I agree with your logic, but balancing suicide deaths v. Covid deaths is still a brutal calculus.
I personally do not see suicide deaths outpacing Covid deaths.
is there any factual or scientific evidence that this would occur? Serious question.
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I agree with your logic, but balancing suicide deaths v. Covid deaths is still a brutal calculus.
It's a fast mutating virus, like the flu. I have seem many genomes with all minor substitutions. Don't know what they consider to be a different 'strain' or that the media calls it that way.I read about there being over 30 identified strains, some deadlier than others. And the strains inthe US aren't the deadly ones...
We're getting epidemiologists and mental health experts now saying that we risk the unintended consequences being worse for the country than the virus. We've had 20 Covid deaths, and it will take less than a 10% increase in suicide to eclipse this.I think that there are trade offs. Social distancing stops infections, but it does hurt the economy too. I, however, don't believe in the argument that the "Open Up At All Costs Because of the Economy" people always use. The argument that the cure will be worse than the disease. They say that deaths will rise because of people losing their jobs. Not, because I think that is false. Sure some suicides and deaths may increase, but not as much as if we lift all the restrictions. If you do that not only will deaths from the virus increase, but for all other causes as well because the healthcare system will be overwhelmed. The article touches on that a bit.
We're getting epidemiologists and mental health experts now saying that we risk the unintended consequences being worse for the country than the virus. We've had 20 Covid deaths, and it will take less than a 10% increase in suicide to eclipse this.
I personally think we've gone too far with a countrywide lockdown. We've got regions that have been a month without any cases, so there is definitely a case for lifting lockdown regionally.
But... I'm not going to go out and ignore it to protest like an idiot
I personally do not see suicide deaths outpacing Covid deaths.
is there any factual or scientific evidence that this would occur? Serious question.
Maybe not in the US. however, a 4.8% increase in NZ's rate would equate to 33 people. Significantly more than the 21 Covid deaths so farI don't believe suicides will outpace Covid deaths either, and I do not know of any studies addressing the current issue. In 2018, with a robust economy and no pandemic over 48,000 Americans committed suicide. During the Great Recession (2007-2010) there was a 4.8 percent increase in suicides in the US. What I meant by brutal was that as a society we are going to choose the option that costs the fewer number of human lives., knowing that continued isolation and personal economic devastation will cause more people to kill themselves. It is a sad situation.
We're getting epidemiologists and mental health experts now saying that we risk the unintended consequences being worse for the country than the virus. We've had 20 Covid deaths, and it will take less than a 10% increase in suicide to eclipse this.
I personally think we've gone too far with a countrywide lockdown. We've got regions that have been a month without any cases, so there is definitely a case for lifting lockdown regionally.
But... I'm not going to go out and ignore it to protest like an idiot
I don't believe suicides will outpace Covid deaths either, and I do not know of any studies addressing the current issue. In 2018, with a robust economy and no pandemic over 48,000 Americans committed suicide. During the Great Recession (2007-2010) there was a 4.8 percent increase in suicides in the US. What I meant by brutal was that as a society we are going to choose the option that costs the fewer number of human lives., knowing that continued isolation and personal economic devastation will cause more people to kill themselves. It is a sad situation.
New Zealand can't be far from having no active cases?
You listen to the experts. Unfotunately, we have experience at mental health issues following disasters, so there isn't a huge amount of speculation going on.I agree it is a very sad situation. What do you do though? One is more likely to kill more than the other.
You listen to the experts.
The lockdowns were a useful and necessary tool to do this, but we have to start looking at ways out of this.
You listen to the experts.
I was devastated to see that the USA government wants to end lockdown to get the economy rolling (and that Jared Kushner seems to think the US response is a 'success'), but to what end?
I agree. It looks like you guys did just that.