Lightning Guy said:
The Japanese didn't have the quality of pilots in 1944, nor did they have quality of planes. There would have had to have been a whole series of 'what-ifs' for the war in the Pacific to have gone differently.
Quality of planes? They did have good planes. The Zero, outclassed, sure, but good nonetheless as a dogfighter. The Shiden needs no intro. The Hayate was excellent in all aspects. The Dinah was so good the Germans wanted to copy it. The Tony performed better than some 109's. The Toryu was a great nightfighter, even though it lacked radar. The flying boats were second only to Sunderlands. The Jack was not only well armed, it was good at all altitudes. The Ohka, although its mothership had problems, was untouchable and did its job excellently. The Hiryu was fast, well armed and armored. The Judy was the fastest dive bomber of the war. The Jill was an effective, but vulnerable torpedo bomber.
Be assured, quality was everywhere, but skilled pilots were not.
Concerning numbers built before anyone brings it up:
1,742 Dinahs
1,701 Toryus
167 Emily Flying Boats
10,499 Zeroes
476 Jacks
1,149 B5N Kates
852 Ohkas
819 Ki-49 Helen Bombers
2,446 G4M Betty Bombers
3,382 Ki-84 Franks
5,919 Ki-43 Oscars
1,048 G3M Nell Bombers
3,078 Ki-61 Tonys
1,118 F1M Pete Seaplane Biplane Observers
1,435 Shidens
1,225 Ki-44 Shoki Interceptors
698 Peggy Bombers
214 H6K Mavis Flying Boats
1,094 A5M Claude Fighters (Early War)
2,038 D4Y Judy Dive Bombers
1,133 B6N Jill Torpedo Bombers
So you see, not only were the Japanese good at mass producing, (the 3000+ Franks were made in 17 months; please don't compare this to the US's industrial capability, I know the US could have made nearly 6,000 in the same period of time) but it wasn't the lack of good aircraft, it was the lack of good pilots that doomed them in the air.