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I don't believe that the Japanese under estimated the industrial power of the U.S., but instead under estimated the will of the people to wage war.For Japan - 1.) not fully recognizing the industrial strength and ingenuity of US industry to not only recover from grave damage of Pearl Harbor attack, but the futility of Japan to trade losses with the US to hold onto strategic early wins, b.) not investing in on-going and intense pilot training to anticipate a long war of attrition, c.) not having core support capacity to consolidate gains in the PTO, ranging from maintenance and repair logistics to construction battalions to consolidate and build airfields rapidly.
Being pedantic, that wouldn't fit the question in the OP which specified the mistakes had to be aviation related.
But I agree...for some reason, I have Vizzini's quote going through my head, "You fell victim to one of the classic blunders - The most famous of which is "never get involved in a land war in Asia"."
INCONCEIVABLE!
I would replace 3 with Udet. He wasn't the one to make strategic decisions about building te luftwaffe. His view was too narrow.Germany's aviation mistakes...
1. Hitler
2. Göring
3. No long range fighter or heavy strategic bomber in serious numbers.
For RAF - 1.) 3.) placing too much stock in Harris' thesis that he could win the war with Bomber Command bombing of German cities.
One item each:
Japan. Not swapping their aeroplanes from the correct initial lightweight long range assault on an unprepared enemy philosophy fast enough to a heavy fast shorter range defensive one fast enough when they should have realised that this was the inevitable follow up if the USA continued to prosecute the war.
Did you not read the Wilhelmshaven 1939 raid reports you were sent? {/QUOTE]
Soviet Union
. Too much battlefield emphasis and not enough effective interdiction of the vulnerable German supply lines back in Poland etc. No railway, no German army.
See points on Germany and RAF: poorly trained pilots and navigators have all they can do to find the front line and get back to home base. .