"All of Vlad's forces and all of Vlad's men, are out to put Humpty together again." (5 Viewers)

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A very sensational write-up, but Putler has nothing to gain by detonatung a nuke over the Black Sea and runs the risk of accidently triggering a response.
 
their ruling caste is elected / legitimized by terror since.... ever - RU has 0 (none, null) democratic traditions - they switched from hyper-autocratic form of government directly to quasi-mob type structures of communism than again to hyper-autocratic with Vlad as a fake tsar. For them marshal law is business as usual - the same day just different name.
 
The Iranian government generally won't do anything without a quid pro quo. I'm unsure why they're doing this now, or what benefits they hope to garner from a weakened Russia. The two nations have worked alongside each other in Syria supporting Assad's regime in Syria, so there may be something hidden in that cesspool.

The Israelis, who have had a working (if at times a semi-hostile) relationship with the Russians again in Syria, seem to be irked by the two nations drawing closer. I suspect there's a lot going on behind the scenes that's beyond my ken.

There's also the fact that Iran has many years of experience dodging sanctions, and so Russia may be giving Iran business as a return favor that just so happens to supply some needs of their own as well?
 
Wouldn't a scouting party's job be to reconnoitre and report back rather than engage?
Depends on several factors: if the scoutung party is purely reconnoitering to identify enemy positions and such, then yes, avoiding contact would be preferable.
But if the scouting parties are probing the enemy defenses to judge reaction (amount of response, amount of force encountered, etc.), then engaging is necessary.

The Ukrainians need to have some mobile artillery on standby for the next probe, hammer the eff out of them and then quickly relocate the artillery elsewhere.
 

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