Yes and no - it was thought that missiles only would be the "end all" to dogfighting, the issues were the ROEs (Vietnam to be specific)
Missiles were so much the "end all" solution that newly designed fighters in the era did not include guns.
The ROE rightfully takes a beating anytime you discuss Vietnam, not being able to kill aircraft and missile sites on the ground before they lifted off or fired on you was stupid. But, it was not the ROE that resulted in a (low point) 1:1 ratio when discussing air-to-air combat in the region. It was the fact that the MiG-17 and -21 were really good fighters in the WVR arena, and the Vietnamese (or Russian aircraft controllers) were very good at leveraging the advantages of the aircraft and region. Even if the Navy / Air Force had been given free reign to kill anything in the air, the MiGs in Bananna valley stayed unshootable (low, terrain masking, etc) until, they had a specific target.
Agree but I believe in this modern era you have way more accuracy and reliability - look up the aerial engagements from the Gulf War on, well over 90% of the air to air kills were done with missiles and I can only think of maybe 2 engagements where the mission took a turn and the close in knife fight was undertaken.
Lets be clear, I did not say missiles were not the primary weapon, I was not saying "guns only", I was specifically talking about long range shots vs close range engagements. Think BVR vs WVR. Although there is setup and maneuvers in BVR engagements, the world of traditional ACM is really in the WVR arena. The Sidewinder (or Atoll, or Python, or Magic, etc) is a (relatively) close range weapon. Long range missiles can be, and often are, used at shorter ranges. In the case of the Gulf War if you include the Sidewinder engagements or Slammers fired at close ranges you end up with over half of the engagements being WVR.
Reference: "Premise and Reality, Beyond Visual Range (BVR) Air-to-Air Combat" (sorry, can't find an online copy to link)
During the Gulf war there were roughly 41 total air to air kills by coalition forces. 2 were guns, 10 were WVR missiles, 8 were BVR missiles shot at WVR ranges, and 16 were BVR missiles shot at BVR ranges. Over half at WVR ranges, whatever the weapon used. Plus the WVR weapons and Guns have a much higher probability of intercept, at over 60%, with BVR missile shots falling something under 35%.
And the Gulf War was not a peer-on-peer extended air campaign. Yes, in theory they were roughly the 4th largest army in the World, with a modern air force and air defense system. The reality is that they were so well suppressed and restricted that it was almost a turkey shoot (from the air-to-air aspect).
T!