the Yom Kippur War.[9] Later in the war, the Israelis adopted new tactics and learned to neutralize the Sagger threat by employing large concentrations of artillery fire to either distract or kill the Sagger operators.[9] Other improvised methods used by the Israelis to defeat the Saggers involved firing in front of the tank to create dust, moving back and forth and firing at the source of Sagger fire.[10] These Israeli tactics were later adopted by NATO forces to counter the threat posed by Warsaw Pact ATGMs.[10] In total, Saggers knocked out more than 800 Israeli tanks and other combat vehicles during the war.[11]" <a href="9M14 Malyutka - Wikipedia">9M14 Malyutka</a>

The key difference seems to be that the Imperial Russian Army doesn't appear to be able to come up with counter tactics as the Israeli Army was.
 

 

The Russians have a detailed understanding of the importance of controlling the narrative, both in domestic and international terms.

I'd rant about the "fake news" trope but it would shut this thread down mos' rickey-tick, so I'll leave the readers to ascertain my opinion.
 

Agreed. Our hands are really tied behind our back.
 
I hope you're wrong. In any case, he will have to act before sanctions cripple Russia's ability to conduct war, which is the most-expensive human endeavor outside of perhaps space exploration/operations.

The sanctions are a double edge sword. By crippling him, it might further drive him to do something stupid because he believes he has no other options.
 

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