I'm an engineer and engineers do statistics, too. There ARE no statistics available for what we are researching. If you don't save the data (they didn't), there is little danger you can use it later to find trends and truths.
So we fall back on emperical evidence. The evidence is simple, the most successful guys in the role of fighter pilot used centerline armament with great success ... much greater than those who used wing-mounted armament. These same top pilots usually alluded to centerline armamenrt as being a big factor, certainly the top three did.
The Fw 190 is very tough to categorize as it had both centerline and wing armament. I know for sure that there is nobody out there who can say which armament fired the bullets that downed a kill, so I don't even consider the Fw 190 in either category as it fits into both with indeterminant results.
The Spitfire is ALL wing-mount as are the Hurricane, Mustang, P-47 and more. The Zero has both, but many planes have only centerline or wing-mount and not both. Yes, some versions of the 109 also had both centerline and wing-mount, but the top aces often removed the wing-mount guns, particularly in the F-model, and went with centerline. We KNOW Hartmann did so, even on some G-models he flew.
Take the top three 109 guys against the top three Spitfire, Hurricane, Mustang and P-47 guys. Include whatever planes you want.
None of the wing-mount planes came even close to the top three 109 guys. The USA's top two aces both flew centerline armament only planes (the Lightning).
Since we will NEVER have any statistics that show the armament placement versus action sortie victories or claims, we have to use the information we have to make judgements. I simply judge that the available evidence shows centerline armament was demonstrably better and was preferred by most of the highest-ranking pilots.
That's enough for me to agree with them until such time as some data are available that contradict the conclusion. To date, I haven't seen it, but am willing to look at any data to try to dispell the notion. So while I have decided and have an opinion at this time, I am open to changing my mind if and when sufficient evidence becomes available.
I hope the data surface, but hold out little hope for it since the war ended and 1945 and the data still haven't been uncovered yet by interested people who have been digging around for just such information. I believe the loss data are reasonably accurate as far as they go, but don't believe they are complete.
While I was working for Motorola I was the software liaison to the US Navy and ran the data colelction task for the Navy Standard Missile Depot Repair Program at Motorola. The Standard Missile is a 13-inch diamter missile that is either surface to surfce or surface to air. The Navy accounts for everything whenver an inventory is taken. I'll never forget working on a project to get all the back data together. I went over monthly reports for Standard Missile for more than 10 years, and came up with what looked to me like the most consistent data available.
Then we had a bomb dropped on us. One of the weapon stations got a new commander and he went around the base and ordered that it be cleaned up and made to look ship shape. They found two railroad cars just outside the base on an old siding of track that had been sitting there for at least five years and the locks were rusted shut.
When they cut the locks off, there were 15 Standard Missiles in containers, ready for deployment. Nobody knew how or when they got there and all had been listed as "expended in test" on the monthly reports, yet there they were, untouched in years, just off-base, in railroad cars. When the Navy has to account for the inventory, the inventory apparently gets accounted for whether they can find it or not.
Tell me the same and worse didn't happen in WWII anywhere out there in the confusion of the war and the immediate post-war data collection. Right ... So when the claims are reconciled with admitted losses, I still think somebody is either fibbing to make themselves look better or some data are simply missing.
That's why I stick with the official victories awarded to the pilots by their own armed services ... I think it is the best data available to compare the pilots, planes, etc. against each other ... if the data are complete enough to track a particular thing. If not, then we'll never really know. All we have are combat reports and the views expressed in interviews ... usually with better-known pilots who distunguised themselves somehow in the conflict.
Probably there are people who agree with me; there are certainly people who don't, yourself included. I find the discussions interesting, and would not offer to say whether my take on things or anyone else's is more accurate. I don't think either of us will ever be able to prove our point to the other one. But I enjoy the challenge, the stories, and data uncovered.
Thanks for the links above to the RNZAF and RAAF above! I already have them stored on Excel along with all the other data I have accumulated. Now I just have to analyze them ...