Coronavirus Thread

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Minnesota report, June 10
cases 28,869**, recovered 24,675, hospitalized 3,482, deaths 1,236**, tested 369,795*/**
fatality rate 4.3%
mortality rate 216.8 per million
test rate 64.9 per thousand*/**
*Minnesota now has the ability to test more than 10,000 people/day, and availability of tests to the general population
in increasing. Logistics for testing the general population is still a problem, but slowly becoming less so.
**The stay-at-home and shut down measures used by Minnesota have kept the rate of spread significantly below what it would have been without such measures. Based on the hospitalization and death rates for the last 30 days, the rate of spread is decreasing slightly with an approximate R factor of 1.023 generating a doubling of total cases every 30 days (vs the R factor of 1.035 from a month ago, which resulted in a doubling every 20 days). When we take into account the greatly increased testing numbers the rate of spread may actually be decreasing slightly.
 
In the US, 9 out of 50 states are reporting a sudden increase in cases during the last week. 5 other states are seeing a continuing increase in cases.
 
But testing is also expanding as well so its not as clear cut as the media would like to portray.

:lol:

This not a media issue. Regardless of whether testing is more or not, the virus is still spreading. It's not like the people would not be infected because testing did not occur.

All we are seeing is how pathetic our response to the virus has been.
 
Again it depends. From what I understand If you are tested today and show you have antibodies present that would be a positive test marked as of today, even though you were sick 2 months ago.
 
Again it depends. From what I understand If you are tested today and show you have antibodies present that would be a positive test marked as of today, even though you were sick 2 months ago.

The understanding I got was that only a handful of states were doing that, and they have since stopped doing that.

Add to that the states who are not reporting cases in order to make their numbers look better. Georgia/Florida.
 
:lol:

This not a media issue. Regardless of whether testing is more or not, the virus is still spreading. It's not like the people would not be infected because testing did not occur.

All we are seeing is how pathetic our response to the virus has been.
Here we're finding that positive tests are increasing at about the same rate as the rate of testing availability has increased, while the number of symptomatic cases and cases requiring treatment is declining. Death total stagnant for two weeks now at 55 statewide.
This suggests not so much increased spreading, as increased discovery of silent infections, now that voluntary testing is available.
Cheers,
Wes
 
Here we're finding that positive tests are increasing at about the same rate as the rate of testing availability has increased, while the number of symptomatic cases and cases requiring treatment is declining. Death total stagnant for two weeks now at 55 statewide.
This suggests not so much increased spreading, as increased discovery of silent infections, now that voluntary testing is available.
Cheers,
Wes

I fully expect death rates to decrease as case numbers go up initially. More people are being tested than those ending up in hospitals. That could change though over time, especially if the hospitals become overburdened.
 
I fully expect death rates to decrease as case numbers go up initially. More people are being tested than those ending up in hospitals. That could change though over time, especially if the hospitals become overburdened.
As of last night, we had one, O N E, hospitalized case, statewide. (630K population)
Haven't checked today, yet.
Cheers,
Wes
 
As of last night, we had one, O N E, hospitalized case, statewide. (630K population)
Haven't checked today, yet.
Cheers,
Wes

Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, California, Arizona, Arkansas, Mississippi and Utah are all seeing their hospitalizations spike

Arizona is at 76% ICU capacity now, up 49% from two weeks ago.

It is not a media spin. The US is failing to contain the virus.
 
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