Ad: This forum contains affiliate links to products on Amazon and eBay. More information in Terms and rules
Attach P-38s for escort. They should perform ok at medium and low level. For that matter Mustang (with Allison engine) was available too during 1942.
Dare I suggest USN F4U as escort for medium / low altitude bombing missions? It had a relatively large fuel capacity and exceptional aerial performance compared to other USA fighter aircraft during 1943.
Dare I suggest USN F4U as escort for medium / low altitude bombing missions? It had a relatively large fuel capacity and exceptional aerial performance compared to other USA fighter aircraft during 1943.
( or using Soviet air bases?)
Soviets may not have any choice if summer 1942 German offensive into Caucasus is reinforced with units historically sent to Tunisia and Vichy France.
May come down to USA helping to defend Baku. Once such a commitment begins additional units get sucked in until 1943 invasion of France is no longer possible. Now you've got a very different WWII.
Soviets may not have any choice if summer 1942 German offensive into Caucasus is reinforced with units historically sent to Tunisia and Vichy France.
May come down to USA helping to defend Baku. Once such a commitment begins additional units get sucked in until 1943 invasion of France is no longer possible. Now you've got a very different WWII.
People have put out the need to tame the U-boats prior the invasion. We can recall that Allies have launched a 3-prong invasion of N. Africa despite the still fluid situation in Atlantic. Plus invaded Sicily and Italy in 1943, obviously US supplies need to go over Atlantic in any case. Having at least half of France under Allied control in late 1943 basically expells the U-boats from Lorient and other bases.
]
Not sure raw numbers, but in terms of Allied armies its the British 1st army and the American 5th and 7th armies.
The Germans would have the forces used in Sicily, the 5th Panzer army, and the forces used to defend Italy historically (10th and 14th armies), plus whatever is in France in 1943 (not sure). The SS Panzer corps might well end up in the west rather than in the East, leaving German forces there to deal with whatever the Soviets throw at them without that powerful force.
I'm not sure what the French would do, probably get operation antoned and have the British 8th army occupy Algeria and raise Free French troops and eventually get ready for an invasion of Sicily or Sardinia in 1944. Or perhaps even an Operation Anvil once the landings in Normandy suck in German reserves.
A nightmare scenario for the allies.
In June 1943 there were 85 German divs in western Europe, mostly on various garrison duties. Without the invasion of TORCH the Italians will not be easily defeated, even with the loss of North Africa. This frees up close to 12 Divs in Italy, about the same number waiting on the borders of Vichy France, and about 6 divs in the Balkans to replace the Italian units providing garrison forces in the locality. In addition ther are about a dozen Italian Divs in France or along the French med coast, a PG and an Infantry Div in Sardinia and Corsica.
On the Allied side there are three armies, incompletely equipped, and lacking in any experience. 8th Army would need to remain in the Med to keep watch on the southern arm. A significant proportion of 1st Army, say half would need to remain uncommitted to provide a reaction force to protect Gibraltar, and react to either or both Vichy North African belligerency, and/or Spanish aggression.
In other words, far from gaining the initiative by an achievable goal, the allies allow the Axis to retain the initiative and hand them the opportunity to recover,pick up their ally from the flooring they had suffered.
For the Italians the breathing space is vital. They lost more than 800 a/c over Tunisia, and threw away more than a dozen divs in 1943 in Fr Nth Africa. In Sicily another 6 divs were lost.
At the time of her capitulation, the Italians were rebuilding two of their three armoured divs with new tanks about the equivalent of a sherman. They were introducing some formidable new a/c, the RE2005, G-55 among them.
For the Allies they have two US armies, incompletely trained and lacking a lot of equipment. They have about half a British Army. There are no solutions as yet to getting supplies across the beaches, no mulberries, and an assault lift capacity of about a Corps strength, three divs. In the OVERLORD planning the allies could count on a reduced rate of reinforcement to the front for their opponents , thanks to the efforts of IX AF and 2 TAF, but in 1943 neither of these formations were up to that task as yet. The Germans, who relied heavily on rail transport, could expect a much greater re-supply effort from their rail network, whilst the allies were saddled with a a resupply and reinforcement rate about 1/3 of that they historically enjoyed.
A cross channel invasion in 1943 almost certainly would have been a complete failure for the allies, massively delaying them until 1946-47 at least. British manpower reserves were so low by them that any losses in frontline units was a permanent one. Wholesale front wide shut downs would have resulted, probably the shut down of Burma, and a general retreat from the Far East, as well as abandonment of the middle east except near the oil wells.
There were good reasons for Churchills insistence that ROUND UP be abandoned, and he was absolutely right to do it.
good to see you again freebird. hope you are well
What would a force on force airwar over France in 1943 look like had there been no Operation Torch and therefore Tunisian/Sicily/Italy campaign, but instead the US and UK saving up forces to invade France in 1943 like in Operation Roundup?
Let's say for the sake of argument that invasion comes in June 1943 in the area of the historical Normandy landings to draw off German forces before Kursk.
What does the air campaign look like then if the pull a Transport Plan before doing major bombing of Germany?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transport_Plan
.For the sake of argument let's say the North African Campaign basically ends with the Axis armies being run out of Africa in Spring 1943 by Monty and the 8th army, but then without an invasion of Sicily.
I'm assuming Kursk then is impossible and the fighters transferred from the West for the offensive aren't, same with the SS Panzer divisions, meaning the Soviet launch their own offensive in the East after the Allied landings in Normandy.
What 20-30 division? There weren't that many German ones in North Africa and Sicily combined and that's including Rommel who cannot go anywhere and his divisions are worn down and will probably need German reinforcements.In any event, it wouldn't draw anything away from Kursk as the German position on the Eastern front would already be 20 or 30 divisions stronger, and the Soviet position much weaker.
Assuming that the 5th Panzer army doesn't go to North Africa to shore up Rommel's badly depleted forces and that Operation Anton may not happen, that's debateable, because the Allies will still land at the point of their choosing with overwhelming force after deception operations that historically confused and tied down German troops. So its really debateable whether the Germans of 1943 could have stopped them. In 1944 with significantly stronger forces than existed in France in 1943 they couldn't crush the landings.A weak landing in France in 1943 can be handled by the Axis forces already there, and after crushing the Allied landing the Germans will be able to send another 15 or 20 divisions to the Soviet front.
Essentially, while a successful landing in France will tie down German troops, a failed landing attempt would set the Allies back two years or more, and free up more German divisions to send east.
How is Pointblank a prerequisite? The target area for the Transport Plan in France is able to be covered by P-38s, P-40s, Spitfire VIIIs, and P-47s. If you mean the lack of Big Week and the destruction of the Luftwaffe, drawing them into decisive air battles in France has the same effect; the goal is bringing them to battle, not where it happens; in 1943 Pointblank didn't really succeed at its goals of wrecking German industry, so wasn't really critical to any subsequent operation, other than gaining experience of unescorted raids into Germany and inflicting some losses on the ground on the Germans.No Transport plan possible as the Combined Bomber Offensive (Pointblank) is a prerequisite for these operations, and Pointblank itself is delayed or cancelled in 1943 as the supplies aircraft needed for it are eaten up by the landing attempt.
In the summer of 1943 there are no Mustangs yet, and the P-47 has only reached operation status in a couple of squadrons, so the support for a landing would be much more difficult in the shorter range Spitfires, and longer range missions to Germany are not feasible .
Again how do you figure? Rommel was beaten badly at El Alamein and unable to resist even at El AgheilaIt's far from certain that Monty can push Rommel out of Libya, as without the Torch landings the Germans are not retreating into Tunisia, and will turn and fight the British in central Libya, with the Allies now struggling at the end of a 1,400 mile supply line. Rommel should be able to halt the Allies in a stalemated position at Tobruk, Benghazi or somewhere in Libya
In any case, without the Anglo-American Torch landings splitting Axis forces, the British are not going to capture the 300,000 axis forces that they did historically.
What 20-30 division? There weren't that many German ones in North Africa and Sicily combined and that's including Rommel who cannot go anywhere and his divisions are worn down and will probably need German reinforcements.
Assuming that the 5th Panzer army doesn't go to North Africa to shore up Rommel's badly depleted forces and that Operation Anton may not happen, that's debateable, because the Allies will still land at the point of their choosing with overwhelming force after deception operations that historically confused and tied down German troops. So its really debateable whether the Germans of 1943 could have stopped them. In 1944 with significantly stronger forces than existed in France in 1943 they couldn't crush the landings.
How is Pointblank a prerequisite? The target area for the Transport Plan in France is able to be covered by P-38s, P-40s, Spitfire VIIIs, and P-47s. If you mean the lack of Big Week and the destruction of the Luftwaffe, drawing them into decisive air battles in France has the same effect; the goal is bringing them to battle, not where it happens; in 1943 Pointblank didn't really succeed at its goals of wrecking German industry, so wasn't really critical to any subsequent operation, other than gaining experience of unescorted raids into Germany and inflicting some losses on the ground on the Germans.
Again how do you figure? Rommel was beaten badly at El Alamein and unable to resist even at El Agheila
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_El_Agheila
Rommel needed reinforcements and that would probably mean the 5th Panzer army. That then means its not available for any other front. Plus then Tripoli is subject to interdiction by Malta, just like Tunisia was and its pretty easy then to find Axis convoys and sink them all headed to one port, just like with Tunisia.
What 20-30 division? There weren't that many German ones in North Africa and Sicily combined and that's including Rommel who cannot go anywhere and his divisions are worn down and will probably need German reinforcements.
How is Pointblank a prerequisite? The target area for the Transport Plan in France is able to be covered by P-38s, P-40s, Spitfire VIIIs, and P-47s. If you mean the lack of Big Week and the destruction of the Luftwaffe, drawing them into decisive air battles in France has the same effect; the goal is bringing them to battle, not where it happens; in 1943 Pointblank didn't really succeed at its goals of wrecking German industry, so wasn't really critical to any subsequent operation, other than gaining experience of unescorted raids into Germany and inflicting some losses on the ground on the Germans.
it would require using cargo tonnage already stretched to the breaking point by the need to supply the UK needs, transship material through the UK to Russia, build up USAAF air operations, and stockpile for Overlord
The Italians and other Axis minor powers were quite important additions to Axis strength and their loss was sorely felt, even if the combat power was limited. Still the divisions you're talking about in the Balkans and Aegean were mostly static 3rd rate divisions only meant to hold coastline, not be deployed for major combat operations in the East. They were in fact worse than the Luftwaffe field divisions. As to the 5th Panzer army I think they're going to have to be deployed to hold even Western Libya, but then run into the very serious issue of supply with Malta astride their LOC. The most likely thing that happens is the Germans are too scared of an invasion of France without Torch to deploy to Libya and the Italians and Germans are rolled up and wiped out without reinforcement. Losing Libya then has the problem of allowing convoys to start again and take a huge burden off of Allied shipping:Note that I said Axis divisions, not only German
The 20 or 30+ additional divisions available be sent to the Soviet front would be divisions that are NOT lost in 1943 from 3 places
1.) Tunisia - Rommel had about 115,000 troops (including Italian) in Egypt, and loses 50 to 60 thousand by the time he's defending at Mareth. The Axis send at least 250,000 additional troops to Tunisia, as Allied forces capture some 300,000 troops there in Mar/April '43.
Without any Torch/Husky/Avalanche most of troops are not lost - nor even sent.
Perhaps 50 - 100 thousand might be sent (mainly Italians) to stop Monty's drive, but there would be at least 150 thousand troops available that wouldn't end up in Tunisia
2.) Med - Considerable forces are sent to Sicily, Sardinia, Corsica etc to prepare for possible invasions, made possible after Africa is cleared. Note that the HG panzer division is raised and sent twice.
These forces (including 15th, 29th motorized, 1st Parachute) end up fighting Allied forces in Italy and are not available in the East
3.) Italy, Balkans, Greece - Following the Italian surrender the Germans are forced to deploy 15+ additional divisions to occupy all of the territory previously held by the Italians, including the Dodecanese islands.
2nd Panzer is sent to Greece, 5th 10th SS Panzer end up fighting in the Balkans etc etc.
While some here will deride Italian troops, there's no doubt that they provide an important role garrisoning Southern Europe, and when Germany must do this alone it's stretched thin.
The Tripoli-Alexandria leg (and back) was in operation by January, 1943; a special convoy ran west to east the full length of the Med in May, and the full GTX/XTG route (all the way to Gibraltar and back, east-west and west-east) was open by June - a month before HUSKY (see Roskill):
By the 15th of May a channel two miles wide and 200 miles long had been swept from the Galita Channel to Sousse, and thence on to Tripoli.Nearly 200 moored mines were cut. That day Cunningham signalled that 'the passage through the Mediterranean was clear', and that convoys from Gibraltar to Alexandria could be started at once. The Admiralty sent its congratulations. The Navy thereupon took up the second of the two new duties mentioned - that of escorting these ships safely through the waters which had for so long been closed to our shipping. The first convoy consisted of four fast merchant ships. Escorted by the A.A. cruiser Carlisle and four destroyers they reached Tripoli on the 22nd. Four more merchantmen joined up there, and the Malta destroyers strengthened the escort for the second part of the journey. All ships arrived safely at Alexandria on the 26th. It was the first through-Mediterranean convoy to run since operation 'TIGER' in May 1941. After this special convoy a regular series (called GTX and TXG) was started between Gibraltar and Alexandria. The saving of shipping achieved by the reopening of the Mediterranean was enormous. Before operation 'TORCH' was launched the Naval Staff estimated that it would bring us at least a fifty per cent saving of shipping bound for the Middle East, and about a twenty per cent saving of ships sailing to and from India. In addition more than half of the eighty-five ships permanently employed on the WS convoy route could, so they expected, be released. At the end of 1942 the prospective gain was assessed at about a million tons of shipping; and a further half million tons in French ports had come into our use. On the other hand we lost over a quarter of a million tons of shipping during the North African campaign; delays and postponements of Atlantic convoys had deprived Britain of a million tons of imports, and the enemy gained to his use some 875,000 tons seized in the Mediterranean ports of metropolitan France. Although therefore in terms of statistics the saving of tonnage to the Allies was not very much greater than the losses suffered and the gains received by the enemy, in terms of strategy the advantages to our cause were immense. Quite apart from merchant shipping, our warships and maritime aircraft could now be more economically employed, and more advantageously disposed.
The losses inflicted on the LW only need to be done where the Germans must fight, which means in France. They can be attritioned to death fighting over the beachheads or defending French infrastructure rather than over Germany. The P-40s, Spit VIII, and P-38 can do the job just as they did in the Mediterranean against the superior Fw190 and Me109F/G in 1942-43. As to supply issues, remember the Allied air forces in Britain in 1944 were bigger than all of the combined airpower available in 1944 and they were able to supply that and by May 1943 the Uboats had been defeated with new builds of transports exceeding losses since Autumn 1942. So they could and did supply even more aircraft and divisions out of Britain historically, so doing it in 1943 isn't really an issue. Supplying an advance off the beaches out of the Normandy region without the Mulberries is another story though.Pointblank the CBO were designed to cripple the Luftwaffe defence, the big losses inflicted on the LW weren't possible earlier than summer of 1943 as the US is still building up and the Allies lack the resources to support the effort.
In 1943 the P-47 squadrons are just getting active, IIRC there are 2 groups that begin P-47 operations in April '43, and they are using the weaker P-47B, with the poorer climb rate. Spitfires don't have the range to do the job, P-40s are badly outclassed by the FW 190's and the P-38s are phased out.
Also keep in mind that you can't just assume that you can transfer x number of divisions or air units from one theater to another, and that the situation will be the same.
For example, the Allied forces in the Med (Sicily, Italy) use fuel from the British refineries in Haifa Beiruit, however if transferred to the UK they will have to be supplied across the Atlantic, where shipping tonnage is already in critically short supply. British CW forces can use ammunition supplies South Africa India, while if it is planned to deploy Allied units from the UK it would require using cargo tonnage already stretched to the breaking point by the need to supply the UK needs, transship material through the UK to Russia, build up USAAF air operations, and stockpile for Overlord
The coastal defense divisions were not capable of much else but that. So they weren't a real option to use elsewhere. Also the mobile combat divisions in France were also there to keep the French in line and weren't actually available for other duty for fear of France becoming restive.